Who's Not Hot - NL Edition
April 21, 2014
By Mike Rose
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There are a few teams in the National League who are really burning a hole in the pockets of their bettors. Two in particular are really down in the dumps, and though there is a lot of season still left to be played. Baseball betting though, is about trends, and all too often, teams which get out of the blocks in bad shape, end up finishing up in bad shape as well.
Arizona Diamondbacks (5-16, -$1,163) – There isn't a more embarrassing team in the bigs right now than the D'Backs. Losing Patrick Corbin for the season was always going to hurt, but it shouldn't have hurt this bad. Wade Miley and the rest of this pitching staff has been atrocious, posting a 5.70 team ERA and a 1.49 WHIP. Arizona only has three quality starts in 21 games, something which is inexplicably bad and easily the worst mark in the majors, and to make matters worse, the defense has committed 17 errors, which isn't helping out either. In spite of the fact that Mark Trumbo and Paul Goldschmidt are off to great starts this season, things in the desert really are grim and aren't going to likely end up getting any better either. The pitchers on this club simply have to get better in a hurry.
Chicago Cubs (5-12, -$626) – The Cubs were mathematically eliminated from the 2014 playoffs back in the summer of 2012, and in the NL Central, they clearly aren't getting to 75 wins this year. Matters might improve for the loveable losers from Wrigley Field, but not if their offense can't improve. During the week, the team was shut out for 18 innings in a double-dip in the Bronx, and the team now has scored two runs or fewer in four of its last five games. The good news? Arizona's lousy pitching staff is going to be coming to town this week for four games. Something has to give in the Windy City, though we aren't sure whether it is going to be the Cubs' bats or the Diamondbacks' arms.
Pittsburgh Pirates (8-11, -$394) – "Grilled Cheese" was unstoppable last season, and it goes without saying that one of the reasons why the Pirates got into the playoffs was because of Jason Grilli only blowing two saves all year long. He blew two in as many days against the Brewers over the weekend, and that's a bad sign as well. Something just doesn't seem quite as right about these Pirates to start the season. Neil Walker isn't going to keep up his torrid home run pace, and the Ike Davis trade never made sense from the get go. Now, Grilli is blowing saves left and right, and that could bring some instability to the back end of the bullpen. The end result? The Bucs are one of the three teams in the NL to have cost bettors over $300 this year, though we do have to remind you that had Grilli shut the door in both of those save opportunities, this would be a team winning money for the campaign at 10-9 at the moment.
18-8 L26 Guarantees, +7,887 TY
12-3 L5 Days, 14-6 L20 Totals
15-5 L20 Totals, +2,757 This Year
4-1 L5 G-Plays, +2,223 This Year
5-1 L6 Guarantees, 7-1 L8 Totals
6-3 L9 Over/Unders, +2,219 TY
7-3 +433 L10, +2,088 This Year
17-6 L23 G-Plays, +1,675 TY
7-2 L3 Days, 23-10 L33 Streak
5-1 L6 G-Plays, 14-8 +629 L7 Days
2-0 Y'day, 23-12 +1,402 L35 Run
6-2, +449 L8 Guaranteed Plays
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