CFL Betting Notes - Week 11
September 4, 2013
By David Schwab
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The CFL not only uses the Labor Day Weekend to mark the halfway point of its regular season, but as the front half of a unique home-and-home series that involves every team in the league. Last Friday night British Columbia got the early edge against Hamilton with a tight 29-27 victory as a five-point home favorite. Sunday's only game saw Saskatchewan clobber Winnipeg 48-25 as a 14-point favorite at home.
This past Monday, Calgary squeezed past Edmonton 37-34 as a 3 ½-point favorite on the road and Montreal closed-out the Holiday with a huge 20-9 win over Toronto as a five-point road underdog on Tuesday night.
The following is a brief betting preview for Week 11 in the CFL with the opening pointspread and 'over/under' lines provided by TopBet.
Friday, Sept. 6
Calgary Stampeders vs. Edmonton Eskimos
Pointspread: Calgary -3
Calgary's win last week kept it right in the thick of the West Division title race at 7-2 straight-up, but it fell to 6-3 against the spread after failing to cover in last week's game. The Stampeders are 3-2 SU on the road this season and 2-3 ATS with the total staying UNDER in three of the five games. They are now ranked second in the league in scoring with an average of 33.1 points a game.
The Eskimos have only won one game SU this season and are riding a seven-game losing streak into this game, but they have covered in their last three games after losing by a combined nine points. The total has gone OVER in their last six games and they have scored 27 or more points in their last five games.
This past Monday's win extended Calgary's SU winning streak in this series to five games and it is 3-2 ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of the previous seven meetings including the last three. It has also gone OVER in seven of the last nine games played in Edmonton.
Saturday, Sept. 7
British Columbia Lions vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Pointspread: BC -2
BC is in solid shape in the West at 6-3 SU, but after failing to cover in four of its last five games it comes into this matchup 4-5 ATS. The total went OVER the 54 ½-point line in last week's game and it has gone OVER in three of its four road games this year. The Lions are averaging 26.2 points a game, but allowing an average of 25.4 points on defense.
The Tiger-Cats three-game winning streak came to an end with the loss last week to BC, but at 4-5 SU on the year they are just a game back in the East Division race. They are 4-5 ATS as well and the total has stayed UNDER in all four of its previous games at home this season. Quarterback Henry Burris leads the CFL in total passing yards with 2,806.
BC has won 17 of the last 23 meetings SU, but it is just 1-6 ATS in the last seven games of this series. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of the last 10 games played in Hamilton and it has gone OVER in five of the last eight meetings overall.
Sunday, Sept. 8
Toronto Argonauts vs. Montreal Alouettes
Pointspread: Montreal -1
Toronto's offense looked awful in Tuesday night's loss with Zach Collaros at quarterback for an injured Ricky Ray. This followed a 14-point performance the week before in a loss to Calgary. The Argonauts are now 5-4 SU in the East and 4-5 ATS with the total staying UNDER in three of their last five games.
Tanner Marsh got the start for an injured Anthony Calvillo on Tuesday night and threw for 309 yards and a score to pace the win. The Alouettes have been able to claw their way back into the East Division race at 4-5 SU (5-4 ATS) with three SU wins in their last five games and they are 4-1 ATS during this same stretch.
The outcome of this game could very well hinge of Ray's availability for Sunday night, but Toronto's track record against its division rivals over the years is not that good. The Argonauts are 5-15 SU in the last 20 meetings and 8-17 SU in the 25 meetings in Montreal.
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Pointspread: Saskatchewan -7
The Roughriders have clearly established themselves as the best team in the CFL over the first half of the season with the highest scoring offense (34.6 points) in the league complementing the stingiest defense (22.4). They are 8-1 SU and a profitable 6-3 ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of five road games this season.
Winnipeg fell to 1-8 SU and 3-6 ATS with last week's loss as its current losing streak has now reached seven games. It has failed to cover in four of its last five games and the total has gone OVER in three of those contests. The Blue Bombers are the lowest scoring team in the league (21.3 points) while allowing the most points on defense (32.8).
Saskatchewan has now won nine of the last 10 meetings SU and it is 7-3 ATS. The total has gone OVER in the last four games. It is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five games played in Winnipeg.