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Bowl Trends - Part II
Editor's Note: Bruce Marshall's college football selections can be purchased weekly on Click to win!

Part I

Bowls scheduled between Monday, Dec. 30 and Monday, Jan. 6

Monday, December 30
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE vs. NAVY (Armed Forces Bowl)...Mids 1-3 vs. line last four bowls after covering previous four bowl appearances. Navy did cover five of last six n 2013. Mids 3-2 as chalk this season after 4-10 mark in role previous two years. MTSU just 1-6 vs. line last 7 away from home although Blue Raiders were 5-2 vs. spread away from Murfreesboro LY. Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.
vs. OLE MISS vs. GEORGIA TECH (Music City Bowl)...Hugh Freeze cooled off a bit vs. number this season, only 6-6 vs. line after 20-5 the past two seasons. Rebs no covers last three away from home TY after covering 7 of previous 8 away from Oxford. GT just 1-4 vs. line last five years in bowls for Paul Johnson and 2-6 last 8 bowls vs. spread, Jackets also 0-4 as dog this season. Slight to Ole Miss, based on team trends.
vs. TEXAS vs. OREGON (Alamo Bowl)...Ducks have covered last two and 4 of last 6 bowls, though Oregon dropped last four vs. number this season. Ducks also lost last two away from Eugene this season after covering previous eight away from Autzen Stadium. Horns have covered last two years in bowls but only 4-5 vs. line in postseason since 2003. Horns 1-2 as dog this season, 6-10 getting points since 2009 campaign. Slight to Oregon, based on team trends.
vs. TEXAS TECH vs. ARIZONA STATE (Holiday Bowl)...TT hit the skids down the stretch in 2013, losing and failing to cover its last five games. Red Raiders also 1-6 vs. line in bowls since 2005, and TT just 2-7 as dog since 2012. Sun Devils 6-6 vs. spread away from home since Todd Graham arrived LY. Graham 14-6 as chalk since LY. ASU, based on team trends.

Tuesday, December 31
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
vs. BOSTON COLLEGE vs. ARIZONA (Adocare V100 Independence Bowl)...BC first bowl since 2010, when it covered vs. Nevada in the Kraft Bowl, but had failed to cover four previous in postseason. BC 6-3 last nine vs. line in 2013. Eagles 3-2 as dog this season but 2-4 vs. line away, 2-10 vs. spread away since 2012. Cats only 3-6 last 9 vs. spread TY and 1-4 last 5 away from Tucson. UA no covers last 3 as chalk TY after covering previous five as favorite. Cats no covers last three bowls. Rich-Rod 1-6 vs. line in bowls. BC, based on team trends.
vs. VIRGINIA TECH vs. UCLA (Sun Bowl)...Frank Beamer 5-6-1 vs. line last 11 years in bowls, UCLA 3-3 vs. spread its last six bowl appearances. VPI 4-7-1 vs. line TY, 12-26-1 vs. line last 39 on board. Hokies were 2-1 as dog TY but 3-5-1 as dog since 2010. VPI 3-9-1 last 13 on board vs. non-ACC teams. Jim Mora’s Bruins are 16-10 vs. line since last season, 8-5 vs. line away from Rose Bowl. UCLA, based on team trends.
vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. RICE (Liberty Bowl)...MSU no covers last two years in bowls. Bulldogs did cover last four in 2013, but MSU 3-7 vs. spread last 10 away from Starkville. Rice covered its bowl LY and is 2-0 SU and vs. spread in bowls for David Bailiff. Owls 14-6 last 20 on board, also 7-2 last nine as dog. Rice, based on team trends.
vs. DUKE vs. TEXAS A&M (Chick fil-A Bowl)...Ags no covers last three or six of last eight this season, also no covers in all four games away from College Station. Duke covered 7 of last 8 in 2013 and was 5-2 as dog this season. A&M 1-6 vs. line last seven bowls dating to the Franchione years. Duke, based on team trends.

