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Tech Trends - Week 3
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NFL Trends

Thursday, Sept. 14
Matchup Skinny Edge
NEW MEXICO at BOISE STATE...Boise squeezed out a narrow home cover in opener but still just 1-6 as blue carpet chalk since LY and 12-27 last 39 in role. Lobos have covered last three on blue carpet (with big prices) and Davie 12-7 as road dog since 2013.
New Mexico, based on team and series trends.
Friday, Sept. 15
Matchup Skinny Edge
UMASS at TEMPLE...Owls were 21-7 vs. line last two years and 7-2 as home chalk that span but 0-2 TY for Collins. UMass no covers first 3 TY but Minutemen were 4-2 as road dog LY.
Slight to Temple, based on team trends.
ILLINOIS at SOUTH FLORIDA...Bulls no covers first two this season as heavy chalk after 7-3-1 mark laying DD past two years. Charlie Strong teams no covers last five.
Slight to Illinois, based on recent USF trends.
ARIZONA at UTEP...Kugler just 6-14 as DD dog at UTEP. 2013). Miners 1-3 as home dog LY. But Cats no covers last seven away from Tucson, and 3-9 last 12 vs. line non Pac-12.
UTEP, based on extended UA negatives.
Saturday, Sept. 16
Matchup Skinny Edge
KENTUCKY at SOUTH CAROLINA...Stoops has won last 3 and covered last 4 vs. SC, which is also 0-4-1 vs. line last five in series. UK 4-1 as road dog LY. Cocks just 5-9 vs. line at Columbia since 2014 (Muschamp 2-2 LY).
Kentucky, based on team trends.
NOTRE DAME at BOSTON COLLEGE... Teams don’t meet every year but BC 6-1 vs. line against Irish since 2004. Eagles 0-5 as Chestnut Hill dog past two years but overall were 7-7-1 as dog (covered at Fenway vs. Irish in 2015) since 2015. Irish 2-6 as visiting chalk since 2013.
Boston College, based on series trends.
UCONN at VIRGINIA...UConn on 3-11-1 spread skid since late 2015 (0-1 for Edsall). Huskies 6-11-1 as visiting dog since 2013. Cavs only 1-8 vs. line last 9 since mid 2016 but did cover LT at Rentsch.
Slight to Virginia, based on UConn negatives.
AIR FORCE at MICHIGAN...Harbaugh only 4-5 as Ann Arbor chalk since LY and is 9-10 laying DD since 2015. Force 4-1 as away dog past two years, Calhoun 10-4 overall as dog since 2014, covers last 3 as DD dog.
Air Force, based on team trends.
COASTAL CAROLINA at UAB...CC new at this and 1-0 vs. line but 44-11 SU last 55. Blazers 8-6 vs. line since 2014.
Slight to Coastal Carolina, based on team trends.
CINCINNATI at MIAMI-OHIO...Cincy on 4-11 spread skid since late 2015. RedHawks have covered last four meetings, and 6-3 last 9 vs. line since late 2016.
Miami-Ohio, based on team and series trends.
GEORGIA STATE at PENN STATE...James Franklin 11-1 in last 12 vs. line, 4-1 last five as DD chalk. Though note GSU 18-5 its last 23 as visiting dog since 2013.
Slight to Georgia State, based on extended trends.
IOWA STATE at AKRON...ISU 3-0-1 vs. line last 4 and 4-1-1 vs. spread last 6 after facing Iowa. Bowden 1-6 as home dog since 2014.
Iowa State, based on team trends.
NORTH CAROLINA at OLD DOMINION...Monarchs just 2-9 as dog since 2015. Fedora 4-2 as visiting chalk since 2015 and was 12-8 as chalk the past two seasons.
Slight to UNC, based on team trends.
OKLAHOMA STATE at PITT...Narduzzi just 3-11 vs. line at home with Pitt since 015. Gundy 8-8-1 as chalk since 2015.
Slight to Oklahoma State, based on Pitt home woes.
MTSU at MINNESOTA...Fleck 27-15 vs. spread with WMU & Minny since 2014. If Stockstill getting DD note 7-3 mark last ten in role. Blue Raiders covered at Minneapolis in 2014.
Middle Tennesse, based on team trends.
FIU at INDIANA...Golden Panthers were 8-4-1 as road dog past three years before UCF loss. Hoosiers only 1-3 as home chalk LY and 2-4 as favorite overall. Also 1-4 as DD chalk since 2015.
Slight to FIU, based on team trends.
UCLA at MEMPHIS...Mora now 3-11-1 vs. line last 14 vs. non-Pac 12. Also 5-10-1 last 15 on board. But Memphis just 3-8 last 11 vs. number since early 2016.
