Auburn at Georgia
November 6, 2018
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By Tom Wilkinson
College Football Betting Preview – Auburn at Georgia
The No. 5 ranked Georgia Bulldogs host the Auburn Tigers on Saturday night in a game that can be seen on ESPN. The Bulldogs have already clinched the SEC East, but Georgia has higher goals in mind, as they still could reach the College Football Playoff if they run the table. They have to be careful about this game on Saturday, as the Tigers come in playing well, having won their last two games, beating Ole Miss and Texas A&M. Let’s look at this matchup and college football picks.
Date and Time: Saturday, November 10, 2018, 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
College Football Odds at BetDSI: Georgia -14.5, O/U 50.5
Auburn vs. Georgia TV Coverage: ESPN
The Bulldogs are 8-1 overall and 6-1 in the SEC, while Auburn is 6-3 and 3-3. Georgia clinched the SEC East last week with a 34-17 win at Kentucky. Georgia will play Alabama in the SEC Championship Game on December 1st. This is a regular season revenge game on Saturday for Georgia, as they were routed last year at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, losing 40-17. The Bulldogs did beat Auburn last year in the SEC title game 28-7.
The Tigers started this season slowly, losing to Mississippi State and Tennessee, but they have gotten better and have looked good recently with a 31-16 win over Mississippi and a 28-24 win over A&M.
On the other side, Georgia is also playing well, having routed Florida and Kentucky the last two weeks. Despite that fact, quarterback Jake Fromm said to the media that winning the SEC East this year has been tougher than a year ago. "In my head, I remember last year blowing teams out and coming out of games in the second half," Fromm said, "That's not the way it's been this year. I don't think we're any worse or any better than we were last year. We're still trying to get to the level of where we want to play, and we haven't played there yet. It's an uphill climb, and we're ready to get there."
Matchup to Watch
If Auburn is going to stay close in this one, they have to stop Fromm and the Georgia passing attack. The Bulldogs are averaging 222.4 yards per game through the air, while Auburn is giving up 222.2 yards per game through the air. The Tigers simply can’t afford to get into a shootout with the Bulldogs, as Auburn’s offense is not as good as Georgia’s, as Auburn is only averaging about 28 points per game, while Georgia is putting up 38 points per contest.
Georgia leads the all-time series 58-56-8. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Georgia. The Tigers are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
Looking at the total, the Under is 10-3 in the Tigers last 13 games overall. The Under is 7-3 in the Tigers last 10 games in November. The Under is 19-6-1 in the Bulldogs last 26 home games. The Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings at Georgia.
Auburn vs. Georgia Picks
Remember what we said about the key matchup in this contest? If Auburn is going to be competitive they have to keep this a low scoring contest. They simply can’t trade points with Georgia and expect to win. I think that means a game that will see a lot of running and both teams playing tough defense and the trends definitely support the under.
I know the risk is that this game gets away from Auburn, but I think the situation is a good one for the Tigers and that this will be a tight, hard fought contest. I will take the points with the Tigers and I also really like the game to go under the total.
Auburn vs. Georgia Pick: Auburn +14.5 and Under 50.5 at BetDSI
Auburn vs. Georgia Score Prediction: Georgia 24, Auburn 17
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