Tech Trends – Week 2

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NFL Trends - Week 1

Friday, Sept. 7
Matchup Skinny Edge
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TCU at SMU...SMU has lost last 6 SU in Metroplex war, and not closer than 19 last five meetings. Sonny Dykes just 12-21 last 33 as dog at Cal and SMU.
TCU, based on team and series trends.
Saturday, Sept. 8
Matchup Skinny Edge
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LIBERTY at ARMY... Army just 4-9 as Michie chalk past three seasons, 8-14 overall as chalk since Monken arrived.
Liberty, based on team trends.
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UAB at COASTAL CAROLINA...UAB won and covered this matchup in 2017. Blazers now 11-4-1 last 16 on board for Clark.
UAB, based on team trends.
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GEORGIA TECH at SOUTH FLORIDA...Paul Johnson no covers last six as visiting chalk. USF 7-4 last 11 as dog.
Slight to South Florida, based on team trends.
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WESTERN MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN...Harbaugh just 1-6 last 7 as Ann Arbor chalk. Also no covers last three at home vs. non-Big Ten, and 7-14 vs. spread last 21 overall. Broncos 12-7 last 19 as dog.
Western Michigan, based on team trends.
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APP STATE at CHARLOTTE... App was 8-1 as road chalk 2015-16 before slumping to 1-4 in role last season. 49ers entered 2018 on 5-10 spread slide.
App State, based on team trends.
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EASTERN MICHIGAN at PURDUE...Eagles an awesome 10-1 as visiting dog the past two seasons, 14-2-1 overall as short since 2016. Brohm 28-16-1 last 45 vs. line with WKU & Purdue, including NU loss. Boilermakers have also covered last five vs. non-Big Ten.
Slight to Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.
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NEW MEXICO at WISCONSIN...Paul Chryst now 10-5-1 as DD chalk since 2016 after non-cover vs. WKU. Badgers are 20-10-1 overall vs. spread since late 2015, however. Davie just 4-7 vs. line away since 2016.
Wisconsin, based on team trends.
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AIR FORCE at FAU... Lane Kiffin is 0-4 SU in reg.-season with FAU vs. FBS non-CUSA foes. All but 1 of Owls' 9 BCS covers LY vs. C-USA. AFA 7-2 as visiting dog since 2015 and 13-6 overall as dog since 2014.
Air Force, based on team trends.
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FIU at ODU...ODU has won SU last two years. FIU just 4-8-1 last 13 vs. line away (2-4 LY for Butch). Monarchs, however, just 1-5 vs. line at Norfolk LY after 5-0-1 as host in 2016.
Slight to Old Dominion, based on series trends.
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DUKE at NORTHWESTERN...Home team has won and covered last two years in series, and Pat Fitz 9-5 as Evanston chalk since 2015. Cats also on 9-game SU win streak after Purdue win. Cutcliffe, however, on extended 20-11-1 run as dog since 2013.
Slight to Northwestern, based on recent trends.
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MISSISSIPPI STATE at KANSAS STATE..Bill Snyder 4-8 overall vs. number at Manhattan since 2016.
Slight to Miss State, based on team trends.
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ARIZONA at HOUSTON...If Cougs chalk note just 7-14-1 vs. line in role past two years. Also 7-13-1 last 21 on board overall, though did win and cover at Tucson LY. Under Rich-Rod, Cats were just 2-12 as visiting dog past four years, Sumlin 5-8 in that role past five years.
Slight to Arizona, based on UH negatives.
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NEVADA at VANDERBILT... Derek Mason just 1-6 vs. line against non-CUA, non-SEC opposition as chalk since arriving in 2014. Mason 6-8 as chalk overall that span. Pack 6-2 last 8 vs. line after Portland State romp.
Nevada, based on team trends.
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GEORGIA STATE at NC STATE...GSU 19-5 as visiting dog since 2013 (though only 1-1 in role LY for Shawn Elliott). NCS 0-5 as Raleigh chalk since LY.
Georgia State, based on extended team trends.
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UCLA at OKLAHOMA...Chip was 3-2 as rare dog at Oregon 2009-12, but Bruins just 3-9 last 12 in role (Mora for all but bowl LY). UCLA 0-8-1 last 9 vs. line non-conference entering 2018.
Oklahoma, based on UCLA negatives.
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NEW MEXICO STATE at UTAH STATE...Tough start to 2018 for NMSU with pair of SU and spread Ls before August complete. Rematch of NMSU win at Arizona Bowl . Utags 5-2 as home chalk the past two seasons.
Utah State, based on team trends.
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KANSAS at CENTRAL MICHIGAN... CMU 5-4 as DD chalk for Bonamego. KU 5-10-1 as road dog for Beaty since 2015.
