Ballpark Figures – Week 13

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

7 minute read

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Cincinnati Kids
The Houston Astros travel to meet the Cincinnati Reds in an interleague series opener on Monday at Great American Ball Park. LHP Wade Miley takes the ball for the Astros, while Reds RHP Luis Castillo toes the slab for the home side. The Astros have managed a solid 21-13 victory on the road, while the Reds are plodding along at 16-17 in their own home park.

Houston enters play with a 6-0 mark in their past six games following a loss, and they're 9-1 in the past 10 interleague road games against teams with a losing record. They're also 9-1 in the past 10 on the road against right-handed starting pitchers, while going 20-7 in the past 27 vs. RHP. In addition, they're 21-9 in the past 30 interleague road outings against righties. The Astros have managed eight victories across Miley's past 10 starts, too, while going 4-0 in his past four against teams with a losing record. However, the Astros find themselves as road underdogs due to the presence of Castillo.

 The Reds are a dismal 1-4 in the past five at home, and 1-4 in their past five at GABP vs. LHP, while going 1-7 in the past eight interleague home games. They're also 0-4 in the past four interleague games vs. LHP. However, the reason the Reds are favored is that they are 9-3 in the past 12 home outings by Castillo against teams with a winning record, 13-6 in the past 19 home starts by Castillo and 9-4 in the past 13 starts during Game 1 of a new series.

The over is 4-0-1 in the past five games by the Astros, while going 4-0 in their past four vs. RHP, too. In addition, the over is 4-1 in the past five on the road, too. However, in Miley's past five starts the under is 4-1, while going 12-3-1 in their past 16 interleague road outings. For the Reds lately, it's all under all the time. The under is 4-1 in their past five at home, 19-7 in the past 26 vs. LHP and 10-4 in their past 14 against teams with a winning percentage over .600. The under is also 15-4 across Castillo's past 19 starts, while going 13-3 in the past 16 against teams with a winning record.

Looking Ahead

Monday, June 17
The Cleveland Indians travel to Arlington to battle the Texas Rangers, and it's a pretty good pitching matchup with RHP Mike Clevinger facing RHP Lance Lynn for the home side. Cleveland has posted victories in four of their past five overall, and four of the past five on the road, too. In addition, the Indians are 6-2 in their past eight games against teams with a winning record. They're also 5-1 in the past six starts by Clevinger, but just 4-9 in his past 13 road outings and 2-8 in the past 10 against teams with a winning overall record. The Tribe are also 1-7 in the past eight starts against AL West clubs. The Rangers are 5-1 in the past six home outings by Lynn, while going 14-5 in their past 19 overall at home and 13-6 in the past 19 vs. RHP. The Indians have owned this series lately, going 5-1 in the past six trips to Texas, and 10-3 in the past 13 overall in the series.

It's a battle of southpaws in Seattle with LHP Danny Duffy going for the Royals against LHP Tommy Milone of the Mariners. The Royals have had a case of the Mondays, going 5-21 in their past 26 on the first day of the week. They're also 1-6 in the past seven road games against a team with a losing record, while winning just 16 of the past 60 road contests. Kansas City is 4-10 in their past 14 against a team with a losing record. The M's aren't much better, going 8-21 in the past 29 at home, and 15-36 in the past 51 overall. They're also 4-13 in the past 17 vs. LHP, while going 3-10 in the past 13 against AL Central foes.

Weather Report
The Phillies and Nationals have a 45 percent or greater chance of precipitation for the entire evening. Since these teams face each other frequently, a postponement wouldn't be a surprise if the weather doesn't improve. The Astros and Reds also face a possibility of light rain, tapering off from 45 percent to 30 percent by midnight. Wind won't be an issue at any of the MLB venues, however.

Tuesday, June 18
The Angels continue their series in Toronto against the Blue Jays, who have their hands full with LHP Tyler Skaggs. The Angels are 8-3 in their past 11 against the AL East entering play on Monday, and they're 4-1 in Skaggs' past five vs. AL East foes. However, they're 0-4 in his past four starts against losing teams. The Blue Jays have struggled over the past couple of seasons vs. LHP, and they're just 6-13 in the past 19 at home against southpaws while going 17-43 in the past 60 vs. LHP overall. The Jays turn to RHP Marcus Stroman to turn things around, but they're just 5-12 over his past 17 starts and 3-7 in his past 10 at home.

The Marlins and Cardinals battle in the home of the Stanley Cup champions, St. Louis. RHP Jordan Yamamoto takes the ball looks to build upon his impressive first MLB start, also against the Cards. He allowed just three hits and two walks with five strikeouts over seven scoreless innings on June 12 at Marlins Park. Miami has won just 17 of their past 62 road games, while going 5-14 in the past 19 overall vs. NL Central clubs. They're also just 1-4 in the past five against winning teams, and 2-8 in the past 10 overall. Of course, one of those is Yamamoto's victory against these same Cards. The Cardinals turn to RHP Jack Flaherty, and they're just 2-5 over his past seven against NL East teams. The Cards are 4-1 in the past five at home, however, and 5-2 in their past seven overall.

The Giants and Dodgers hook up in L.A., and San Francisco tries to hand LHP Clayton Kershaw another rare loss. The last time he faced the Giants are Oracle Park in San Francisco, Kershaw allowed two earned runs, six hits and a walk over seven innings in a 2-1 loss. That snapped an 18-start winning streak by the Dodgers when the southpaw pitches. The Dodgers are 41-10 in the past 51 home outings by Kershaw, while going 55-13 in his past 68 inside the NL West. L.A. has also rattled off victories in 39 of the past 51 games at Chavez Ravine, while going 40-13 in the past 53 at home vs. RHP. In this series, the Dodgers have won 12 of the past 17 against the Giants, and the under is 26-8-3 in the past 37 starts by Kershaw against San Francisco.wmlb 

Weather Report
The Phils and Nats will face a 30 percent or greater chance of rain again on Tuesday, but there might be a window in the later innings for the two sides to get in an official game. If a day-night doubleheader is needed with a potential postponement Monday, the afternoon forecast looks pretty promising, too.

The Astros and Reds will see a 50 percent chance of showers at first pitch, tapering off to 35 percent by 10 p.m. ET. The teams might be able to get the game in, but it could be a late night with some starts and stops. The Mets and Braves also have a 35 percent or greater chance of showers at game time. Again, though, winds will not be a factor across any of the MLB parks.

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