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Inside the Stats - Week 13
Editor's Note: Marc Lawrence's pro and college football selections can be purchased weekly on VegasInsider.com.

Stats don’t lie. People who interpret them do.

Let’s take a look at how teams are performing this season ‘Inside The Stats’.

LOOKING INSIDE THE STATS

Here are the teams who won phony games ‘inside-out’ ITS (In The Stats) but were out-gained by 100 or more yards in their last game. This week includes:

College Football: Wake Forest
NFL: Cincinnati, Tampa Bay

PUTTIN’ ON THE STATS PLAY LIST

Listed below are the qualifying teams to date with their respective ITS win-loss records that have either won or lost all - or all but one – of their games in the stats. Play accordingly as long as these teams remain on this list from now thru the end of the season.

Play On ITS teams: Alabama 10-1, Central Florida 9-1, Georgia 10-1, Oklahoma 11-0, Oklahoma State 10-1, South Florida 10-0, and Wisconsin 11-0.

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Play Against ITS teams: Connecticut 0-10-1, Rutgers 1-10, and UTEP 1-10.

WHAT HAVE YOU DONE FOR ME LATELY

It’s apparent that certain teams are in current form that is diametrically opposite to that of their overall season-to-date team stats.

The net differential of their overall team stats, with a net difference of 100 YPG or more since Game Seven (the second-half of the season), as opposed to the overall season-to-date team stats, are contained below. You would be wise to observe these opposite-form comparison teams.

Positive Game Seven Out Net Stats: East Carolina +104, Georgia Southern +109, and Missouri +154.

Negative Game Seven Out Net Stats: Ball State -118, Georgia Tech -107, Oklahoma State -104, Oregon -104, and Virginia -104.

LEAKING OIL

Each week on the football card each we isolate favorites that have been out-gained in each of their last three games.

We call them ‘leaking oil’ favorites for reasons that are self-explanatory. Here are this week’s Pennzoil favorites and their current ITS losing skein record.

College Football: Kansas State 0-8, Wyoming 0-3.

NFL: Cincinnati Bengals 0-5, Washington Redskins 0-5.

SEASON-HIGH, SEASON-LOW

One of the gauges of how a team can be expected to perform on the field is how they go toe-to-toe with other teams throughout the course of a season.

When a team holds another to season-low yardage it’s an indicator that their defense is legit. Conversely, when they allow foes season-high yards their defense is waning and trouble is generally looming.

With that thought in mind, below is a list of teams that have held four or more FBS opponents to either season-low marks, or season-high yards this campaign, along with the amount of times they have accomplished the feat this season to date:

Season-lows: Alabama 5, Boston College 4, Clemson 5, Michigan 6, Michigan State 4, Ohio State 5, TCU 6, Texas 4, Virginia Tech 4, Washington 5, Washington State 5.

Season-highs: Bowling Green 4, UCLA 4, UL Lafayette 5, and UL Monroe 5.

On the NFL side of things…

Season-lows: Carolina Panthers 4, Jacksonville Jaguars 6.

Season-highs: Buffalo Bills 0-3, New York Giants 3, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3

STAT OF THE WEEK

South Florida has scored 24 or more points in each of its last 27 games. Central Florida is 3-18 SU and 4-17 ATS in its last 21 lined games in which it has yielded 24 or more points.

  
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· Mizzou assistant arrested for missing court
· Utah State rips UNT in NM Bowl
· Tulane tops Louisiana in Cure Bowl
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· Georgia Southern tops Eastern Michigan
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