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ACC Report - Week 11
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ACC · Big Ten · Big 12 · Pac-12 · SEC
2017 ACC STANDINGS
Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
Boston College 5-4 3-3 6-3 3-6
Clemson 8-1 6-1 4-4-1 3-6
Duke 4-5 1-5 4-4-1 2-7
Florida State 3-5 3-4 0-6-2 1-7
Georgia Tech 4-4 3-3 6-1-1 3-5
Louisville 5-4 2-4 2-7 6-3
Miami (Fla.) 8-0 6-0 4-4 1-7
North Carolina 1-8 0-6 2-7 4-5
North Carolina State 6-3 4-1 4-5 4-5
Pittsburgh 4-5 2-3 3-4-2 1-7-1
Syracuse 4-5 2-3 6-2-1 1-8
Virginia 6-3 3-2 5-4 4-5
Virginia Tech 7-2 3-2 5-4 2-6-1
Wake Forest 5-4 2-3 6-2-1 5-4


North Carolina at Pittsburgh (Thurs. - ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)
The forgettable, injury-plagued season is almost over for the Tar Heels. They limp into Thursday's game in the Steel City with a 1-5 ATS mark over their past six outings, and they're 1-7 ATS across the past eight ACC bouts. Pittsburgh has been a little more impressive against the number, going 3-1-1 ATS in the past five overall. However, they're still 8-20 ATS in the past 28 home games and 1-6 ATS in their past seven at home against teams with a losing road mark. The Panthers are nine-point favorites as of Thursday morning.

North Carolina State at Boston College (ABC or ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Wolfpack hit the road looking to end their skid. In two weeks the Wolfpack have went from having playoff aspirations to a dejected bunch in just two weeks. They were manhandled at Notre Dame two weeks ago, and nearly rebounded in a home game with Clemson. However, they find themselves at 6-3 and with different goals now. Boston College has been quite a story, going from doormat of the ACC to bowl eligibility in a matter of just two seasons. The Eagles have rattled off three straight victories, including road wins at Louisville and Virginia, while embarrassing Florida State 35-3 in the Red Bandana Game last time out. The Eagles have posted six straight covers, but they find themselves as a field-goal underdog as of Thursday AM.

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Duke at Army (CBS Sports Network, 12:00 p.m.)

Duke steps out of conference to face Army in West Point, and the Blue Devils are a two-point favorite. The Blue Devils are an impressive 5-1 SU over their past six bye weeks. At 4-5 SU and on a five-game losing streak, that's a bit of a curious line considering the Black Knights are 7-2 SU, including 5-0 at home, and they're coming off an impressive 21-0 win at Air Force. The Black Knights would love to run the ball at will, and they have actually had four game this season without a pass attempt. They're 3-1 SU in those outings. Duke enters 13-10-1 in the series, including wins in nine of the past 11 meetings.

Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech (ACC Network, 12:20 p.m.)
The Hokies and Yellow Jackets do battle in Atlanta, and it's a battle for a better bowl with the team likely out of the Coastal Division race. The Hokies enter the game just 2-5 ATS in their past seven road games, including a failure last week in Miami. Georgia Tech has been on fire against the number lately, including 6-0 ATS in their past six home games. They're also 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight conference games, 6-1-1 ATS in their past eight against teams with a winning overall mark and 12-3-1 ATS in the past 16 games overall. The head-to-head trends in this series are one-sided, as the underdog is 10-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings, with the road team also going 10-1 ATS during the span. The Hokies are 5-1 ATS in their past six trips to Atlanta, with the under hitting in four of the past five at Ga. Tech. The under has cashed in five straight meetings overall.

