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Tech Trends - Week 1
Editor's Note: Bruce Marshall's college football selections can be purchased weekly on Click to win!
Friday, Aug. 29
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at BYU at UCONN ...Diaco debut at UConn. Huskies have been a snappy home dog at Rentsch with 11-2 mark in role since 2009 (6-2 past two years). Cougs 0-3 as road chalk LY but Bronco is 12-5 as DD chalk since 2010. Slight to UConn, based on Rentsch dog mark.
at BOWLING GREEN at WESTERN KENTUCKY... Respective debuts for Babers at BGSU and Brohm at WKU. Falcs were 20-9 last 29 on board for Clawson. Falcs 6-0 as visiting favorite since 2012. WKU, however, 13-2 as dog since 2011 and 15-3 last 18 in role. Slight to WKU, based on team trends.
at COLORADO STATE vs. COLORADO (at Denver)...CU has won and covered 3 of last 4 meetings. MacIntyre (including SJS) has also won and covered last 2 vs. McElwain. Buffs 3-0 SU and vs. line non-Pac 12 LY and MacIntyre's SJSU and CU teams have covered last 10 non-league games. CSU 4-2 as dog LY. CU, based on MacIntyre trends.
at UTSA at HOUSTON ...Coker covered 4 of last 5 LY and won all five SU. Levine romped 59-28 in this matchup LY and is 6-4 as home chalk since 2012, Cougs 12-5 in role since 2011. UH 12-3 last 15 on board. Cougs 19-8 laying DD since 2009. Home stadium refurbished for Cougs. UH, based on recent trends.
at UNLV at ARIZONA...Rebs covered last 4 as visitor LY after 3-17 mark in role for Hauck previous three + years. Hauck 6-2 as visiting dog since 2012 and 7-3 as DD dog same span. But Rebs routed 58-13 by Rodriguez LY. Cats 9-3 as Tucson chalk for Rich Rod and 8-2 laying DD. Arizona, based on recent Rodriguez trends.
Saturday, Aug. 30
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at PENN STATE vs. UCF (at Dublin, Ireland)...Franklin PSU debut. Franklin 25-14 vs. line at Vandy past three years. But Nittany Lions 1-4 vs. line last five away. UCF won at Happy Valley LY and O'Leary has won and covered last four openers. Slight to UCF, based on team trends.
at OHIO STATE at NAVY (at Baltimore)...Mids 5-1 as dog LY and covered 7 of last 8. Navy 6-3 as DD dog since 2009 and 18-8 overall as dog since 2009. Urban Meyer only 7-10 as DD chalk the past two years and 3-5 as chalk away from Big Horseshoe, and 4-5 vs. line non-league. Navy, based on team trends.
at UCLA at VIRGINIA...Mike London in trouble, Cavs 7-16-3 vs. line since late 2011. UVa 2-5-1 last 8 as home dog, 4-5-1 as DD dog past two years. Also 2-9-1 last 12 vs. non-ACC foes. Mora 6-2 as DD chalk past two years. UCLA, based on UVa woes.
at APP STATE at MICHIGAN...Remember 2007! Hoke 7-5 as home chalk past two years, 6-3 laying DD (4-1 in role in 2012), but 3-6 last nine vs. non-conference. Slight to App, based on Hoke non-Big 10 marks.
at TROY at UAB...Clark UAB debut. Troy has won SU last 3 and 4 of last 5 years vs. UAB. Blazers 3-8 vs. SU at home since 2012. Blakeney 8-4-1 vs. line away since 2012. Troy, based on team trends.
at CAL at NORTHWESTERN...After 12-1 spread mark in 2012, NU slipped to 3-9 LY and ended season dropping 9 of last 10 vs. number, many in brutal fashion. But Cats did win and cover at Cal in opener and Fitzgerald has won SU in all 8 of his openers. NU 12-6 vs. line last 18 vs. non-Big 10. Fitz only 10-18 as Evanston chalk since 2006. Cal also only 3-9 LY in Dykes debut and also 1-11 SU, Cal 6-19 last 25 vs. spread since late 2011 and 2-8 last 10 as dog away from Berkeley. Dykes on 3-14 spread run last 17 dating to end of La Tech tenure. NU, based on recent Cal/Dykes negatives.
at GA SOUTHERN at NC STATE...Eagles have been on spread once in each of last four years and covered all! Fritz debut at GSU. Doeren awful debut LY at NCS, 1-7 vs. line last 8 and a winless SU ACC mark. GSU, based on recent NCS negatives.
