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Thursday's Tip Sheet
July 24, 2014
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Mets at Brewers – 8:10 PM EST
Probable Pitchers:
NYM: Gee (4-2, 2.92 ERA)
MIL: Garza (6-7, 4.04 ERA)
Previous series recap: The Mets continue their lengthy road trip after grabbing two of three from the Mariners at Safeco Field. New York held off Seattle on Wednesday, 3-2 to cash as +120 underdogs, while improving to 3-3 on this trip. The Brewers pulled off a three-game sweep of the slumping Reds at home, including Wednesday’s 5-1 rout as -140 favorites.
What to watch for: Milwaukee won two of three matchups at Citi Field the last time these teams hooked up in June, as the road team owns a 7-3 record in the past 10 meetings in this series. The Brewers have lost three of Garza’s past four starts at Miller Park, while the ‘over’ has cashed three times in this stretch. The ‘under’ is 6-1 in Gee’s past seven outings, as the Mets have hit the ‘under’ in five consecutive contests overall.
Indians at Royals – 8:10 PM EST
Probable Pitchers:
CLE: Kluber (10-6, 2.95 ERA)
KC: Duffy (5-10, 2.66 ERA)
Previous series recap: After dropping the series opener at Chicago, the Royals won the final two games over the White Sox, including Wednesday’s 2-1 triumph. Kansas City’s pitching limited Chicago to just two runs in the final victories, while the Royals are riding a modest two-game winning streak following a four-game skid. The Indians continue their venture through the AL Central, going 4-3 through the first seven contests at Detroit and Minnesota. However, the Tribe lost two of three at Target Field, capped off by a 3-1 defeat on Wednesday.
What to watch for: This series has been fairly even this season with the Indians holding a slight 5-4 advantage through nine matchups. Kluber has won his last three starts, including a home victory over the Royals earlier this month as a -150 favorite in a 4-1 triumph. Kansas City is 6-0 to the ‘under’ in Duffy’s past six starts, while the team has won just once in this stretch. The Royals have struggled at home of late, posting a 4-9 record the last 13 games since sweeping a mini two-game set from the Indians in early June.
White Sox at Twins – 8:10 PM EST
Probable Pitchers:
CHW: Noesi (4-7, 5.21 ERA)
MIN: Hughes (10-6, 4.06 ERA)
Previous series recap: Chicago’s offense hit a flat spot against Kansas City, plating just five runs in a series defeat to the Royals. The Sox split their six-game homestand to the Royals and Astros, while going ‘under’ the total five times. After getting swept by the Rays, the Twins grabbed two of three from the Indians, but Minnesota has scored three runs or less five times in six games since the All-Star break.
What to watch for: The Twins have won five straight meetings against the White Sox, including pulling off a four-game sweep at Target Field last month. Hughes has allowed at least five earned runs in five of the last six starts, while the Twins are 2-0 in the right-hander’s two starts against the Sox this season. Chicago has struggled in road series openers of late, posting a 1-6 record in the last seven Game 1’s on the highway.
Tigers at Angels – 10:05 PM EST
Probable Pitchers:
DET: Scherzer (11-3, 3.34 ERA)
LAA: Richards (11-2, 2.47 ERA)
Previous series recap: The Angels avoided a sweep by knocking off the Orioles last night, 3-2 to cash as heavy -165 favorites. Los Angeles has compiled a 3-3 record on its current 10-game homestand, while hitting the ‘under’ five times through the first six contests. The Tigers held off the Diamondbacks on Wednesday, 11-5 to capture two of three in that interleague set. Detroit improved to 12-4 in its past 16 contests on the highway dating back to late June.
What to watch for: Since the start of 2013, Los Angeles has beaten Detroit seven of nine times, but the Tigers took two of three from the Angels at Comerica Park back in April. The Tigers are 6-2 in Scherzer’s last eight road starts, while the right-hander shut down the L.A. lineup in a 5-2 home victory on April 19 as a -160 favorite. The Angels own a 9-1 record in Richards’ past 10 trips to the mound, while the Halos are 10-2 in their previous 12 home series openers since May.
Orioles at Mariners – 10:10 PM EST
Probable Pitchers:
BAL: Chen (10-3, 4.21 ERA)
SEA: Iwakuma (8-4, 2.95 ERA)
Previous series recap: The Orioles rebounded from a tough series loss at Oakland to beat the red-hot Angels two of three times on the road. Although Baltimore couldn’t complete the sweep, the O’s limited the Halos to just seven runs in the three-game set, resulting in three ‘unders.’ The Mariners also saw the ‘under’ cash in all three games of their series against the Mets, but Seattle dropped the final two contests after taking Monday’s opener, 5-2.
What to watch for: Seattle is riding a 6-0 hot streak in its previous six home series openers, while the M’s own a 5-2 record in Iwakuma’s past seven trips to the mound. Chen lost twice to the Mariners last season, both in the favorite role, while allowing eight earned runs and 13 hits in 11 innings of work. The Baltimore southpaw is unbeaten in his past three starts, but Chen has not lasted past the sixth inning in his last five trips to the hill.
You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at rogers@vegasinsider.com
Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.
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