Central Michigan, based on KU negatives.
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UTEP at UNLV... Miners 5-11-1 as road dog the past three years, something Dimel must improve upon. Miners just 2-10-1 vs. line overall since last season.
UNLV, based on team trends.
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MEMPHIS at NAVY... Early American showdown! Navy has covered all three meetings since 2015, athough Mids only 1-6 vs. spread last 7 at Annapolis.
Navy, based on series trends.
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NORTH CAROLINA at EAST CAROLINA... Pirates just 6-17-1 vs. line past two years under Scottie Montgomery. Only 2-5 as home dog LY (3-9 overall as dog in 2017...which was all games!). UNC did cover last four down stretch in 2017 after 1-7 mark first 8 vs. line. UNC 5-2 as road chalk since 2015.
UNC, based on team trends.
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RUTGERS at OHIO STATE...Former OSU assistant Ash has been buried past two years by Bucks by a combined 114-0! ‘Gers however was 4-1 as road dog last season (4-3 overall getting DD). Bucks have won and covered all four meetings since 2014, combined score 220-24!
Ohio State, based on series trends.
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BUFFALO at TEMPLE...Owls also started slow LY (no covers first 4). Temple 0-4 as home chalk since LY. UB 6-1-1 last 8 as dog.
Buffalo, based on team trends.
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GEORGIA at SOUTH CAROLINA...Kirby Smart now 10-1 vs. line last 11 away from Athens. UGa has won last three in series all by 14 or more. Muschamp, however, 7-1 as dog last season, though only 3-5 vs. spread last 8 at Williams-Brice.
Georgia, based on team and series trends.
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BAYLOR at UTSA... Rhule actually covered 3 of 5 as visitor in otherwise disastrous 2017 for Bears. Though Bears only 4-10 as chalk post-Art Briles. Frank Wilson 7-4 as dog with UTSA since 2016.
Slight to UTSA, based on team trends.
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ARKANSAS STATE at ALABAMA...This has been the flat spot for Nick, as he’s 2-8-1 vs. line last 11 at home vs. non-SEC BCS opposition since 2011. Saban has also covered just one of last six in Game 2. Ark State 13-8 last 21 on board, 3-2 last 5 as DD dog.
Arkansas State, based on team trends.
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COLORADO at NEBRASKA...Coach Mac was 7-2 as visiting dog prior to LY when Buffs slipped to 1-3 in role. Also CU was on 15-6 spread uptick into LY before 3-9 vs. spread in 2017, but bounced back nicely vs. Colo State in opener. Scott Frost only covered 2 of last 7 (2-4-1) in 2017 with UCF and 7-7-1 last 18 15 vs. spread with Knights. Huskers were 5-9-1 as Lincoln chalk for Riley past three years.
Colorado, based on team trends.
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ULM at SOUTHERN MISS...Matt Viator 7-3 as DD dog the past two years for ULM. Jay Hopson just 4-8 as DD chalk for USM since arriving in 2016.
Slight to UL Monroe, based on team trends.
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BALL STATE at NOTRE DAME...Cards only 1-5 as road dog LY after 5-0 mark in previous 2016 for Neu. Also just 1-6 as DD dog LY. Brian Kelly 7-3 laying DD past two years (though only 5-7 as home chalk that span).
Slight to Notre Dame, based on team trends.
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IOWA STATE at IOWA... Hawkeyes have now won last 3 SU in Cy-Hawk but series has been mostly competitive in recent years. ISU had covered 8 of previous 9 at Iowa City prior to loss in 2016. Matt Campbell 11-6-1 as dog with Cyclones and 6-1 vs. spread away LY. Ferentz 13-22-1 as Iowa City chalk since 2012.
Iowa State, based on team trends.
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MARYLAND at BOWLING GREEN...Jinks 0-5 vs. line as host LY part of underwhelming 7-18 vs. spread overall since taking over Falcs in 2016. BG only 2-5 as DD dog in 2017 too.
Maryland, based on BG negatives.
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UMASS at GEORGIA SOUTHERN...Eagles just 2-6-1 vs. line at Statesboro past two seasons, much of that however with since-dismissed HC Summers. UMass won this one 55-20 LY. If Minutemen happen to be dog note 8-2 spread mark on road in role past two seasons (8-4 overall vs. line on road).
UMass, based on team trends.
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CLEMSON at TEXAS A&M...Jimbo lost last 3 SU vs. Dabo but did cover two of those with Noles. Clemson only 5-5 vs. spread as visitor past two years and just 1-4 vs. line last five as visitor against non-ACC foes. Dabo 7-11 as visiting chalk since 2014. A&M only 4-9-2 as dog past three years.
Slight to Clemson, based on team trends.