Slight to UCLA, based on team trends.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at NEBRASKA...Riley spread marks very middling with Huskers. Huskies 8-2 as visiting dog for Rod Carey.
Northern Illinois, based on team trends.
BAYLOR at DUKE...Throw out the Rhule spread marks at Temple, though he was 20-7 as dog with Owls. Baylor 0-2 for Rhule and 2-7 vs. line as visitor past two years. Cutcliffe 22-12 last 34 and 31-15-1 last 47 on board.
Duke, based on team trends.
KANSAS at OHIO...Solich battered Jayhawks LY but only 1-5 as home chalk in 2016.
Slight to Kansas, based on team trends.
UTAH STATE at WAKE FOREST...Utags 1-10 vs. spread last 11 away from Logan, 5-15 overall last 20 vs. spread. Clawson on 10-4 spread uptick since early LY.
Wake Forest, based on team trends.
CLEMSON at LOUISVILLE...’Ville now 3-8 last 11 on board. Though the games vs. Clemson have been tough the past three years. Petrino 6-5 as dog with Cards. Dabo on 13-7 spread uptick.
Slight to Clemson, based on recent trends.
CENTRAL MICHIGAN at SYRACUSE...CMU 3-9 last 12 vs. line. Also 1-5 vs. line last six away from Mt. Pleasant. Babers 5-2 last 7 as home chalk dating to 2015 at BGSU, also 10-3 last 13 as chalk.
Syracuse, based on Babers chalk marks.
VIRGINIA TECH at EAST CAROLINA...Skidding ECU now on 1-10-1 spread slide. VPI has covered four straight away from Blacksburg.
Virginia Tech, based on team trends.
WISCONSIN at BYU...Paul Chryst in 13-4-1 spread run since late 2015, 9-1 last ten away from Madison. Cougs were 4-0-1 as dog LY but dropped first two in role for 2017. Sitake only 2-5-1 vs. spread at Provo.
Wisconsin, based on team trends.
PURDUE at MISSOURI...Jeff Brohm now on 14-5-1 spread run with his teams since late 2015. Purdue also now 14-3 vs. line its last 17 away from Ross-Ade. Tigers just 9-17 vs. line since 2015.
Purdue, based on Brohm and team trends.
NORTH TEXAS at IOWA...Ferentz was just 10-21 last 31 as Iowa City chalk prior to Wyo win. Still just 5-10 last 15 laying DD. Seth Littrell 3-1 as DD dog away from Denton LY.
Slight to North Texas, based on team trends.
UL-LAFAYETTE at TEXAS A&M...Sumlin 6-15 last 21 laying DD, 5-15-1 vs. spread at College Station since 2014.
Slight to ULL, based on Sumlin negatives.
BOWLING GREEN at NORTHWESTERN...Fitz just 4-9 laying DD since 2013, 7-13 as Evanston chalk same span. BGSU, however, just 1-6 as DD dog for Jinks.
Slight to Northwestern, based on Jinks jinx.
TULANE at OKLAHOMA...Tulane 5-2 vs. line away since LY for Willie Fritz, whose teams are 24-15 vs. line since 2014. OU was only 12-12 laying DD the past three seasons.
Tulane, based on Fritz trends.
TENNESSEE at FLORIDA...Butch Jones got Gators LY but had lost 1-point decisions previous two years and Vols just 2-5 vs. line last seven in series. Butch just 5-9-1 last 14 vs. line and was 0-3-1 vs. line as visitor LY. McElwain 5-1 vs. spread as SEC host in Swamp.
Florida, based on team trends.
SMU at TCU...Road team has covered last 3 in series. Frogs were 0-7 vs. line as host LY. SMU 4-1 as road dog LY.
SMU, based on team and series trends.
LA TECH at WESTERN KENTUCKY...Brohm was 8-4 vs. line as host past two years but Sanford 0-2 vs. line to begin 2017. Skip Holtz 8-3 vs. spread as road dog since 2014.
La Tech, based on Skip marks.
ARMY at OHIO STATE...Urban is only 5-10 as Big Horseshoe chalk since 2015 (1-6 in 2015). Army 8-2-2 last 12 as dog away from Michie, 4-2-1 last 7 as DD dog.
Army, based on team trends.
OREGON STATE at WASHINGTON STATE...Beavs covered 7 of last 8 LY but have dropped first 3 vs. line in 2017. Leach on 2-8 spread skid since mid 2016.
Slight to Oregon State, based on team trends.
APP STATE at TEXAS STATE... Mountaineers 8-1 as visiting chalk since 2015. TSU 1-4 vs. spread last five at San Marcos.
