CFL Betting Notes - Week 9
August 19, 2013
By David Schwab
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The 2013 CFL regular season enters Week 9 with a tight three-way race in the West Division and just one team in the East with a winning record. This past Friday night Hamilton rolled over Winnipeg 37-18 as a three-point road favorite to move to 3-4 straight-up which is good enough for second place in the East.
In the first of two Saturday games, Saskatchewan squeezed-out a 24-21 victory over Montreal as a 10 ½-point home favorite to lay claim to the best record in the CFL at 6-1. Later that day, British Columbia tightened things up in the West with a 26-22 win over Calgary as a three-point favorite at home. Both teams are now 5-2 SU on the year. Toronto closed-out Week 8 by edging-out Edmonton 36-33 as a 7 ½-point home favorite on Sunday to open a two-game lead in the East at 5-2.
The following is a brief betting preview for the two games in the CFL this week with the opening pointspread and 'over/under' lines provided by TopBet.
Thursday, Aug. 22
British Columbia Lions vs. Montreal Alouettes
The Lions' victory over Calgary this past Saturday not only moves them into a tie with the Stampeders in the West at 5-2 straight-up, it avenges an opening day loss to their rivals. They improve to 4-3 against the spread this season and the total has gone OVER in three of their previous three road games. BC has given-up the second fewest points in the CFL (23.4 points a game).
It has been a very disappointing 2-5 SU start for the defending East Division champs. Montreal had already fired its head coach five weeks into the season and may be without the services of quarterback Anthony Calvillo for this contest after leaving last week's game with a head injury. The Alouettes are 3-4 ATS overall and 1-3 ATS at home. The total has stayed UNDER in three of four home games.
BC is 15-8 SU in the last 23 meetings between these two, but just 1-6 SU in its last seven road games against the Alouettes. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings in Montreal. The last time these two met, the Lions rolled to a 43-10 victory as six-point home favorites in early September of last season. The total went OVER the 53 ½-point line.
Friday, Aug. 23
Calgary Stampeders vs. Toronto Argonauts
Pointspread: Toronto -3
Calgary has to be thinking about last November's 35-22 loss to Toronto as a two-point favorite in the 2012 Grey Cup Championship heading into this Week 9 matchup. The Stampeders are 5-2 both SU and ATS this season behind an offense that is cranking-out an average of 32.3 points a game. The total has gone over in five of their first seven games.
The Argonauts fought off a slow start out of the gates and now bring a four-game winning streak SU (3-1 ATS) into this contest. They are 3-1 SU (2-2 ATS) at home this season and the total has gone OVER in all four games. Behind quarterback Ricky Ray, Toronto is averaging 32.9 points a game.
The Stampeders have lost their last five games against Toronto SU and ATS and they are 2-11 SU in their last 13 road games against the Argonauts. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings overall and in six of the last seven meetings in Toronto.
Saturday, Aug. 24
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Pointspread: Hamilton -10
Total: 51 ½
The Blue Bombers will be looking to snap an extended losing streak that started with a 25-20 loss to Hamilton in Week 3 as six-point underdogs on the road and reached five games with last week's 19-point loss at home. Winnipeg is 1-6 SU overall and 3-3 ATS. It is a perfect 3-0 ATS on the road this season and the total has stayed UNDER in all three games.
Hamilton's victory over the Bombers in Week 8 was its second in-a-row both SU and ATS. This followed a shaky 1-4 SU start and a costly 0-5 run ATS. The total has gone OVER in its last two games after staying UNDER in four of its first five games. The Tiger-Cats have scored a total of 67 points in their last two games.
Winnipeg comes into the back-end of this home-and-home series with a 6-3 SU record in its last nine games against the Tiger-Cats despite the two SU losses this season. The Blue Bombers are 6-2-1 ATS in those eight games and the total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven games between the two.
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Edmonton Eskimos
Pointspread: Saskatchewan -3 ½
The Roughriders fast start at 6-1 SU has also been a profitable run for anyone wagering on this team with a 5-2 record ATS. They are 3-1 ATS on the road this season and the total has gone OVER in three of the four games. Saskatchewan remains the highest scoring team in the CFL (33.4 points) and the stingiest on defense; allowing an average of just 21.4 points a game.
Edmonton's losing streak has now reached five games SU, but it snapped a four-game losing streak ATS by covering against Toronto last week. It all adds up to a 1-6 record SU and a 2-5 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of its first seven games. The Eskimos remain the second-lowest scoring team in the league with an average of 23 points a game.
Saskatchewan hammered Edmonton 39-18 on opening day as a 2 ½-point road underdog with the total going OVER the 51-point line. It was just its second SU win over the Eskimos in the last seven meetings. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings in Edmonton.