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ACC Report - Week 10

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Editor's Note: Joe Williams has hit 61% of his college football selections through nine weeks. Don't miss out on Week 10 Winners!

Big Ten · ACC
It's marquee matchup time in the Atlantic Coast Conference, as the Miami Hurricanes and Florida State Seminoles battle on the gridiron with national championship implications. Did someone fire up the DeLorean to 88 miles per hour? We haven't seen this important of a game between these two Sunshine State rivals in a decade.

The Miami-FSU game isn't the only rivalry game in the ACC this weekend, though. Yes, the North Carolina Tar Heels and North Carolina State Wolfpack have struggled this season, but both teams meet at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, and there will be a lot of spit and vinegar both on the field, and in the stands. These schools do not care for each other. I live in the Triangle, and have heard the salvos leading up to this game. UNC TE Eric Ebron has been posting boasts and predictions on Twitter, the fans are fighting on social media and the call-in radio programs, and neither of these teams are really in a position to do much of anything. Imagine if these teams were having a good season.
2013 ACC STANDINGS
Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
Boston College 3-4 1-3 4-3 2-5
Clemson 7-1 5-1 3-5 5-3
Duke 6-2 2-2 6-2 3-5
Florida State 7-0 5-0 5-2 7-0
Georgia Tech 5-3 4-2 4-3-1 5-3
Maryland 5-3 1-3 5-3 5-3
Miami (Fla.) 7-0 3-0 4-3 3-4
North Carolina 2-5 1-3 3-4 1-6
North Carolina State 3-4 0-4 4-3 2-5
Pittsburgh 4-3 2-2 2-5 3-4
Syracuse 3-4 1-2 4-3 4-3
Virginia 2-6 0-4 3-4-1 6-2
Virginia Tech 6-2 3-1 3-4-1 1-6-1
Wake Forest 4-4 2-3 4-4 1-7


Virginia Tech at Boston College (ABC - 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Hokies made mistake after mistake last weekend at home against Duke, and ended up losing 13-10 at home to the Blue Devils. The third-ranked defense in the nation did their part, as the Blue Devils did not complete a single pass in the second half. But the damage was done in the first half, and Virginia Tech's mistake-prone offense could not bounce back. The Hokies are 1-8 ATS in their past nine road games, and 2-8-1 ATS in their past 11 games against a team with a losing record. Meanwhile, Boston College is 5-1 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record, and 6-1 ATS in their past seven home games. The trends say Boston College and the points, especially since Va. Tech is 2-5 ATS in their past seven visits to Boston College. The only trend that favors the Hokies is the fact the favorite is 5-2 ATS in the past seven, and they're installed as a five-point favorite. While the over is 4-1-1 in the past six meetings, this one should be a low-scoring slog. The under is 5-2 in BC's seven games this season, and 6-1-1 in Va. Tech's eight outings.

North Carolina at North Carolina State (12:30 p.m. ET)
Last season was such a killer for bettors who had the Wolfpack plus seven and a hook. I can still remember it like it was yesterday. Giovani Bernard ripped off a late punt return for touchdown, and for whatever reason, the Tar Heels went for and converted a two-point conversion to win 43-35. It ended a five-game winning streak by N.C. State in this series. This weekend's rivalry game isn't without some pregame hype, too. TE Eric Ebron took to Twitter, bragging that the Tar Heels would punish NC State. Head coach Dave Doeren has undoubtedly used the tweet for motivation for the field goal underdogs at home. The Tar Heels are 1-8 ATS in their past nine road games, and 1-4 ATS in their past five road games against a team with a losing home record. The Wolfpack is 8-2 ATS in their past 10 home games against a team with a losing road record, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven ACC contests. NC State is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings in this series, the home team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven outings, and the underdog is 12-3 in the past 15 battles.

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Wake Forest at Syracuse (12:30 p.m. ET)

The Demon Deacons nearly pulled off a giant upset in Miami last week, and now they head north to battle Syracuse. The Orange were pummeled 56-0 in Atlanta by Georgia Tech two weeks ago, and have had a bye to lick their wounds and regroup. The Orange enter the game as a field-goal favorite. The Deacs are 4-0 ATS in their past four against a team with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS in their past five overall. The Orange are 6-1-1 ATS in their past eight at home, and 8-3 ATS in their past 11 overall. And they are 6-2-1 ATS in their past nine after a bye.

Clemson at Virginia (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The Tigers hit the road for a second straight weekend after their ugly home loss to Florida State two weeks ago. They rebounded pretty nicely last week, 40-27 at Maryland, although they were sloppy for about the first 40 minutes. They'll needf a more complete effort if they are to win by 17, which is the spread. Bettors do not have nearly as much confidence in the Tigers after their failure to cover the past two games. However, remember UVA is just 6-19-1 ATS in their past 26 against a team with a winning record, 5-15-2 ATS in their past 22 overall, and 2-10-2 ATS in their past 14 games at Scott Stadium. Yes, Clemson was annihilated by Florida State at home. But Virginia was undressed by Ball State a few weeks ago.

Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech (ESPNU, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Things appears to be getting better for Pittsburgh heading into last week's non-conference tilt at Navy. The Panthers face a much tougher test this weekend against a Georgia Tech rushing offense which ranks first in the league, and fourth in the nation. Georgia Tech has racked up 91 points over the past two games, and they will face a Pitt defense which has allowed 27.6 points per game. The Panthers are 2-5 ATS this season, and 0-3 ATS on the road. Meanwhile, Georgia Tech is 3-1 ATS at home, and they have averaged 41.0 ppg at Bobby Dodd Stadium, while giving up just 9.2 ppg.

Miami, Fl. at Florida State (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)
It seems like old times. The Hurricanes and Seminoles have met nine times while both have been unbeaten, but this is the first time that has happened in 10 years. For the second time in three weeks, Florida State is part of the marquee game in the ACC. Last time they were featured in the 'big' game, they blasted Clemson 51-14 Miami has narrowly escaped over the past two games, nearly falling at North Carolina and home against Wake Forest. Was this a case of looking ahead to Saturday's rivalry game, or are the Hurricanes just not that good? We'll find out soon. The Hurricanes are still 9-2 ATS in their past 11 ACC games, and 9-3 ATS in their past 12 road outings. FSU is 6-2 ATS in their past eight overall, and 4-1 ATS in their past five against a winning team. Miami is 6-1 ATS in their past seven meetings with Florida State in Tallahassee. The road has covered in six of the past seven battles, and the underdog is 13-3 ATS in the past 16 meetings. The Canes are dogs by 22 points, and they should be hyped early. If Miami can score early, and find a way to slow redshirt freshman QB Jameis Winston, the Hurricanes could keep it within three touchdowns. This is a rivalry game, obviously, and all records, past results against other teams this season, etc. should be thrown out the window.

Byes
Duke, Maryland



  
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