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Handicapping Arkansas (5.5)
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The Arkansas Razorbacks are going to look a lot different in 2018 than they did a year ago, as they have a new head coach in Chad Morris and a new defensive coordinator in John Chavis. There is no question that Arkansas will score a lot of points, as Morris runs a spread attack.

The question is how much Chavis can improve the defense.  The Razorbacks won just four games last season, so Morris doesn’t need to do that much for Arkansas to show improvement this year.

Oddsmakers put the win total for the Razorbacks at 5.5. Let’s look at the schedule for Arkansas to see if they will go over or under that number.

Arkansas 2018 Regular Season Win Total - per
Over 5.5 (-110)
Under 5.5 (-120)

The Razorbacks averaged 29 points per game last season, so they were not that bad on offense. The defense was a major problem, as they gave up 36.2 points per game in SEC play. Arkansas lost three games by a combined 17 points last season, so they could have finished at least 6-6 if they won a couple of those games. Arkansas has seven home games this season, so getting to six wins is definitely possible.

SEC Win Totals

2018 Arkansas Razorbacks Schedule Analysis

Sept. 1 vs. Eastern Illinois
The opener for Morris should be a cakewalk, as Eastern Illinois doesn’t have the talent to compete with the Hogs.

Sept. 8 at Colorado State
The Razorbacks get a good test in their second game, as they travel to Fort Collins to face the Rams.  This is definitely a winnable game for Arkansas, as Colorado State is simply an average team that goes 7-6 every year. Arkansas gets the added edge of facing the Rams after they played Colorado the previous week.

Sept. 15 vs. North Texas
This should be another win for Arkansas, as they face the Mean Green. It may not be easy though, as North Texas did win the West Division of Conference USA last season, but this game is in Fayetteville and the Hogs should win.

Sept. 22 at Auburn
The first huge test of the season for Arkansas is on the road at Auburn. This one figures to be very high scoring and it is also a game that Arkansas figures to lose. The good news for Arkansas is that Auburn will be coming off a game against LSU and could have a letdown.

Sept. 29 vs. Texas A&M (AT&T Stadium - Arlington, Texas)
This should be an excellent matchup between two teams with new coaches. The Razorbacks have lost the last six against A&M, but this is a game that can win, as it may take Jimbo Fisher some time to get his system in place at A&M. The Hogs get a break, as the Aggies could have a letdown after facing Alabama last week.

Oct. 6 vs. Alabama
It has been ugly for Arkansas in this series, as they have lost the last 11 against the Crimson Tide. The Razorbacks will be solid home underdogs, but Chavis has seen Alabama’s offense a lot and Arkansas might make this game closer than expected.

Oct. 13 vs. Mississippi (War Memorial Stadium - Little Rock)
This one won’t be easy for the Hogs coming off the game against Alabama. Ole Miss has a high-powered offense that scored 33 points per game last season. Betting the over in this game should be the way to go.

Oct. 20 vs. Tulsa
This game should be a win for Arkansas, as they have beaten Tulsa 18 straight times going back to 1977.

Oct. 27 vs. Vanderbilt
There is no reason to think that Vandy is going to go into Fayetteville and come out with a win.

Nov. 10 vs. LSU
This game comes after a bye week for Arkansas, so they will be well rested. This is a winnable game for Arkansas, as it comes at home and LSU will be coming off their game against Alabama.

Nov. 17 at Mississippi State
The Hogs continue to get scheduling breaks, as this will be the third time they will be facing a team coming off a game against Alabama. It should be a high scoring game as the Bulldogs hired Joe Moorhead who ran Penn State’s high scoring offense last season.

Nov. 24 at Missouri
The Tigers won 48-45 at Fayetteville last season, so this is a revenge game for the Hogs. This should be another high scoring game, as the Tigers feature quarterback Drew Lock.

2018 Arkansas Razorbacks Season Win Total Prediction

The schedule really couldn’t set up much better for the Hogs in 2018. They have four games they should win rather easily and another six games they are not without a chance to win. They just need to win two of those six to go over the total. A 6-6 or 7-5 season looks probable for Arkansas and that means they go over their win total of 5.5 at BetDSI.

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