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RBC Heritage - Best Bets
Check out more Golf Odds and Props at Sportsbetting.ag!

PGA Tour Betting Preview
RBC Heritage
Harbour Town Golf Links – Par 71 – 7,099 yards


After an exciting week at Augusta National for the year's first Major, the PGA Tour heads to South Carolina for the RBC Heritage.

Being the event after the Masters is never easy in terms of gathering a quality field together, but this year's Heritage has plenty of big names on the card, including the likes of Dustin Johnson (+800), Paul Casey (+1200), and Matt Kuchar (+1800), the three favorites to win this event this week. Nobody else has better then +2500 odds to take down the plaid jacket this week.

Yet, historically this is not an event that Masters entrants really find that much success in. Only three times since the 2005 playing of the Heritage has the eventual winner been someone who played the weekend at Augusta the week prior, and with about 20 guys in the field this week that got a full four rounds at the Masters last weekend, there are quite a few significant names to avoid if history is to repeat.

So while I did catch the winner last week with Patrick Reed earning his first career Major and becoming a lifetime member at Augusta National, you won't see anybody who made the cut at the Masters last week donning my list of golfers to watch this week.

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As far as the course goes, it is one where any style of golf can really win, but you'd better be accurate with your approaches and know how to scramble around the greens. However, if you are looking to put a face on things, look no further then Luke Donald (+5000). Donald has had some real rough form of late, but he absolutely loves this place. He's got five runner-up finishes here in the last nine years, including currently coming off back-to-back runner-up finishes here both last year and in 2016. He's a guy that can really be precise with his irons when he's on, and his lack of distance doesn't really hurt him here.

The putting surfaces at Harbour Town are some of the smallest on Tour, so hitting them is imperative to have success here. Scrambling around the greens and saving pars when approaches inevitably miss these tiny greens is the second part of a strong plan for success here. The winning score is typically somewhere in the mid-to-low teens under par, so guys are going to have to take advantage of their limited opportunities, and with no overwhelming speed or slopes to these greens, once guys are on them then lower scores can be had. It may be why so many guys don't do as well as expected here coming off Augusta, because the state of the greens is very different.

Odds per - Sportsbetting.ag

Golfers to Watch

Patrick Cantlay (33/1) – Cantlay is a guy that missed the cut last week at the year's first major in an event that I was rather high on him for. Obviously he didn't show up through two rounds of the Masters, but it was really his double bogey on 18 on Day 1 that did him in. After a rough opening nine (+4), Cantlay had fought back on the back nine with three birdies prior to that double on 18. Had that not happened he would have had much more momentum rolling into Friday and would have likely had the showing I expected from him.

But now a week later I get a chance to back Cantlay again, albeit at a smaller price (but not much) against a much weaker field with a third of it figuring out how to deal with a potential Masters hangover. I'm not going to let one bad event deter me from backing a guy like Cantlay who has all the tools to have sustained success on Tour. His approach game is one of the better ones in this field, and he does have a T3 on his resume at the RBC Heritage from a year ago.

Jason Dufner (50/1) – Dufner is another guy that didn't make it to the weekend at Augusta last week and is looking for a bit of redemption at the Heritage. It was at this event last year that Dufner entered the final round with the lead (-13, which did end up turning out to be the winning score) only to finish T11 after a final round 76. After three days of hitting all the greens and making some putts, Dufner's scrambling issues caught up with him on the final day and he could never really recover.

Dufner has another crack at it 12 months later though and I do believe we see the best from him this week. He's not had the best results of late with two missed cuts and T55 and T64 in his last four starts, but a hot week here has turned around the season of many golfers in the past and Dufner could end up being the latest case study in that regard.

Patton Kizzire (100/1) – Kizzire is a more household name this year with two victories already, and like the other two on this list, is coming off a missed cut at Augusta. His two victories have put him #2 in the FedEx Cup race this year, but adding another would virtually guarantee him a spot in the Tour championship later this year. You'd think that with two wins already this year that Kizzire would get a bit more respect then this price, but it's there because he really struggles with his game around the green (160th strokes gained: around the green).

Yet, even with that being a potentially significant issue this week for Kizzire, I've still got no problem riding with him at these odds. He's 53rd in strokes gained: approach, so if Kizzire is on with his approaches, those dastardly scrambling numbers will not play a huge role. He was T32 at this event a year ago and T14 here back in 2016, so there are some good memories here for Kizzire to build on this week.

Odds to win RBC Heritage - per Sportsbetting.ag
Dustin Johnson 8/1
Paul Casey 12/1
Matt Kuchar 18/1
Marc Leishman 25/1
Cameron Smith 25/1
Tyrrell Hatton 25/1
Kevin Kisner 25/1
Webb Simpson 25/1
Bryson DeChambeau 28/1
Luke List 33/1
Brian Harman 33/1
Adam Hadwin 33/1
Patrick Cantlay 33/1
Ian Poulter 33/1
Francesco Molinari 33/1
Emiliano Grillo 40/1
Kevin Na 40/1
Charley Hoffman 40/1
Kevin Chappell 50/1
Zach Johnson 50/1
Ollie Schniederjans 50/1
Ryan Moore 50/1
Xander Schauffele 50/1
Bud Cauley 50/1
Byeong Hun An 50/1
Charles Howell III 50/1
Russell Knox 50/1
Luke Donald 50/1
Jason Dufner 50/1
Beau Hossler 66/1
Brandt Snedeker 66/1
Jim Furyk 66/1
Jason Kokrak 66/1
William McGirt 66/1
Scott Piercy 66/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 66/1
Graeme McDowell 80/1
Grayson Murray 80/1
James Hahn 80/1
Charl Schwartzel 80/1
Martin Laird 80/1
Ryan Palmer 80/1
Ross Fisher 80/1
John Huh 80/1
Rory Sabbatini 80/1
Patton Kizzire 100/1
Chris Kirk 100/1
Dylan Frittelli 100/1
Martin Kaymer 100/1
Lucas Glover 100/1

Odds Subject to Change

  
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