Bowl Breakdown - Part III
December 28, 2013
By Mike Rose
Editor's Note: Don't miss out on Mike Rose's college football bowl selections on VegasInsider.com this season. Click to win!
It's the most wonderful time of the year for college football betting fans, as there are 35 bowl games on tap to break down and find winners in. Today, we're taking a look at the final bowl games of 2013, starting with the Armed Forces Bowl on December 30th through the Chick-Fil-A Bowl on December 31st.
Armed Forces Bowl - Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders vs. Navy Midshipmen
Monday, December 30th, 11:45 a.m. ET
Opening Line: Navy -6.5
We have already seen the MAC struggle in the bowl season in a big time way. Is Conference USA next? The Blue Raiders only beat one bowl team this year, the Marshall Thundering Herd, and they could have their hands full against Navy if the Middies get their defense in order. They had allowed over 600 yards in their last two bowl games, both of which turned out to be easy losses.
Music City Bowl - Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Monday, December 30th, 3:15 p.m. ET
Opening Line: Ole Miss -3
The Rebels have been great of late in bowl games, going 4-0-1 ATS in their last five, while Georgia Tech snapped a seven-game losing streak in bowls last season in the Sun Bowl against the USC Trojans. History suggests that this is going to be a game where the Rebs succeed as well, as they have been getting beaten up by the rough and tumble SEC all year long, while the triple option for the Ramblin' Wreck has had no success whatsoever against the SEC.
Alamo Bowl - Oregon Ducks vs. Texas Longhorns
Monday, December 30th, 6:45 p.m. ET
Opening Line: Oregon -13.5
There is a lot of emotion here in this bowl game, as it is a de facto home game for Texas against one of the best teams in the country in the final game for Head Coach Mack Brown. Brown's legacy is going to be in his bowl wins, which have come in scores for sure. The only bowl loss he has had since 2003 came in the National Championship Game. Oregon's offense, which is good for over 45 points per game in the last four seasons combined, has averaged just 29.0 points per game in its last four bowl games.
Holiday Bowl - Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Monday, December 30th, 10:15 p.m. ET
Opening Line: Arizona State -14
There was a point when T-Tech was ranked in the Top 10 in the land, but it has been beaten in five straight games both SU and ATS coming into the Holiday Bowl. The Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last six bowl games in spite of the fact that they are 5-1 SU in those games. The Sun Devils waxed the Navy Midshipmen last season in their bowl game, and they are going to be flying high for sure after being one of the best teams in the Pac-12 this year.
AdvoCare v100 Bowl - Arizona Wildcats vs. Boston College Eagles
Tuesday, December 31st, 12:30 p.m. ET
Opening Line: Arizona -7.5
We hope you like running the ball, because this game is going to feature a heck of a lot of it. The Wildcats' RB Ka'Deem Carey is one of the best pro prospects in the NFL Draft this year at the tailback position, and he is going against RB Andre Williams, who was one of the Heisman Trophy finalists. This is the second straight season in which Arizona has taken on a team with the nation's leading rusher, as it beat the Nevada Wolf Pack in a stunning come from behind victory in last year's New Mexico Bowl.
Sun Bowl - Virginia Tech Hokies vs. UCLA Bruins
Tuesday, December 31st, 2:00 p.m. ET
Opening Line: UCLA -7
Here's another case where the Pac-12 is favored over the ACC in a big time way, as QB Brett Hundley, who struggled mightily in the second half of the season this year, goes against one of the best defenses in America from Virginia Tech. The Hokies have maxed out at 24 points in five of their last six bowl games, and they might have a tough time getting past the three and a half TD mark again in this one.
Liberty Bowl - Rice Owls vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Tuesday, December 31st, 4:00 p.m. ET
Opening Line: Mississippi State -7
This is where we are going to find out whether the Owls were really capable of playing against SEC teams this year or not. They might have won 10 games, but they are getting no respect here against an MSU team which only barely squeaked into a bowl. Head Coach Dan Mullen has a good history in these bowl games, but this is the first time we have seen the Bulldogs play against a team of this caliber in quite some time.
Chick-Fil-A Bowl - Duke Blue Devils vs. Texas A&M Aggies
Tuesday, December 31st, 8:00 p.m. ET
Opening Line: Texas A&M -11.5
The Dookies have had no troubles going against the big boys in the nation this year, and though they have mostly failed in those situations, they are going to come at this game full of gusto for sure. It's tremendous exposure for a program which is playing in consecutive bowl games for the first time in school history and for a team which hasn't won a bowl game in over a half century. The Aggies are seeing QB Johnny Manziel go to the NFL after this one is over in all likelihood, and they're hoping for one last great performance to lead the way like he did when they destroyed the Oklahoma Sooners in the Cotton Bowl last year.
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5-0 Sat, 19-8 L4 Saturdays, +1,285 TY
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8-1 Saturday, 10-2 L12 Over/Unders
5-2 Sat, 51-26 L10 Sat, +1,635 TY
12-4 L2 Sat., 15-6 Run, 7-3 G-Plays
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13-7 L3 Weeks, 8-3 L11 G-Plays
3-1 G-Plays, 10-6 L2 Sat, 14-7 Run
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3-1 Saturday, 4-1 L5 Guarantees
9-4 G-Plays, 23-12 Run, +1,220 TY
10-5 Saturday, 32-15 L47 Totals
5-2 Last Week, 12-4 L16 G-Plays
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