Tech Trends – Week 6

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NFL Trends - Week 5

Thursday, Oct. 4
Matchup Skinny Edge
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TULSA at HOUSTON...Tulsa has covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 in series, though neither of these sides have been too reliable lately, as UH just 9-15-1 last 25 on board and Hurricane 6-10 last 16. Tulsa is 10-4 as visiting dog for Montgomery.
Slight to Tulsa, based on series trends.
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GEORGIA STATE at TROY...Ga State just 2-6-1 vs. spread last 9 in reg. season. Once-solid road dog mark taking some hits, 0-2 in role already TY. Troy only 2-5 as home chalk LY but has won and covered last 3 in 2018.
Troy, based on recent trends.
Friday, Oct. 5
Matchup Skinny Edge
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MTSU at MARSHALL...MTSU 1-6 vs. spread last seven as visitor. Herd has won and covered big last two years in series and 3-0-1 vs. line last four meetings.
Marshall, based on series trends.
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GEORGIA TECH at LOUISVILLE...‘Ville 6-16 last 22 on board. Petrino 2-4 last five as dog. Paul Johnson 1-4 vs. line TY but is 12-7-1 last 20 overall vs. spread.
Slight to Georgia Tech, based on ‘Ville negatives.
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UTAH STATE at BYU...Utags 3-0-1 vs. line TY and beat BYU in 2017. Utags 1-0 as road dog TY but were 3-6 in role preceding two years. Sitake just 2-6 last 8 as chalk (0-1 TY).
Slight to Utah State, based on team trends.
Saturday, Oct. 6
Matchup Skinny Edge
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SOUTH ALABAMA at GEORGIA SOUTHERN...Eagles surprising 4-0 vs. line TY and 6-1 last seven vs. spread since last 2017.
Georgia Southern, based on recent trends.
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SOUTH FLORIDA at UMASS...Mass just 2-5 as home dog since 2016. Charlie Strong only 2-4 as chalk away from Tampa since LY, also no covers last 7 laying DD.
Slight to UMass, based on team trends.
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CLEMSON at WAKE FOREST...Dave Clawson 4-0 vs. line against Dabo since arriving at Wake. Deacs were 10-2-1 last two years as dog (0-2 TY). Clemson just 1-4 vs. line TY.
Slight to Wake Forest, based on team trends.
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EAST CAROLINA at TEMPLE...ECU 8-19-1 vs. line for Montgomery since 2016. ECU 2-8-1 as rod dog since 2016. Owls 31-15 last 46 on board, though Collins 0-3 as DD chalk.
Temple, based on team trends.
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NORTHERN ILLINOIS at BALL STATE...NIU has won last 9 SU and covered last 6 vs. Ball. Huskies destroyed Cards 63-17 LY. But NIU no covers last five away from DeKalb. Ball just 4-10 vs. spread last 14 at Muncie.
NIU, based on series trends.
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SYRACUSE at PITTSBURGH...Cuse 4-0-1 vs. line TY. Babers 7-1 vs. spread last seven away, on 7-0-1 spread uptick since late 2017. Pitt 7-16 vs. line at Heinz Field since Narduzzi arrived in 2015.
Syracuse, based on team trends.
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SMU at UCF... SMU has covered last two for Sonny Dykes, but Mustangs only 2-6-1 vs. line last nine away from Dallas.
Central Florida, based on team trends.
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ODU at FAU...FAU 9-0 SU and 7-2 vs. line against C-USA in 2017, though he's 0-5 vs. line to open 2018. ODU had dropped five in a row vs. line prior to VPI upset. Monarchs 4-9 vs. spread as road dog since 2015.
FAU, based on team trends.
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INDIANA at OHIO STATE...Tom Allen 0-3 as visiting dog for IU LY, also 0-3 as DD dog, and Hoosiers also 2-6 vs. spread last eight as visitor. Bucks 3-0 vs. line as home DD chalk TY, but just 1-6 vs. line last 7 vs. IU!
Slight to Indiana, based on series trends.
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BOSTON COLLEGE at NC STATE...BC has covered 4 of last 5 in series, including SU wins last two as dog at Raleigh. Wolfpack 2-6 vs. spread last seven as home chalk. Eagles 10-3-1 as visiting dog since 2014.
Boston College, based on team and series trends.
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LSU at FLORIDA...LSU has covered last five as a visitor and Coach O is 10-2 vs. spread last 12 away from Baton Rouge. But Dan Mullen covered last four years vs. LSU while at Miss State. If dog here note Mullen 14-7 in role past four+ years with MSU & Florida.
Slight to Florida, based on Mullen trends.
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MISSOURI at SOUTH CAROLINA...Muschamp has won and covered last two years in series. Barry Odom, however, 4-1 last five as dog. Cocks only 3-4 last seven as Williams-Brice chalk.
Slight to Mizzou, based on team trends.
