Friday's Bowl Tips
January 3, 2014
By Brian Edwards
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Cotton Bowl - Oklahoma State vs. Missouri
-- As of early this morning, most betting shops had Oklahoma St. (10-2 straight up, 8-4 against the spread) installed as a one-point favorite with a total of 62.5.
-- Missouri (11-2 SU, 10-2-1 ATS) won the SEC East by a one-game margin over South Carolina thanks to a pair of late-season wins at Ole Miss (24-10) vs. Texas A&M (28-21). However, the Tigers came up on the short end of a 59-42 decision against Auburn at the SEC Championship Game in Atlanta.
-- The Mizzou offense couldn’t be faulted at the Ga. Dome. James Franklin threw for 303 yards and three touchdowns, while Henry Josey ran for 123 yards on just nine carries. Franklin rushed for 62 yards, including a five-yard TD scamper to pull his team to within 45-42 with nine seconds remaining in the third quarter.
-- Oklahoma St. is also coming off a downer performance, losing at home in the Bedlam game to Oklahoma by a 33-24 count. The Cowboys gave up a 27-24 advantage to the Sooners on a seven-yard TD pass with 19 ticks left. They had gone ahead with 1:46 remaining on a one-yard TD plunge from Desmond Roland, who rushed for 144 yards and two scores against OU.
-- OSU finished 12 in the nation in scoring, averaging 39.8 points per game. Roland rushed for a team-high 745 yards and 12 TDs. Clint Chelf threw for 1,792 yards with a 15/6 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has a pair of dangerous WRs in Tracy Moore and Josh Stewart. Moore had a team-high six TD catches, while Stewart had a team-best 52 receptions.
-- Franklin missed four consecutive games with a separated shoulder but still threw for 2,254 yards with a 19/5 TD-INT ratio. He also ran for 474 yards and four scores. Gary Pinkel may also use Maty Mauck, who had a 10/2 TD-INT ratio. The Tigers might have the nation’s best group of WRs with Green-Beckham, L’Damian Washington and Marcus Lucas. Green-Beckham and Washington had 12 and 10 TD catches, respectively.
-- Josey has run for a team-high 1,074 yards and 13 TDs while averaging 6.6 yards per carry. He shares carries with Russell Hansbrough (660 yards and four TDs) and Marcus Murphy (571 yards for nine scores).
-- When these schools met two seasons ago in their last encounter as Big 12 rivals, Oklahoma St. won 45-24 as a 6.5-point road favorite. The Cowboys have won four of the last five head-to-head meetings both SU and ATS. The ‘under’ is also 4-1 in the last five OSU-MIzzou games.
-- The ‘under’ is 7-4-1 overall for Oklahoma St., 3-0-1 in its last four games.
-- The ‘over’ is 7-6 overall for Mizzou, but the ‘under’ has cashed in four of its last six games.
-- FOX will have the telecast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.
Orange Bowl - Ohio State vs. Clemson
-- As of early this morning, most spots had Ohio State (12-1 SU, 6-6-1 ATS) listed as a three-point ‘chalk’ with the total in the 70-71 range. Gamblers can back the Tigers on the money line for a +135 return (risk $100 to win $135). For first-half wagers, the Buckeyes are favored by one with a total of 35.
-- Clemson (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) saw its four-game winning streak snapped in a 31-17 loss at South Carolina in its regular-season finale. The Tigers have now lost five in a row to their in-state rivals by double-digit margins. They committed five turnovers, as QB Tajh Boyd was intercepted twice without throwing a TD pass.
-- Clemson is hoping to avoid the type of result it got in a trip to the Orange Bowl two seasons ago. That’s when CU took woodshed treatment from West Va. in the form of a 70-33 clubbing as a three-point favorite.
-- Boyd became the school’s all-time leading passer as a senior. He threw for 3,473 yards with a 29/9 TD-INT ratio. Sammy Watkins returned to his 2011 form by catching 85 balls for 1,237 yards and 10 TDs.
-- Ohio St. is coming off its first defeat under Urban Meyer at the Big Ten Championship Game. The Buckeyes lost 34-24 to Michigan St. as 5.5-point favorites. OSU failed to cover the number for the fourth consecutive time, while the 58 combined points went ‘over’ the 53.5-point number on a 26-yard TD run by the Spartans with 2:16 remaining.
-- Ohio St. is led by senior QB Braxton Miller, who ran for 142 yards and two TDs against Michigan St. For the season, Miller had a 22/5 TD-INT ratio and 10 rushing scores.
-- Ohio St. RB Carlos Hyde 1,408 yards and 14 TDs while averaging 7.7 YPC. He also had a pair of TD receptions. Philly Brown led the Bucks in receiving with 55 catches for 655 yards and 10 TDs.
-- Ohio St. has been a single-digit favorite three times, going 1-1-1 ATS. The push came in a 31-24 home win over Wisconsin, while the lone spread cover came on the worst wrong-side winner of 2013 in a win at Northwestern.
-- Clemson has been an underdog three times, compiling a 1-2 record both SU and ATS. The Tigers opened the season with a 38-35 win over Georgia as 1.5-point underdogs. They got blasted at home by FSU (51-14) as five-point ‘dogs and lost in Columbia as previously mentioned. -- The ‘over’ is 7-5 overall for Clemson, 4-2 in its last six games.
-- The ‘over’ is 9-4 overall for the Buckeyes, 6-2 in their last eight games.
-- Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.
17-5 L22 Picks, 35-12 L47 Streak
13-4 L17, 29-12 L41, 11-3 G-Plays
5-0 Last 5, 13-3 Last 16 Picks
13-1 G-Plays, 29-18 Picks TY
7-3 L10, 12-5 L17, 27-12 L39 Run
2-0 Fri., 5-2 L7, 11-5 L16 Picks
15-8, +1,125 Last 3 Saturdays
16-8 L24 G-Plays, +995 TY
7-3 Pick Run, 7-4 L11 G-Plays
10-3 Guarantees This Year
12-6 Guarantees This Year
7-3 L3 Saturdays, 4-1 L5 G-Plays
10-5 L15 Picks, 17-9 L9 Saturdays
3-1 Saturday, 9-5 L14 Selections
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