CFL Betting Notes - Week 6
July 31, 2013
By David Schwab
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The CFL only has two games on the slate for Week 6 with half the teams on a bye. After the first five weeks of action there is a clear separation between the haves and the have nots in the league. Last Thursday night Montreal started Week 5 with a 32-27 victory over Edmonton as a four-point home favorite. On Friday night, Calgary moved to 4-1 straight-up with a 37-24 romp of Winnipeg as a 5 ½-point favorite on the road.
Saskatchewan remained the only undefeated team in the CFL with a 32-20 pasting of Hamilton last Saturday night as a four-point road favorite and in a rare Tuesday night clash, Toronto stunned British Columbia 38-12 as a 6 ½-point underdog at home.
The following is a brief betting preview for Week 6 of the CFL regular season with the opening pointspread and ‘over/under’ lines provided by The Greek.
Friday, Aug. 2
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Edmonton Eskimos
Pointspread: Edmonton -3
Something has to give in this matchup with each team sporting just one win on the year. The Tiger-Cats have lost their last two games after beating Winnipeg 25-20 as a 5 ½-point home favorite in Week 3 for their only win on the year. They are 1-4 SU and a costly 0-5 against the spread. The total has stayed UNDER in their last four games.
The problems with this team are twofold. It has an offense that is ranked last in the league in scoring and a defense that has been torched for an average of 31.6 points a game, which is the most points allowed in the CFL. It is hard to blame quarterback Henry Burris for the slow start given that he leads the league in passing yards with 1,510 while completing 64.2 percent of his throws.
The Eskimos’ current losing streak now stands at three games both SU and ATS and they are also 1-4 SU (1-4 ATS) on the year. The total has gone OVER in their last two games and in three of five overall.
This is another team that has had trouble finding the end zone this season especially at home. Edmonton has averaged 26 points in three road games but it only managed 18 in its home opener against Saskatchewan and three points in a Week 3 loss to BC. Mike Reilly has taken the majority of the snaps at quarterback but he has only completed 56.3 percent of his passes and he has six interceptions verse five touchdown throws.
The home team in this series is 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the total has gone OVER in three of the last four games. Edmonton struck first blood this season with a 30-20 victory in Week 2 as a seven-point road underdog. The total stayed UNDER the 55 ½-point line.
Monday, Aug. 5
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. British Columbia Lions
Point-spread: BC -10
The Bombers come into this inter-division clash with just one SU victory on the year and they are 2-3 ATS. They are actually 2-0 ATS on the road this season and the total has gone OVER in three of their first five games.
Quarterback Buck Pierce remains ‘questionable’ for this contest with a lingering abdominal injury so look for Justin Goltz to once again get the start if Pierce cannot go. Last week against the Stampeders he completed just 54.3 percent of his attempts for 194 yards and while he did toss two scoring strikes he was also picked-off once.
BC will have to quickly regroup after Tuesday’s ugly loss dropped it to 3-2 SU and ATS on the year. The total went OVER the 49-point line in that game and it has now gone OVER in three of the Lions first five games this year.
The Lions return home where they are 2-0 SU and ATS this season while averaging 27.5 points a game. Their defense has also played well in front of the home-two crowd this season; allowing a total of just 37 points in those two games. Travis Lulay is the third leading passer in the CFL with 1,200 yards while running back Andrew Harris is third in rushing with 403 yards.
This will be the first meeting this season, but BC holds a 15-6 SU edge in the last 21 games. The Lions are 8-3 SU in their last 11 home games against the Blue Bombers, but just 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings overall. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of the last nine meetings in BC.