at FAU at NEBRASKA...Would have been Pelini vs. Pelini LY, now it is Partridge FAU debut. Owls 14-4 as dog since 2012 (post-Schnellenberger) and 10-1 as DD dog past two years. Also 17-5 last 22 vs. line overall. Pelini 5-1 laying 20 or more since 2012 but only 7-9 last 16 overall on board since late 2012. FAU, based on team trends.
at BOSTON COLLEGE at UMASS...Game is actually closer to BC campus than UMass. Whipple debut (or re-debut) at UMass. Minutemen 7-13 as DD dog past two years for Molnar, and so-so 5-6 vs. line as "host" in Foxborough. Eagles only 6-17 as road chalk since 2004 (1-3 past two years) and no covers last four openers. Also 2-10 vs. line away past two years. Slight to UMass, based on extended BC road chalk negatives.
at MARSHALL at MIAMI-OHIO...Martin Miami debut. Herd romped 52-14 LY but must note 1-5 visiting chalk mark LY and 1-8-1 in role since Doc Holliday took over in 2010. Can we trust RedHawks? Miami 2-9-1 vs. line LY and 6-17-1 since 2012, also 2-10 as DD dog since 2012. Slight to Marshall, based on Miami-O woes.
at RICE at NOTRE DAME...Owls 6-1 as visiting dog since 2012, also 17-10-1 last 28 on board. Brian Kelly only 8-10-1 as home chalk since 2010 and Irish 14-27-1 last 42 in role since late 2005. Irish 4-8 as DD chalk past two years. Rice, based on team trends.
at ALABAMA vs. WEST VIRGINIA (at Atlanta)...Holgorsen just 11-26 vs. spread last 37 on board for WVU. Though Mounties are 4-3 as a DD dog for Holgorsen. Nick Saban 13-7 vs. line last 20 away from Tuscaloosa, 27-15 as DD chalk since 2010, 18-11 last 29 laying 20 or more. Nick has also won SU all seven openers at Bama and covered the last six opening games as well. Bama, based on team trends.
at ARKANSAS at AUBURN...Malzahn 3-1 as DD chalk LY and 4-2 as home chalk. Auburn covered its last 11 games a year ago, though note that it has failed to cover last four openers. Bielema's Wiscy dog marks did not translate to Ark LY, as Hogs were 3-6 as short, but were 3-2 as DD dog in 2013. Ark 6-17 vs. line since 2012 (counts John L's year). Auburn, based on recent team trends.
at CLEMSON at GEORGIA...Revenge for Richt after last year's 38-35 loss at Death Valley. Richt only 3-9-1 vs. line LY but in the past has often bounced back strongly from subpar spread records. UGa only 3-7 vs. line against non-SEC past two years and is 5-9 last 14 as home chalk. Dabo 10-6 last 16 as dog and 5-1 as visiting dog since 2009. Clemson, based on team trends.
at OHIO at KENT STATE...Kent State has owned this series, winning 4 of last 5 SU and covering all of those five. Solich 1-6 as visiting dog past three seasons. Flashes 11-5 vs. line at Dix Stadium since 2011 (though just 2-3 in Paul Haynes' debut LY). Kent State 5-0 as 3-pt. or less chalk since 2011. Kent State, based on series trends.
at LA TECH at OKLAHOMA...Skip Holtz on quite a spread slide, 4-8 LY, 8-24-1 last 33 since early 2011 at USF & LT. Bulldogs also on 4-14 spread slide since mid 2012. Skip 1-3 as DD dog LY and 1-5 overall as dog, as his long ago solid marks in that role seem just a memory. Stoops only 9-9 laying 20 or more the past four seasons and only 34-31 vs. line past five seasons. OU, based on recent La Tech/Skip shortcomings.
at WESTERN MICHIGAN at PURDUE...Purdue was real horseshoe LY with 1-11 SU and 4-8 spread records as Hazell rep took a beating. WMU not any better in Fleck debut, also 1-11 SU and 4-8 vs. line. Broncos 3-4 as DD dog but were 4-2 as road dog and covered both tries vs. Big Ten foes LY. Slight to WMU, based on Purdue negatives.
at IDAHO at FLORIDA...Florida not really testing itself in opener. Muschamp just 1-4 as home chalk LY and 3-8 in role since 2012, also 1-5 laying 20 or more past two seasons. Muschamp 4-13-1 vs. line last 18 on board. But Paul Petrino only 3-9 vs. line in his Idaho debut LY and 2-6 as DD dog (2-5 getting 20 or more). Slight to Idaho based on extended Florida/Muschamp woes.
