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Tech Trends - Week 14
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NFL Trends

Friday, Decebmber 1
Matchup Skinny Edge
STANFORD vs. SOUTHERN CAL (Pac 12 title Friday, December 1 at Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA)...SC a bit streaky vs. line TY and only 4-8 vs. spread in 2017. Trojans just 5-11 last 16 vs. line away from Coliseum (but 5-4 last nine). Tree had won 7 of last 9 SU and covered 10 of last 14 in series prior to loss on September 9. Cardinal 10-3-1 as dog for David Shaw since 2011.
Stanford, based on team and extended series trends.

Saturday, December 2
Matchup Skinny Edge
IDAHO at GEORGIA STATE...Note Vandals have covered 8 straight and 14 of last 15 as Belt visitor!
Idaho, based on team trends.
UL-LAFAYETTE at APPALACHIAN STATE...ULL 6-2 vs. spread last eight on Sun Belt road, though hasn’t been closer than 19 points the last three years in series.
Slight to ULL, based on team trends.
GEORGIA SOUTHERN at COASTAL CAROLINA...Since Summers dismissal, GSU is 3-1-1 vs. line after posting 4-14 mark prior since beginning of last season. Coastal no covers last four at home in debut Belt year.
Georgia Southern, based on recent trends.
TROY at ARKANSAS STATE...Troy not great vs. line this season but has been pretty good on road (3-1-1 vs. line), now 9-3-1 last 13 vs. line away from home. Though Trojans have lost four in a row SU vs. Ark State dating back to 2011. Neal Brown 7-2-1 as dog since 2015 season.
Slight to Troy, based on team trends.
SOUTH ALABAMA at NEW MEXICO STATE...Jags 5-12 vs. points last 17 as road dog and that does not count the 52-0 loss at Ga Southern on Nov. 18! USA just 10-21 last 31 on board. Still a chance NMSU gets bowl-eligible and Ags on 10-6-1 spread uptick since mid 2016. Ags also 4-2 last six as chalk.
NMSU, based on team trends.
UMASS at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL....UMass has covered four of last five in 2017 including four straight on road. FIU 0-3 as chalk this season, no covers last four in role since 2016.
UMass, based on team trends.
ULM at FLORIDA STATE...Noles just 2-9 vs. spread this season (though covers last two).
Slight to ULM, based on recent trends.
NORTH TEXAS at FLORIDA ATLANTIC (Conference USA title game)...Rematch of FAUs’s 69-31 win back on October 21. That was one of six covers last eight this season for the Owls. UNT also hot down stretch with four covers in a row to end the season and is 8-3 as dog away from home under Littrell since last season.
FAU, based on team trends.
MEMPHIS at UCF (American title game)...Rematch of 40-13 UCF win and cover back on Sept. 30. Memphis hot down stretch with five straight covers but Mike Norvell just 3-4 as dog since last season. UCF only 1-4 vs. line last five in 2017 but was 14-5 vs. spread (if counting Cincy as cover TY) prior for Scott Frost since 2016.
UCF, based on team trends.
AKRON vs. TOLEDO (MAC title game at Ford Field, Detroit)...Rematch of Oct. 21 game win big by Toledo, 48-21. Rockets won by almost identical 48-17 score last season. Toledo was hot vs. line down stretch, winning and covering six of last seven after 3-10-1 spread skid prior. Terry Bowden 4-4 as dog this season, just 7-8 in role since 2016.
Toledo, based on recent and series trends.
AUBURN vs. GEORGIA (SEC title game at Mercedes Benz Stadium, Atlanta)...Rematch of Auburn’s 40-17 win on Nov. 11. Georgia, however, had won and covered previous three in series. Bulldogs on 9-4 spread uptick since late 2016, and 7-1 vs. spread last eight away from Athens.
Georgia, based on team and extended series trends.
FRESNO STATE at BOISE STATE (Mountain West title game)...Rematch of Fresno’s 28-17 win at Bulldog Stadium last Sunday. Bulldogs were 8-2-2 vs. spread this season for Jeff Tedford, and FSU on 13-4-2 spread run since mid 2016. Boise 2-12-1 vs. spread last 15 as blue carpet chalk (though did cover last two).
Fresno State, based on team and recent trends.
MIAMI-FLA. vs. CLEMSON (ACC title game at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte)...Miami was only 5-6 vs. line this season for Mark Richt, and just 2-2 vs. points away from Hard Rock Stadium. Clemson has covered last three this season, and is 8-1 vs. line in conference title/bowl games since 2012 (only non-cover was in LY’s ACC title game).
Clemson, based on team trends.
OHIO STATE vs. WISCONSIN (Big Ten title game at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis)...Wiscy has lost last five SU vs. Buckeyes since win in 2010. Included was 59-0 blowout loss in this game in 2014. Though Badgers covered LY’s OT loss at Madison. Badgers on 20-7-1 spread run for Paul Chryst since late in 2015 season, if dog note Wiscy 8-1 in role since 2014 (6-1 for Chryst). Badgers 13-2 vs. points last 15 away from Madison (if counting Cotton Bowl as W LY). Urban Meyer just 5-10 vs. points last 15 on board since mid 2016.
Wisconsin, based on team trends.
TCU vs. OKLAHOMA (Big 12 title game at Jerry Jones AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX)...Rematch of OU’s 38-20 win and cover at Norman on Nov. 11. Prior to this season, the five meetings since TCU joined Big 12 were all decided by 7 or fewer points. Patterson 10-5 last 15 as dog, and Sooners only covered one of last five away from Norman this season.
Slight to TCU, based on extended series and team trends.

Bookmaker: CFP Betting Notes
DiNitto: Opening Line Report - Bowls
Edwards: College Playoff Primer
Ole Miss QB Patterson off to Michigan
Pittsburgh S Whitehead to enter draft
Florida DT Bryan leaving school early
Oklahoma leads with All-Americans
Washington St. WR Martin leaves program
Iowa's Jewell wins Lott IMPACT Trophy
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