BC – Juvenile Fillies Turf

Welcome to Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 1 and Saturday November 2 at Santa Anita in Arcadia, California. VegasInsider.com handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race. If you want to know what Anthony will be betting on both Breeders’ Cup days, make sure to check back on Friday and Saturday to purchase Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Picks and Plays of the Day, a look at how he’ll wager on each and every race, available EXCLUSIVELY at VegasInsider.com. To purchase Anthony Stabile Pick Packs, Click to win!

Distance: 1 mile on turf
Purse: $1 million
Age: 2YOf
Date: Friday, November 1
Time: 6:12 pm EDT

The History

Created in 2008, a year after the Juvenile Turf where fillies were forced to face colts, there isn’t much. Flotilla and Chriselliam won consecutive runnings of this in 2012 and 2013 for Europe after the U.S. won the first four runnings.

Favorites: 2 for 11 (18%)
Shortest: $3.20 (Newspaperofrecord, 2018)
Highest: $29.20 (More Than Real, 2010)
U.S based: 9/Foreign based: 2

We ditch the traditional format for alphabetical order due to the mix of U.S. and Euro runners as well as age and lack of experience.

Abscond broke her maiden at Ellis Park then ran second in a minor stakes at Saratoga, both at 5.5 furlongs, before stretching out to win the G1 Natalma while alternating on the lead throughout the one-mile affair.

Albigna has won three of four in Europe including a G1 on the Arc undercard in her first start at this distance. She’s one of just a handful of Euros who will race without Lasix over the course of B.C. weekend.

Croughavouke has finished second in a couple of minor stakes at Del Mar and over this course at the trip since breaking her maiden second out in her native Ireland.

Crystalle was wrongfully disqualified from the win in her debut at Saratoga before returning to win it’s P.G. Johnson in her next start. Last out, she fell victim to the slowest pace she’s seen thus far and fell less than a length short when second in the Miss Grillo at Belmont.

Daahyeh owns three wins and two seconds from five starts including a score in the G2 Albany at Royal Ascot against 24 rivals and last out in a G2 in England. This will be her first start around a turn and beyond seven furlongs.

Etoile broke her maiden early in the season before returning from a four-plus month break to finish eighth in a G1, both at six furlongs for Aidan O’Brien.

Fair Maiden earned back-to-back Beyers of 90 and 91 when she broke her maiden against the boys on the all-weather surface at Arlington then won a minor stakes at Woodbine before finishing third in a three-horse photo in the Natalma.

Living in the Past won a G2 two starts back in England and will be making her first start beyond six furlongs.

Selflessly flew home to be second in a turf sprint at Saratoga in her debut before making a move on the far turn to hold on and win the Miss Grillo by less than a length.

Shadn has won three of her six starts, two on turf, including a G2 in France most recently and stretches out for the first time.

Sharing closed to be third in a turf sprint at in her debut then broke her maiden by daylight in an off-the-turf event, both at Saratoga. Last out, trainer Graham Motion added blinkers and she stretched out to win the Selima at Laurel by over two lengths.

Sweet Melania broke her maiden in her third start, her turf debut, at Saratoga after starting her career with a couple of third place finishes in dirt sprints. After losing the P.G. Johnson by a neck she came back to win the G2 Jessamine at Keeneland in gate-to-wire fashion by over five lengths a little over three weeks before this.

Tango has won just twice in eight starts and was off the board in five starts against graded stakes foes in Europe.

Unforgetable returns to filly competition for the first time since a runner-up performance in a G2 in Ireland having tried the boys unsuccessfully in her last pair.

If I’m Right…

The U.S. dominance should continue. Between the faster paces, having to run around two turns, let alone one, I think it’s just too much for the young fillies shipping over to handle.

Live Longshot

Sharing really seemed to improve with the blinkers in her last start. She should be in the 10-1 range.

Anthony “the Big A” Stabile can be heard regularly on the Horse Racing Radio Network from 3-6:00 p.m. ETon Wednesday and 3-7:00 p.m. ET Thursday and Friday. Tune in on Sirius 219, XM 201 or streaming live at horseracingradio.net. He also is a contributor on NYRA-TV as the co-host of Talking Horses and a backup racetrack announcer. Follow him on Twitter @TheBigAStabile