Magnum Moon took the field gate to wire to win the Arkansas Derby (G1) on Saturday and will head to the Kentucky Derby (G1) undefeated and looking to become the first Derby winner since Apollo in 1882 to have not raced as a juvenile.
My Boy Jack needed points to move up from his position of 20th place on the Road to the Kentucky Derby point standings and he did just that, rallying from next to last tp first at the wire, running down my top pick Telekinesis in the Lexington (G3) at Keeneland.
The victory was worth 20 points to My Boy Jack, who is now safely in the Derby field.
Solomini had to settle for third in the Arkansas Derby, but the 20 points puts him safely in the Kentucky Derby field.
The connections of Runaway Ghost said that the Sunland Derby winner will likely miss the Run for the roses with a minor injury.
Trainer Steve Asmussen trains Combatant, who ran fourth in the Arkansas Derby and is sitting in 20th in the point standings. Remember, with the addition of Gronkowski, the European Road to the Derby winner, only the top 19 make it into the Derby field.
Asmussen also trains the horses sitting in 21st through 24th place—Snapper Sinclair, Rende and Dream Baby Dream.
My Best Plays Multi Track Report for Sunday includes my nine strongest plays from Aqueduct and Keeneland.
To purchase my Aqueduct and Best Plays Reports for Sunday click here.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
Analysis: Asphalt Paving tracked the early pace and tired to finish sixth last out against $40,000 non-winners of two in the slop. The gelding earned a competitive number two back at that level in a third-place finish and three back was beaten just a neck. He graduated over a wet track and has a strong off track pedigree. He drops in for $16,000 here for Levine and catches a pretty weak group.
Truly a Moon Shot was bumped coming out of the gate, tracked the early pace and finished gamely in a runner up finish, beaten a half-length for the top spot while 2 3/4 lengths clear of the rest of the field.
WIN: #7 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 3,7 / 2,3,6,7
TRI: 3,7 / 2,3,6,7 / 2,3,5,6,7
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 7 The Mizdirection (4:44 ET)
#7 Out of the Flames 7-2
#8 Raucous 6-1
#13 Africa 10-1
#5 Golden Days 5-1
Analysis: Out of the Flame ships in from the left coast for the Callaghan barn. The filly is coming off a sharp win versus Alw-1 optional claimers going 6 1/2 on the downhill turf course at Santa Anita She was only beaten a length when third in the Sweet Life two back and was a close up third in the Juvenile Turf Sprint on the Breeders' Cup Day undercard in her U.S. debut last fall at Del Mar. She looks like she will be tough in this spot.
Raucous makes her first starts since last November where she was third in the Jimmy Durante (G3). She won the Chelsey Flower going a mile over the turf here. She makes her three-year-old debut with lasix added here for the Clement barn that is 16% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff.
WIN: #7 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 7,8 / 5,7,8,13
TRI: 7,8 / 5,7,8,13 / 5,7,8,10,13
Analysis: Eight Town stalked the early pace and made a mild late rally to finish third last out in the Gulfstream Park Sprint (G3), beaten 3 1/4 lengths outrunning his 12-1 odds. Toss his mile try in the Hooper (G3) two back and this looks like a good fit in this spot. He was a sharp winner versus Alw-2 optional claimers three back in gate to wire fashion. he has a strong off track pedigree looks primed for a top effort tin his third start of his current form cycle.
Recruiting Ready chased the early pace and tired to finish sixth last out in the Pelican at Tampa Bay Downs last out. The colt had earned consistent numbers in his five starts including winning the Bachelor and Chick Lang last year. He makes his third start off the layoff here for former Pletcher assistant DePaz.
WIN: #4 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 2,4 / 2,4,5,7
TRI: 2,4 / 2,4,5,7 / 2,4,5,6,7
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
R4: #3 Fox Rules 8-1
R5: #3 One More Round 8-1
R6: #5 Nazay 10-1
R7: #13 Africa 10-1
R9: #9 Out of Orbit 8-1
Mike DempseyMike covers the New York racing circuit (Aqueduct, Belmont Park, and Saratoga) year-round as well as covering the biggest events including the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes, Belmont Stakes and the Breeders’ Cup. A professional handicapper and horseplayers for more than three decades, no handicapper in the industry works harder and been more successful in bringing horseplayers analysis that produces profits at the track! ike has owned racehorses and knows the racetrack from the backstretch to the finish line. Mike is in his second decade of producing great results for the readers of Vegas Insider. Among his scores in the Kentucky Derby include winning with his top pick Animal Kingdom who paid $43.80 in 2011 and Super Saver at $18.00 in 2010. While favorites have dominated the Run for the Roses in recent years, Mike’s full card analysis for every race on each card is always looking for value for horseplayers looking to pad their wagering bankroll. Mike's Reports include his selections, detailed analysis, a fair odds line, and wagering recommendations for the entire card each day. Check out Mike’s daily column At the Gate where he offers up free selections and live longshots. Join Mike daily with top picks from Aqueduct or grab winners in the Weekend Best Plays Report in the horse racing Multi-Track package. Want more action? Sit at the track with him for 30 Days with his Monthly Horse Package!
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Jerry SessaJerry "Shots" Sessa has been involved in horse racing for over 30 years. He now brings his meticulous handicapping style to VegasInsider.com. When Jerry posts picks you are getting his best bets...when you win, he wins. Jerry opened the 2016 Triple Crown season by hitting his Derby Day best bet, Nyquist. He also nailed the Derby exacta for a $30.60 payout. On 4/16/16 at Keeneland, Jerry hit an $819 exacta that led to a $38k Trifecta & a $300k Super.
In the 2015 Belmont Stakes Jerry dominated races 8-11 by hitting a $4,400 Pick 4, 3 Daily Doubles, 2 Pick 3's and calling American Pharoah as the first Triple Crown winner in 36 years. Jerry is always looking to repeat his 2012 Triple Crown success, when he selected the winning horses for The Preakness and The Belmont Stakes. Jerry looks forward to working with everyone and making money for anyone who invests in his picks on a daily basis. Join Jerry daily with picks from
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