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Handicapping Missouri (6.5)
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The Missouri Tigers will once again rely heavily on Drew Lock in 2018, as the quarterback returns for his senior season. Lock led the FBS last season with 44 touchdown passes, but he decided to stay in school after his NFL Draft projections were lower than he expected.  Lock will not have his top receiver, as J’Mon Moore left for the NFL. The Tigers were extremely inconsistent last season, as they had a five-game losing streak and a six-game winning streak.  Let’s look at the Tigers and their win total for this season.

Missouri 2018 Regular Season Win Total - per
Over 6.5 (-105)
Under 6.5 (-125)

The Tigers were inconsistent a year ago, but they were actually a pretty easy team to figure out. They beat all of the teams they were supposed to beat and they lost to every team that was better than they were.  They finished with a winning record on the season, but they lost to Texas in their bowl game. Missouri has a potent offense led by Lock and the Tigers have some young talent around him including running backs Damarea Crockett and Larry Rountree III. The Tigers are going to score a lot of points, so how far they go in 2018 will be determined by their defense. The Tigers have Terry Beckner Jr. who is one of the top defensive linemen in the SEC.

SEC Win Totals

2018 Missouri Tigers Schedule Analysis

Sept. 1 UT Martin
The Tigers get an easy opener against a Tennessee-Martin team that is not going to put up much of a fight. The Tigers should score at least 50 points in their home opener and roll to an easy win.

Sept. 8 Wyoming
The Tigers should not have much trouble against a Wyoming team breaking in a new quarterback. Missouri should be 2-0 after this one.

Sept. 15 at Purdue
You never like to say that a team’s season will be determined by one game, but if Missouri is going to have a winning season this is almost a must-win game, because the next three games are almost certain losses.

Sept. 22 Georgia
The Tigers are going to score points against the Bulldogs, but Georgia has too much talent on both sides of the ball for Missouri.

Oct. 6 at South Carolina
The Tigers come off their week off and travel to South Carolina for a very difficult road contest. The week off will help, but this is still a tough one for the Tigers.

Oct. 13 at Alabama
Missouri doesn’t have the talent to compete with Alabama, especially on the road, so this is another loss.

Oct. 20 Memphis
Missouri gets a break after Alabama with two home games they need to win. Missouri should have enough offense to outscore Memphis in this one.

Oct. 27 Kentucky
The Tigers can’t afford to lose this one against a Kentucky team that continues to improve. The game earlier in the season at Purdue was very important, and this game against Kentucky is also one of those must-win games.

Nov. 3 at Florida
The Tigers are capable of going to Florida and competing with the Gators. Florida has a new head coach and it may take Dan Mullen a while to turn things around in Gainesville.

Nov. 10 Vanderbilt
The Tigers should be able to outscore a Vanderbilt team that almost never plays well on the road.

Nov. 17 at Tennessee
The Tigers might need to win one of their final two games of the season to assure a winning record. Winning at Tennessee is never easy, but Missouri has the offense to make it exciting.

Nov. 24 Arkansas
The Tigers and Razorbacks look to be similar teams, but Missouri is at home and they should be favored. This game could decide Missouri’s season win total.

2018 Missouri Tigers Season Win Total Prediction

If everything goes as expected, and rarely does that happen, the Tigers should go 7-5 and go over their win total of 6.5. The Tigers have seven games they should win and five they will probably lose. The factor that points to the win total going over is that of their five probable losses, three of those games could be competitive and Missouri is more likely to go 8-4 than they are to go 5-7.

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