Power 5 Top Wagers
September 11, 2018
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By Kyle Markus
Power 5 Best Bets - Week 3
The college football season is in full swing and already we have been an audience to some fantastic finishes and upsets. There is a whole bevy of intriguing contests this week and weekend as some teams head into conference play while others still prepare for non-conference matchups.
There are a variety of spreads and scoring totals to wager on, from toss-up type games to ones where there is a clear favorite. There are games that are expected to be low-scoring as well as others that could be shootouts.
It’s hard to zero in on certain games to bet on besides the old alma mater, so here is a good guide for the best Power 5 conference bets in Week 3 of the college football season. We should brace for another week of unexpected upsets and close finishes in NCAA football gambling.
Odds Analysis - per BookMaker.eu
The Miami Hurricanes fell flat in their supersized opener against LSU, leaving the offense at home in the loss. Even so, Miami is a pretty good team and isn’t getting much respect as a 10-point favorite on the road against the Toledo Rockets. Toledo is solid for a smaller-conference program but Miami has the superior talent across the board. The Hurricanes offense should look better in this one than against LSU and help the team cover the spread.
The Penn State Nittany Lions were taken to overtime by a pesky Appalachian State team in their opener, which has people wondering if this is truly a team that can compete in the Big Ten. Penn State gets another tune-up this week against an easy foe in Kent State, but the 34-point spread is too high. The Nittany Lions aren’t high-powered enough to cover.
The LSU Tigers are going to Auburn in a pivotal SEC clash. Even though LSU has looked good thus far, Auburn has also played well, including a win over Washington in a season-opening clash. Auburn is a 9.5-point home favorite in this matchup, but that spread is too high. Look for LSU to keep it much closer and easily cover the spread. An LSU upset is not a bad choice on the moneyline as it would pay out nicely.
The Florida Gators are coming off a shocking 27-16 loss to Kentucky last time out and will aim to prove that was an aberration. Florida is a heavy 20-point home favorite against Colorado State, as the Rams are not a very good team. Even so, the oddsmakers haven’t learned. The Gators just aren’t that good in 2018 and will fail to cover this spread.
Ohio State has to travel a good distance to face off against a ranked TCU team, and maybe that is why the Buckeyes are only a 12-point favorite. They have been dominating teams thus far and could very well be the second-best team in the country behind Alabama. Urban Meyer is suspended for this one as well but it won’t matter. The Buckeyes are the pick to cover.
The Arizona State Sun Devils have looked really good in their first two games, and a win over a ranked Michigan State team last time out has pushed them into the top-25. The Sun Devils are only a 4.5-point road favorite against San Diego State next time out. The Aztecs are a solid program and have a good running game, but quarterback Christian Chapman has a knee injury and won’t play in the matchup. Arizona State has an experienced quarterback and one of the best wide receivers in the country in N’Keal Harry. On defense they will be able to load up against the run and force San Diego State into throwing the ball with a backup. The Sun Devils are the choice to cover this spread in NCAA football wagering.
College Football ATS Pick: Best Power 5 wager is Arizona State -4.5 points against San Diego State
20-10 L4 Sat, 33-15 Run, +1,905 TY
6-0 Saturday, 12-3 L15 Guarantees
13-4 L17, 23-6 Win Streak
19-6 L25 G-Plays, 64% +1,737 TY
6-1 Last 7 Guaranteed Plays
19-10 L29 Picks, +1,139 TY
7-2 L5 Sat, 12-6 Picks, 62% Overall
11-4 G-Plays, 38-22 L11 Saturdays
7-2 L9 NCAA FB Guarantees
12-4 L3 Saturdays, 8-3 L11 Totals
4-1 L5 G-Plays, 17-7 CFB Totals TY
12-5 L3 Saturdays, 59% +1,031 TY
8-1 L9 Totals, 4-2 Week 11
10-5 L4 Saturdays, 3-0 L3 G-Plays
13-5 L18 Totals, 16-4 L7 Fridays
5-1 Saturday, 8-2 L10 Picks
7-2 G-Play Run, 15-8 L23 Picks
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