Grey Cup - Divisional Round
November 5, 2012
By David Schwab
The 18-game CFL regular season has given-way to the start of the Grey Cup Playoffs with two division semifinal matchups on the slate for this Sunday. In the final week of the regular season, Edmonton lost to Calgary 30-27 as a one-point home favorite, but still earned a crossover spot in the postseason as a result of Hamilton's 43-40 loss to Toronto as a seven-point favorite on the road.
The following is a brief betting report for this Sunday's games with betting lines provided by 5 Dimes.
Sunday, Nov. 11
Edmonton Eskimos vs. Toronto Argonauts (-3 ½) Total: 51
Edmonton basically backed into the playoffs with three-straight losses down the stretch to finish 7-11 straight-up , but it was still over .500 against the spread at 10-8. The Eskimos went just 2-7 SU (4-5 ATS) on the road this season and the total has now gone OVER in five of their last six games. The one thing in their favor is a 7-2 ATS record in their last nine playoff games.
Toronto won its last two games to even its mark on the year at 9-9 both SU and ATS. It turned in a losing 4-5 SU record at home this season and was even worse ATS at 3-6. The total went OVER in its last three games. The Argonauts are just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a SU win.
The Eskimos swept the season series 2-0 SU and ATS including a convincing 26-17 victory in late August as three-point underdogs on the road. The total stayed UNDER in both games. Edmonton is now 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 3-1-1 ATS in its last five trips to Toronto. Be sure to check the injury status of a couple of quarterbacks in this matchup as both Edmonton's Kerry Joseph and Toronto's Ricky Ray are currently listed as questionable for Sunday's game.
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Calgary Stampeders (-5 ½) Total: 52
Saskatchewan is another team that brings a losing streak into the playoffs with four-straight losses to close-out the regular season at 8-10 both SU and ATS. It has been a rough ride for this team on the road this year with a 3-6 record SU and ATS. The total has gone OVER in three of their last four games.
Calgary has been biding its time over the past few weeks after clinching the home field for this game. Instead of riding things out, the Stampeders turned things up a notch or two with a four-game winning streak to finish 12-6 SU. They also covered in three of their final four games to go 10-8 ATS with the total going OVER in all four contests. Calgary is 7-2 SU at home this year but just 4-5 ATS.
The Stampeders got the best of this season's three-game series with a 2-1 record SU, but the Roughriders covered in two of the games including a 30-25 victory on Sept.23 as one-point underdogs at home. Overall, Calgary is 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings with the total staying UNDER in four of the seven games. Injuries should not be a major issue for either team, but Stampeders' wide receiver Marquay McDaniel is still listed as questionable after missing the last three games with a tweaked hamstring.
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