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WYOMING at MISSOURI...Bohl 12-5 as dog since 2016, though just 6-6 vs. spread as visitor that span. Also 1-3 vs. line last four as visitor vs. non-MW. Mizzou covered 7 of last 8 in reg season LY and if DD chalk note Odom 5-1 in role since 2016.
Slight to Wyoming, based on team trends.
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VIRGINIA at INDIANA... Mendenhall just 8-11 as dog at UVa after mostly better success in role at BYU. Hoosiers 3-0 as Bloomington chalk LY and also romped 34-17 at Charlottesville.
Indiana, based on team trends.
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KENTUCKY at FLORIDA...UK hasn’t beaten Florida SU since 1986! Cats also 2-9 vs. line last 11 in series (though did cover LY). Dan Mullen 8-1 SU last nine years vs. UK while with MSU.
Florida, based on series trends.
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UTAH at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Utes 8-3 vs. line as visitor since 2016 and have covered five straight as visitor vs. non-Pac 12. Huskies 1-2 in rare DeKalb dog role since 2012.
Utah, based on team trends.
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FRESNO STATE at MINNESOTA...Tedford 6-0 as dog last season and 7-0-1 vs. spread away from Dog House in 2017. Gophers 5-8 as home chalk since 2016 counting NMSU win (Fleck 3-3).
Fresno State, based on team trends.
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ARKANSAS at COLORADO STATE...Ater CU blowout loss, Rams have now failed to cover 9 straight since mid 2017. Hogs however haven’t covered as visiting chalk since Petrino days of 2010 (0-5) and just 7-14-1 overall vs. spread entering 2018.
Arkansas, based on CSU negatives.
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CINCINNATI vs. MIAMI-OHIO (at Paul Brown Stadium)...Cincy has won 11 of last 12 SU in this long-time local rivalry though has dropped 3 of last 5 vs. line against RedHawks. Bearcats entered 2018 only 9-19 last 28 on board (that counts UCF as a loss LY even if no payout due to lightning).
Slight to Miami-Ohio, based on team trends.
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TULSA at TEXAS...Horns were a different team after opener LY covering 8 of next 12. Though Tom Herman only 1-4 as Austin chalk LY. Tulsa just 3-6 vs. spread down stretch LY.
Slight to Texas, based on team trends.
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SOUTH ALABAMA at OKLAHOMA STATE...Gundy 10-12-1 since 2014 in once-profitable DD chalk role, also 10-10-1 as Stillwater chalk that span. USA entered 2018 on 11-21 spread skid but covered opener.
Oklahoma State, based on team trends.
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PENN STATE at PITT...Road team has covered last two years in series though home side won SU in each. James Franklin only 2-2 as visiting chalk LY after 3-0 mark in role in 2016. Nittany Lions still 19-9 vs. spread since 2016 and James Franklin 10-3 vs. spread away from Happy Valley that span. Narduzzi just 6-14 vs. spread at Heinz Field since arriving in 2015.
Penn State, based on team trends.
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USC at STANFORD...Trojans beat Tree twice SU LY but Stanford 9-4 last 13 vs. spread in series. SC 3-9 as visiting dog since 2012 and Helton 4-12 vs. points since late 2016.
Stanford, based on extended series trends.
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CAL at BYU...Cal likely chalk here so Wilcox’s 7-3 dog mark LY likely won’t apply, but Bears did enter 2018 on 9-4 spread run (8-4 LY).
Cal, based on team trends.
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UCONN at BOISE STATE...Broncos covered a few late LY on blue carpet but home chalk mark still pretty bad past several years (13-32 since late 2010). Edsall was 3-2 as road dog in UConn return LY, was 7-2 last 9 in that role for Huskies back in 2009-10.
UConn, based on team trends.
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MICHIGAN STATE at ARIZONA STATE...Dantonio just 1-8 as visiting chalk since 2015. MSU had been 4-15 as chalk 2015-16 before recovering to 6-3 LY. Under Herm predecessor Graham, ASU 5-2 as Tempe dog past two years.
Arizona State, based on team trends.
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SAN JOSE STATE at WASHINGTON STATE...Spartans a tough sell, now 5-9-1 last 15 vs. line since late 2016, 4-8 last 12 as road dog (2-5 for Brennan LY). No covers last four as non-MW visitor, outscored 199-40 in those. Leach 7-4 as Pullman chalk since 2016 (6-6 laying DD since 2016).
Washington State, based on team trends.
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RICE at HAWAII...Hatfield used to own June Jones, covered all six from 1999-2004. UH entered 2018 on 4-18-1 spread skid at Aloha Stadium, but Bows have won and covered first two TY.
Slight to Hawaii, based on current trends.