Wake Forest at Syracuse (ACC Network, 3:00 p.m.)
Wake heads to upstate New York trying to squeeze the Orange, but Syracuse enters as a slight home favorite. This game is vital to each team's chances at bowl eligibility, with Wake 5-4 SU and 'Cuse 4-5. More importantly, Wake Forest has posted an 8-2-1 ATS mark over their past 11 ACC games, and they're 7-2-1 ATS in 10 games overall. They have also dominated on the road, going 9-3 ATS across their past 12 road tilts, and 3-1-1 ATS in the past five against teams with a losing overall mark. The Orange have been hot against the number, too, going 5-0-1 ATS in their past six league outings, and 6-0-1 ATS in the past seven overall. The favorite has hit in five stragiht, while the home team is 4-1 ATS in the past five in the series. The Demon Deacons are just 1-5 ATS across the past six in this series.

Florida State at Clemson (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
Normally this would be a marquee matchup, and Clemson has held their end of the bargain up. The defending champs are 8-1 SU and poised for another playoff appearance. However, FSU has slipped to 3-5 SU and they're an uncharacteristic 16-point underdog heading into this one. The public has bet it down from an opening line of 18, but that's bold considering the fact the 'Noles have yet to cover this season (0-6-2 ATS). The Seminoles are also 0-3-2 ATS in their past five against teams with a winning record, while the Tigers are 0-3-1 ATS in their past four league games and 2-8 ATS in their past 10 against teams with a losing record. Something's gotta give here. FSU is 2-8 ATS in their past 10 trips to Death Valley, and that's been with teams much, much better than this one. The over is 9-4 in the past 13 in this series, although the under is the overwhelming trend for both sides lately. The under is 7-1 in FSU's past eight overall, and 20-7 in their past 27 league games. The under is 5-1 in Clemson's past six, 4-0 in their past four at home and 5-1 in their past six inside the conference.

Virginia at Louisville (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)
The Cavaliers head to Kentucky to battle the Wildcats, and while the Hoos enter with a better record (6-3 SU vs. 5-4 SU), they're a double-digit underdog. The Cavs are 4-0 ATS in their past four agaisnt a team with a winning record, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven overall. Louisville has covered just once in the past five ACC battles, and 1-6 ATS in their past seven overall. And Louisville is just 0-7 ATS in the past seven at home, and 0-7 ATS in their past seven against teams with a winning overall record, too. Total bettors might like the over instead. While the under is 12-5-1 in the past 18 road games, and 20-9-1 in the past 30 for UVA, the over is 4-1 in the past five for Virginia against a team with a winning overall mark. The over is 4-1 in the past five for the Cardinals, and 5-1 in the past six ACC bouts.

Notre Dame at Miami-Florida (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)
The marquee game of the day, not only in the ACC, but in all of college football, takes place in South Florida. It's like taking a time machine back to the 1980's or 1990's, as Catholics vs. Convicts has been trending again on social media and pre-game talk. But it's a long time since Miami was considered the bad boys of football, and they're running a very clean program under Mark Richt. But they're also reminding fans of the days when the Hurricanes were a dominant force on the recruiting trail, as well as the field. Notre Dame has also awakened the echoes, and this game is basically a de facto battle for a spot in the College Football Playoff. A loss is devastating, especially for the Irish, while a signature win strengthens an already strong resume.

The Irish are an impressive 6-1 ATS in the past sevenoverall, and 4-1 ATS in their past five road games, while Miami is 7-0 ATS in their past seven games in the month of November, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven outside of the conference. The Canes are also 5-2 ATS in their past seven agaisnt teams with a winning record. However, they have failed to cover in six straight against independents. The over is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 overall for Notre Dame, and 12-5 ATS in the past 17 road games. For Miami, it's the opposite, with the under 6-0 in the past six overall and 5-1 in their past six at home.

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HEADLINES
Nelson: Ole Miss at Miss State
ASA: Big Ten Report - Week 13
Williams: Pac-12 Report - Week 13
Williams: Big 12 Report - Week 13
Williams: ACC Report - Week 13
Lawrence: Inside the Stats - Week 13
Marshall: Tech Trends - Week 13
Bookmaker: Friday's Best Bets
Bookmaker: Books adjust Baker, Heisman
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