Appalachian State, based on team trends.
COLORADO STATE at ALABAMA...Nick only 4-14 vs. line hosting non-SEC foes in Tuscaloosa (many of those laying huge points). Bobo was 5-0 as visiting dog LY and 7-1 vs. spread last 8 as visitor.
Colorado State, based on team trends.
TULSA at TOLEDO...Tulsa 6-2 as visiting dog for Philip Montgomery since 2015. Also 12-4 vs. line away from home that span. Rockets on 3-7-1 spread skid since mid 2016.
Tulsa, based on team trends.
IDAHO at WESTERN MICHIGAN...Vandals no covers first two TY after covering last 8 to end 2016. But Idaho 15-3 as dog away from Kibbie Dome since 2014. Broncos were only 5-5 as Waldo chalk for Fleck past two years.
Idaho, based on team trends.
SOUTHERN MISS at ULM...USM dropped last 4 vs. line as visitor LY. ULM 8-4 last 12 as dog (6-4 for Matt Viator).
Southern Miss, based on team trends.
OREGON at WYOMING...Bohl was 5-0 as home dog LY as Wyo 7-1 as dog in 2015 though lost first 2017 try at Iowa. Ducks 5-12 last 17 as chalk, Taggart teams are now 12-5-1 as chalk since 2015.
Slight to Wyoming, based on Bohl trends.
LSU at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Dan Mullen has covered last three in series, though all of those vs. Les Miles. Mullen 10-5 as dog since 2014. Orgeron, however, now 4-0 vs. line away from home with LSU.
Slight to Miss State, based on team and series trends.
GEORGIA TECH at UCF...Scott Frost now 4-1 as home chalk for UCF, but Paul Johnson 4-1 last five as dog away from Grant Field. Johnson 11-5 as dog since 2014.
Georgia Tech, based on extended Johnson marks.
KANSAS STATE at VANDERBILT...Bill Snyder 20-9-1 vs. line as visitor since 2011 and has covered last 4 vs. non-Big 12. Vandy, however, 6-1 as home dog past two seasons, and 10-5 last 15 vs. line at Nashville.
Slight to Kansas State, based on Snyder marks.
RICE at HOUSTON...Even after UTEP win, Owls just 5-9-1 vs. line last 15 away from Rice Stadium. UH just 5-13-1 as home chalk (Tom Herman and all for two years) since 2014.
Slight to Rice, based on recent UH woes.
TROY at NEW MEXICO STATE... Ags crushed last three by Troy but NMSU was 3-1 as Las Cruces dog LY and is 5-2 vs. points last seven at home. Ags 9-4 last 13 vs. line. Troy 4-2 as DD chalk LY.
Slight to Troy, based on series trends.
ARIZONA STATE at TEXAS TECH... If Kingsbury chalk note he is 7-1 in role since 2015. Sun Devils 2-9 last vs. points as visitor.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.
TEXAS at SOUTHERN CAL... Horns now 2-8 vs. line last 10 as visitor. Herman was 5-0 as dog with UH, however. SC 8-3 vs. line at Coliseum for Clay Helton.
Slight to USC, based on team trends.
SAN JOSE STATE at UTAH...Spartans 3-14 last 17 as road dog, and 1-7 last eight vs. spread against Power 5 teams. Utes, however, just 3-5 last 8 as DD chalk.
Slight to Utah, based on team trends.
FRESNO STATE at WASHINGTON...Note Tedford was 23-9-1 vs. line his first 33 on board with Cal before things began to flatten a little. Fresno 7-2 vs. line since mid 2016. Petersen only 4-6 laying DD since last season.
Fresno State, based on team trends.
OLE MISS at CAL...Ole Miss on 1-8 spread skid since mid 2016 (0-2 for Luke). Wilcox dramatic debut for Cal, though UNC win upped Bears to just 5-9 as dog since 2015 (1-0 for Wilcox, however).
Slight to Cal, based on Ole Miss woes.
STANFORD at SAN DIEGO STATE...Rocky Long just 10-10 vs. line at home since 2014 (1-0 as home dog). David Shaw 17-9 as visiting favorite since 2011, 25-14 vs. line away from Palo Alto.
Stanford, based on team trends.

· Edwards: Changes in Gainesville
· BetDSI: Handicapping Tennessee (5.5)
· Lawrence: 2018 ACC Preview
· BetDSI: Handicapping Arkansas (5.5)
· Lawrence: 2018 AAC Preview
· Edwards: Backing the Gamecocks
· BetDSI: Handicapping Kentucky (6)
· BetDSI: Handicapping Ole Miss (6)
· Rickenbach: Week 1 - Line Moves
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