Rockets look to rebound in G2
May 16, 2018
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By Tom Wilkinson
Game 2 - Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
The Golden State Warriors showed the Houston Rockets who was boss in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals on Monday night and now Golden State will look to bury the Rockets on Wednesday night in Game 2.
You can already make a case that Game 2 is simply a must-win game for the Rockets if they are to have any chance of making this series competitive.
Let’s look at Game 2 on Wednesday and NBA picks.
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
Date and Time: Wednesday, May 16, 2018, 9:00 p.m. Eastern
Location: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
NBA Odds at BetDSI: Rockets -1.5, O/U 224.5
Warriors vs. Rockets TV Coverage: TNT
It was only one game, but the Warriors 119-106 win on Monday night showed that this series is really already over, as Golden State now has home court advantage. I said before Game 1 that the Rockets simply don’t have enough weapons to match Golden State and that proved true in Game 1. The Rockets have James Harden and Chris Paul, but Golden State has Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson. In Game 1 it was Durant scoring 37 points, the fourth time this postseason that Durant has scored 30 points or more. Head coach Steve Kerr said that Durant can’t be stopped. “I don't know what you do to guard him," Kerr said. "He can get any shot he wants." Durant got help from Thompson who hit a number of big shots to thwart any hopes Houston had of making a comeback.
Harden had 41 points, while Paul added 23, but Houston still lost. Houston head coach Mike D’Antoni said that his team simply wasn’t tough mentally. "There were too many times where we had mental lapses. We didn't switch properly, turned the ball over and missed too many layups. We need to do a better job of staying up mentally."
Curry had 18 points for the Warriors. Kerr said that he expects Curry to play better as the series progresses. "I think he's going to get even better as the series goes on, which is good for us."
The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston. The Warriors are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win. The Warriors are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games playing on one day of rest. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on one day of rest.
Looking at the total, the Under is 4-0 in the Warriors last 4 road games. The Under is 11-0 in the Rockets last 11 games vs. the Pacific Division. The Under is 15-6 in the Rockets last 21 home games. The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.
Warriors vs. Rockets Free Picks
I said before Game 1 that the Warriors were the better team and that Houston didn’t have enough to stop them. That is still the case, and if Houston doesn’t win this game it should be a sweep for Golden State.
The value in Game 2 is still with Golden State, but the situation does favor Houston. I still lean toward the Warriors but picking a side is difficult because of the situation, so I will avoid a side and look at the total. I had the under in Game 1 and it was a winner. The only reason it was close was because Houston chose to continue to foul late in the game.
There is no question that Golden State and Houston are potent offensive teams, but the trends are heavily in favor of this game going under. The Rockets have gone under the total in 15 of their last 21 home games and their last 11 against Pacific Division teams have gone under.
Golden State has also gone under in their last four road games. I think there is value on the total once again for Game 2, so I will go under the total.
Warriors vs. Rockets ATS Pick: Under the total at BetDSI
Warriors vs. Rockets Score Prediction: Warriors 110, Rockets 109
14-4 L18, 25-9 Streak, +3,921 TY
3-1 Picks, 33-18 G-Plays, +2,224
10-4 L14, 43-23 Run, 14-5 G-Plays
18-6 GPlays, 31-12 Run, 18-8 Totals
17-4 L21 Totals, 18-8 L26 G-Plays
6-0 L6 G-Plays, 13-4 L17 Picks
7-1 Guaranteed Run, 4-2 L6 Picks
3-0 L3, 6-1 Streak, 3-0 G-Plays
+1,180 Net Profits, +769 G-Plays TY
8-3 Totals, 6-3 Picks, 5-2 G-Plays
11-5 Last 16 NBA Selections
9-5 14 Guarantees, +1,221 TY
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