at FRESNO STATE at SOUTHERN CAL...Sarkisian SC debut. Also rematch of Las Vegas Bowl won by Trojans 45-20. Note Sarkisian was 4-1 laying 20 or more with Washington past two years and Huskies were 8-4 as home chalk past three seasons. But SC only 11-19 laying DD since 2009 and 4-9 laying 20 or more. DeRuyter 7-3-1 vs. line as visitor since 2012 through Fresno just 4-9-1 vs. line last 14 on board. Fresno 18-10 since 2004 as visiting dog, extending to the Pat Hill years. Fresno, based on extended trends.
at SOUTHERN MISS at MISSISSIPPI STATE...USM 6-18 vs. line post-Fedora, 5-10 as DD dog, 3-10 as visiting dog, 2-6 non-C-USA. Bad. Dan Mullen covered last 5 in 2013 and 9 of last 12 a year ago. MSU 7-3 as Starkville chalk since 2012, 12-6 since 2010, and 2-1 laying 20 or more since 2012. MSU, based on USM woes.
at WASHINGTON at HAWAII...Petersen UW debut. Petersen 2-2 SU and vs. line his last four at Aloha Stadium with Boise Broncos (including 2007 Hawaii Bowl) vs. ECU). Petersen was 22-9 as visiting chalk with Boise the past six seasons. Norm Chow 10-6 vs. line last 16 since late in 2012 season and covered 4 of 5 as DD dog LY. Slight to Hawaii, based on recent trends.
at FLORIDA STATE vs. OKLAHOMA STATE (at Jerry Jones AT&T Stadium, Arlington)...FSU 11-2-1 vs. line LY, 6-1-1 laying DD. Jimbo, however, had not been an overwhelming spread winner prior to 2013. Jimbo is 13-6 vs. line against non-ACC foes, however. OSU hasn't been a DD dog since 2008 but is just 5-7 vs. line away from Stillwater the past two seasons. Gundy 25-14 vs. line the past three years. FSU, based on recent trends.
at NORTH TEXAS at TEXAS...Strong Texas debut. At 'Ville note that his teams were only 5-13-1 as DD chalk. Mack was only 11-16 vs. line in Austin in his last five years as Horns coach. Texas also just one cover last five openers. McCarney 5-1 getting 20 or more since 2011, and Mean Green 11-3 last 14 on board. UNT, based on team trends.
at UTEP at NEW MEXICO...Bob Davie 4-1 as home chalk the past two seasons with Lobos and Davie 3-1 vs. line at home vs. non-MW that span. UTEP awful 2-10 vs. line LY in Kugler debut and 0-6 as road dog in 2013. New Mexico, based on UTEP negatives.
at LSU vs. WISCONSIN (at Houston)...Wiscy 9-4-1 as dog since 2009 and Gary Andersen 9-1 last 10 as dog with Badgers & Utah State. Andersen 20-6 vs. line since 2012 at USU & Wiscy. Les Miles 2-6 as chalk away from Baton Rouge the past two seasons. Wisconsin, based on Gary Andersen marks.
Sunday, Aug. 31
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at UTAH STATE at TENNESSEE...Utags only 1-3 as dog LY but were 7-0 in role previous two seasons with Andersen. USU 9-3 last 12 vs. line vs. non-conference and 15-4 as visiting dog since '09 (though 1-2 in role for Matt Wells LY). Butch Jones 1-3 as Knoxville chalk LY and Vols 2-8 in role since 2012. Vols also 2-6 vs. line against non-SEC since 2012. Utags, based on team trends.
at SMU at BAYLOR...June Jones 4-5 as DD dog since 2011 and SMU only 5-11 as visiting dog since 2010. Art Briles 22-8 vs. line since late 2011 and Bears covered all seven laying 20 or more LY. Bears won and covered 59-24 in 2012 in a battle of old SWC rivals Baylor, based on team trends.
Monday, Sept. 1
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at MIAMI-FLA. at LOUISVILLE ...Re-debut of Petrino at 'Ville and Cards' ACC debut as well! Petrino was only 5-7 vs. line at WKU LY though he was 8-4 SU with Tops. At Arkansas, Petrino was 14-4-1 as home chalk from 2009-11 and was 25-13-1 vs. line in those years. Miami dropped 7 of last 8 vs. line LY to tarnish Al Golden's past spread successes, though Canes only 1-4-1 as doggie away from home past two seasons. Louisville, based on extended Petrino trends.

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