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MARYLAND at MICHIGAN...Harbaugh just 2-6 vs. line last 8 at Ann Arbor though he has destroyed Terps last three years, winning and covering all three. Maryland 3-1 vs. line in 2018 (1-0 as dog).
Slight to Michigan, based on series trends.
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TULANE at CINCINNATI... Willie Fritz 6-3 last nine as dog after Memphis upset, also 12-6 last 18 overall vs. line. Cincy only 2-6 as Nippert chalk since 2016 (1-1 TY).
Tulane, based on team trends.
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OHIO at KENT STATE...Solich 10-3 vs. spread last 13 as visitor, 5-2 last seven as chalk away from Athens. Solich has won and covered last four vs. Kent State. Golden Flashes just 3-6 vs. spread last 9 as Dix Stadium.
Solich and Ohio, based on team trends.
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EASTERN MICHIGAN at WESTERN MICHIGAN...EMU now 14-2-1 last 17 as dog away from Ypsilanti. 17-3-1 overall last 1 as dog. Also 8-2 last ten vs. spread on MAC road.
Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.
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BUFFALO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...Bulls now on 12-3-2 spread uptick since late 2016. Chips, however, on 9-1 spread surge last ten in reg season since mid 2017.
Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.
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MIAMI-OHIO at AKRON...RedHawks 1-5 vs. line last six away from Yager Stadium. Zips have covered last two this season but just 3-9-1 vs. points at Infocision since 2016.
Slight to Miami, based on team trends.
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NOTRE DAME at VIRGINIA TECH...Fuente 11-2 SU at home with Hokies since 2016, if home chalk note 8-4 mark last 12 in role. Irish 5-2 vs. spread away since last season.
Slight to Notre Dame, based on team trends.
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ILLINOIS at RUTGERS...Road dog has won outright last two in series. Lovie just 3-3 vs. spread last six away from Champaign-Urbana, though only 6-13 last 19 vs. line overall. ‘Gers 2-5 last seven vs. points.
Slight to Illinois, based on series trends.
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SAN DIEGO STATE at BOISE STATE...Rocky Long 12-7-1 last 20 as dog. Dog has also covered last four in this series. Aztecs 11-3 vs. points last 14 on MW road. Broncos 2-10 last 12 as blue carpet MW chalk.
San Diego State, based on team and series trends.
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ARIZONA STATE at COLORADO...Herm 4-1 vs. line with ASU and 2-0 in dog role. ASU 7-3-1 as dog since LY. Home team has covered last five in series, however, and CU 3-0 vs. points against FBS foes this season.
Slight to Colorado, based on series trends.
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LIBERTY at NEW MEXICO STATE...Ags, no covers last four in Las Cruces, 3-9 last 12 vs. spread in reg season.
Liberty, based on recent trends.
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NORTH TEXAS at UTEP...UNT 7-3 vs. spread last 10 in reg season, 4-1 last five vs. line as visitor. UTEP 4-12-1 vs. line since 2017.
North Texas, based on team trends.
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WASHINGTON at UCLA...Bruins on 5-12-1 spread skid. Also 5-11 vs. points last 16 at Rose Bowl.
Washington, based on UCLA negatives.
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UTAH at STANFORD...Utes have covered all three times vs. Tree since entering Pac 12. Utah 10-2 against number last 12 as visiting dog. Tree 5-8 last 13 as Palo Alto chalk.
Utah, based on team and series trends.
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FRESNO STATE at NEVADA...Tedford 13-3-1 vs. points since taking over FSU LY, and Bulldogs on 18-5-1 spread uptick. Pack 5-7 vs. spread as dog for Jay Norvell (though 2-1 as home dog).
Fresno State, based on team and series trends.
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WASHINGTON STATE at OREGON STATE...Leach 11-4 vs. spread last 14 reg season games, 3-2 as road chalk since LY.
Washington State, based on team trends.
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CAL at ARIZONA...Cal 8-4 as dog for Wilcox since LY. Cats just 2-4-1 last 7 as home chalk and Sumlin 11-18-1 last 30 in role dating to A&M days.
Cal, based on team trends.
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NEW MEXICO at UNLV...Road team has covered last three in series. Sanchez just 4-8 last 12 as home chalk.
Slight to New Mexico, based on series and team trends.
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NORTHWESTERN at MICHIGAN STATE...Ugh! Pat Fitz 11-3 last 14 as visiting dog. Won and covered last two years as dog vs. MSU. Dantonio 4-2 as home chalk since LY but was 12-20 in role preceding five seasons.
Northwestern, based on team trends.
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KANSAS at WEST VIRGINIA...Road team has covered last four in series, though KU just 4-13-1 last 18 on Big 12 road. Mounties have covered first three in 2018, now 5-1 laying DD since 2017.
Slight to West Virginia, based on team trends.
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ALABAMA at ARKANSAS...Hogs now on 5-13-1 spread skid since late 2016. Bama has only covered 1 of last 4 (1-2-1) vs. Hogs , and note Saban just 8-10-1 vs. spread last 19 on board.