Wednesday, January 1
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
vs. NEBRASKA vs. GEORGIA (Gator Bowl)...Huskers no wins or covers last three bowls for Bo Pelini including against same Georgia in Capital One Bowl last season. Pelini 2-1 as dog in 2013 but was 0-5 in role previous two seasons. Mark Richt 5-2 vs. line last seven bowls, though Dawgs only 4-8 vs. line in 2013 and 2-4 vs. spread away from home. Slight to Georgia, based on team trends.
vs. UNLV vs, NORTH TEXAS (Dallas Bowl)...First bowl for UNLV since 2000 season, first bowl for UNT since 2004. Mean Green won and covered 6 of last 7 TY and is 10-3 vs. spread since late in the 2012 campaign. UNT 7-2 as chalk this season. Rebs covered 5 of last 6 and 8 of last 10 this season, but 1-4 vs. line last 5 away from home vs. non-MW foes. Prior to covering 4 of 5 away this season, Rebs were 3-20 vs. spread previous 23 away from home. North Texas, based on team trends.
vs. WISCONSIN vs. SOUTH CAROLINA (Capital One Bowl)...Spurrier only 1-4 vs. line in bowls the past five seasons, 2-5 vs. spread in bowls with Gamecocks since 2005. Badgers 9-3 vs. line in 2013 (includes spread losses in last two games) and 15-6-1 last 22 on board since mid 2012. Gary Andersen teams 20-5 vs. spread since LY at USU and Wiscy. Badgers 5-3-1 vs. line last nine bowls. Slight to Wiscy, based on team trends.
vs. IOWA vs. LSU (Outback Bowl)...Rematch of Jan. 1, 2005 Cap One Bowl when Iowa scored on bomb on last play to beat LSU 30-25 in Nick Saban’s last game as Tigers coach. Hawkeyes 4-1 vs. line last five bowls and Kirk Ferentz 2-1 as dog this season, though only 3-7 in role previous two years. Les Miles 1-3 vs. line last four bowls, and Tigers just 4-7 vs. spread last 11 away from Baton Rouge. Slight to Iowa, based on team trends.
vs. MICHIGAN STATE vs. STANFORD (Rose Bowl)...Fourth straight BCS bowl for Stanford, 2-0-1 vs. line in those games since 2010 season. First MSU Rose Bowl since Jan. 1, 1988 vs. Southern Cal, a 20-17 Spartans win. MSU 9-2 vs. line last 11 in 2013, while Dantonio 3-0 as dog this season and 10-2 in role since 2011. Michigan State, based on Dantonio dog marks.
vs. UCF vs. BAYLOR (Fiesta Bowl)...Bears 9-3 vs. line TY and 15-3 last 18 on board, but just 2-5 as chalk away from home since 2011. UCF 3-0 as dog in 2013, and O’Leary 5-2 last 7 as DD dog since 2009. UCF, based on team trends.

Thursday, January 2
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
vs. OKLAHOMA vs. ALABAMA (Sugar Bowl)...Bob Stoops faced Bama in 2002 & ’03 and won both SU, though failing to cover each. Sooners won and covered last two as road dog in 2013 but had dropped previous three spread decisions in rare dog role. Stoops 3-7 vs. line last 10 howls. Bama has won and covered its last four bowls, and Saban 14-6 last 20 as chalk away from Tuscaloosa. Slight to Bama, based on team trends.

Friday, January 3
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
vs. OKLAHOMA STATE vs. MISSOURI (Cotton Bowl)...Old Big 12 rivals. OSU won and covered last three meetings thru 2011. OSU 4-3 vs. line in bowls for Gundy. Cowboys 7-3 vs. spread last 10 away from Stillwater, and OSU 8-4 vs. spread in 2013, 33-15-1 last 49 on board. Pinkel 4-4 vs. line in bowls with Mizzou and Tigers 10-3 vs. line this season. Slight to OSU, based on extended trends.
vs. CLEMSON vs. OHIO STATE (Orange Bowl)...Dabo returns to Orange Bowl, where Clemson was swamped by WVU two years ago. Dabo 2-3 vs. line in bowls but did upset LSU YR in Chick- fil-A. Tigers 1-2 as dog TY but 5-3 in role since 2011. Buckeyes 7-3 vs. line in bowls dating to Jim Tressel’s first season of 2001. Urban Meyer 6-1 vs. line in bowls at Utah & Florida, but Buckeyes no covers last four this season. Slight to Clemson, based on team trends.

Saturday, January 4
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
vs. HOUSTON vs. VANDERBILT (BBVA Compass Bowl)...Cougs 10-2 vs. spread in 2013, 12-2 last 14 on board since late 2012. UH has also covered its last five as a dog and 7 straight away from home. Vandy only 1-3 as chalk this season after 11-3 in role previous two years for James Franklin. Dores 8-2 vs. line last 10 away from home stadium, but Vandy just 1-3 vs. lien against non-SEC this season. Houston, based on current trends.

Sunday, January 5
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
vs. ARKANSAS STATE vs. BALL STATE ( Bowl)...Pete Lembo 8-4 vs. line TY, 17-8 since 2012, 22-09 last 31 on board. Also 13-5 last 18 vs. line away from Muncie, 11-4 last 15 as chalk. Ark State changing coaches again before its bowl, but Red Wolves only 5-7 vs. lien in 2013 despite covering 4 of last 5 on board. Ball State, based on team trends.

Monday, January 6
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
vs. AUBURN vs. FLORIDA STATE (BCS Championship from Pasadena)... Auburn won last 99 SU and covered last 10 in 2013. Tigers 3-0 last three as dog or pick ‘em this season. Gus Malzahn 19-6 vs. spread last two years at Ark State & Auburn. Jimbo 3-0 SU and vs. line in bowls and Nole shave actually covered last nine bowl games! FSU has covered last 6 in 2013 and is 11-2 vs. spread this season. Slight to Auburn, based on Malzahn trends.

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