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Handicapping Miss State (8)
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The Mississippi State Bulldogs begin a new era in 2018, as gone is Dan Mullen and in is Joe Moorhead. The Bulldogs were reasonably successful under Mullen, but they still only had a winning conference record once in his tenure. Mullen is now at Florida, while Moorhead comes over from Penn State where he was the offensive coordinator.

The Bulldogs should benefit in 2018 from playing seven home games, but they do have to deal with Alabama, Auburn and Texas A&M this season. The Bulldogs also have a highly anticipated home game against Florida and former head coach Mullen.

Mississippi State Bulldogs 2018 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8 (-115)
Under 8 (-115)

The Bulldogs bring back quarterback Nick Fitzgerald, and he should be ready to go after dislocating his foot late last season. He should excel under Moorhead, who is known to run a quarterback-friendly system. The question for the Bulldogs will be on defense, as Bob Shoop comes over from Tennessee. Mississippi State gave up 30 points or more in their four losses last season.

2018 SEC Win Totals

2018 Mississippi State Bulldogs Schedule Analysis

Sept. 1 vs. Stephen F. Austin
The season opener for Mississippi State should be an easy win. The Bulldogs have lost only once to an FCS team and that happened in 2004.

Sept. 8 at Kansas State
This game at Manhattan will not be easy, as the Wildcats are still coached by Bill Snyder and they usually play well at home. Mississippi State has not visited Manhattan since the 1977 season.

Sept. 15 vs. Louisiana
The Bulldogs should be able to fatten up on Louisiana before they begin their SEC schedule. The Bulldogs have won all three previous meetings against the Ragin’ Cajuns.

Sept. 22 at Kentucky
The Wildcats were shredded by Fitzgerald last season in a 45-7 loss and even though this game is in Lexington this time around, it is hard to see Mississippi State losing this one.

Sept. 29 vs. Florida
This is the game of the year for some Mississippi State fans, as they are going against their former head coach. The Bulldogs are more than capable of winning this game at home.

Oct. 6 vs. Auburn
The Bulldogs were destroyed in this game a year ago, as they lost 49-10. Mississippi State should be more competitive this time around, but the Bulldogs are still a notch below the Tigers in terms of overall talent.

Oct. 20 at LSU
The Bulldogs get an extra week to prepare for this contest. It will be a revenge game for LSU, as they were routed 37-7 last year in Starkville. It was the first win in 17 years for Mississippi State at home in this series. This is not a bad spot for the Bulldogs, as it is a sandwich game for LSU in between Georgia and Alabama.

Oct. 27 vs. Texas A&M
The Bulldogs won last year 34-14 but this time around they go against a new Texas A&M team that is coached by Jimbo Fisher. This is one of those swing games that will decide the season for Mississippi State.

Nov. 3 vs. Louisiana Tech
This is a trap game for the Bulldogs, as they face Alabama next week. Mississippi State should still win this game, but it may not be easy.

Nov. 10 at Alabama
The Bulldogs have not won at Alabama since 2007. The Bulldogs had the Crimson Tide on the ropes a year ago, leading 21-17 in the fourth quarter but they couldn’t hold the lead.

Nov. 17 vs. Arkansas
The Bulldogs just barely won at Arkansas last season, as Fitzgerald hit Thomas for the game winning TD with 17 seconds left. The Razorbacks will have a new head coach this season in Chad Morris and it may take him some time to turn the Razorbacks around.

Nov. 22 at Mississippi
The Egg Bowl will be at Oxford this season and it should be another excellent contest. The Rebels won last year’s game in Starkville 31-28 after Fitzgerald left with an injury.

When you look at the 2018 Mississippi schedule it is easy to see this team going 8-4 and landing right on the win total of eight games.

If you want to lean one way or another, going over the total could be the way to go, as Mississippi State is capable of pulling off an upset to get to nine wins.

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