Slight to Alabama, based on Arkansas woes.
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UAB at LA TECH...Bill Clark 11-5 as dog with UAB since arriving in 2014. Skip just 3-5 last 8 vs. spread in Ruston.
Slight to UAB, based on team trends.
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KENTUCKY at TEXAS A&M...Dog teams covered in first four UK games TY, and Mark Stoops 11-6 as dog since 2016.
Kentucky, based on team trends.
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IOWA STATE at OKLAHOMA STATE...ISU 13-7-1 as dog since Matt Campbell arrived in 2016, also 6-2 vs. points last eight as visitor.
Iowa State, based on team trends.
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VANDERBILT at GEORGIA...Derek Mason 3-1 vs. line against Dawgs, though Georgia romped LY. But Vandy just 3-8 last 11 as dog overall. Georgia on 14-7 spread uptick.
Georgia, based on recent trends.
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IOWA at MINNESOTA...Iowa 5-1 SU, 4-1-1 vs. line last six in Floyd games. If chalk note Ferentz 12-2-1 on road in role since 2013. Fleck just 2-7-1 vs. spread in Big Ten games with Gophers since LY.
Iowa, based on team and series trends.
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BOWLING GREEN at TOLEDO...Falcs 0-4-1 vs. line TY, Jinks now 7-21-1 vs. spread since taking over in 2016. Falcs haven’t beaten nearby rival Toledo SU since 2009. Rockets 4-1-1 last six vs. line in series, and 8-4 vs. spread last 12 in reg season.
Toledo, based on team and series trends.
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AUBURN at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Malzahn 19-35-1 last 55 vs. number, but is 5-2-1 as visiting chalk since 2015. Malzahn whipped Dan Mullen last two years but failed to cover previous three vs. MSU. Under Mullen, MSU was 3-1 as Starkville dog past two years and 7-4 as dog.
Slight to Auburn, based on recent series trends.
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NAVY at AIR FORCE...Navy was 7-2 as visiting chalk entering this season but 0-2 in that role in 2018. Teams have split last eight meetings SU and vs. line. If Calhoun a dog note 14-6 spread mark last 20 in role.
Slight to Air Force, based on team trends.
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ULM at OLE MISS...Rebs 1-5 vs. line last six laying points to non-SEC at Oxford. Also just 3-6 vs. spread last 9 after facing hated LSU.
Louisiana-Monroe, based on team trends.
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OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS (at Cotton Bowl, Dallas)...Tom Herman now 11-1 as dog with Houston and Texas. Horns have covered last five in this old rivalry. Lincoln Riley just 1-4 vs. spread laying points away from Norman since LY.
Texas, based on team and series trends.
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UCONN at MEMPHIS... Tigers now no covers 3 of last 4 TY but still 7-4 last 11 laying DD. UConn 0-4-1 vs. line TY, 5-11-1 for Edsall II since LY, 5-16-1 last 21 overall vs. spread since mid 2016.
Memphis, based on team trends.
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ULL at TEXAS STATE... Cajuns won and covered big all three from 2014-16. Bobcats just 4-9 vs. line at home since 2016 (3-7 as home dog). Though Cajuns just 3-7 vs. line last nine away from Lafayette.
Slight to Louisiana-Lafayette, based on extended series trends.
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UTSA at RICE... UTSA no covers last 9 or 12 of last 13 since mid 2017. Rice has covered 5 of last 6 in series.
Rice, based on team and series trends.
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KANSAS STATE at BAYLOR...If chalk note Bill Snyder no covers last three as visitor in role. Dog team is 7-1 vs. points last eight meetings. Bears just 3-8 vs. line last 11 at Waco (3-6 for Rhule).
Slight to K-State, especially if dog, based on series and team trends.
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FLORIDA STATE at MIAMI-FLA...Last four meetings all decided by 4 or fewer. Canes were just 1-4 as home chalk LY but 2-1 in role TY. Noles 0-3 as dog LY.
Miami, based on team trends.
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NEBRASKA at WISCONSIN...Frost no wins or covers first four TY, Huskers on 4-14 spread skid dating to late 2016. Huskers only 1-6 SU and vs. line against Badgers since entering Big Ten. Huskers 4-9 last 13 as dog. Badgers, however, no covers first three TY at Camp Randall.
Wisconsin, based on team and series trends.
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COLORADO STATE at SAN JOSE STATE...CSU really skidding, 1-4 vs. line TY, 1-11 last 12 vs. number. No covers last five away from Fort Collins. SJSU 4-0-1 vs. spread last five vs. BCS foes.
San Jose State, based on CSU negatives.
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WYOMING at HAWAII...Hawaii no covers last four (0-2-1) after quick start. But Wyo no covers last four since opener vs. NMSU. Bohl however 12-7 last 19 as dog, and Bows 4-20-1 vs. line last 25 at Aloha (1-2 TY).
Slight to Wyoming, based on team trends.