CFL Betting Notes - Week 12
September 10, 2013
By David Schwab
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The start of the second half of the 2013 CFL regular season featured the back-end of four home-and-home series that kicked off over the Labor Day Holiday. Calgary completed its sweep of Edmonton with a 22-12 victory last Friday night as a four-point road favorite. On Saturday, Hamilton turned the tables on British Columbia on its home field with a 37-29 win in a game that closed as a pick ‘em.
Toronto evened the score against East Division rival Montreal with a 37-30 win as a three-point road underdog in Sunday’s early game and Saskatchewan was stunned by Winnipeg 25-13 as an eight-point road favorite to close out Week 11.
The following is a brief betting preview for Week 12 in the CFL with the opening pointspread and ‘over/under’ lines provided by TopBet.
Friday, Sept. 13
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Calgary Stampeders
Point-spread: Calgary -6
Total: 56 ½
Hamilton finds itself in a jumbled mess in the East at 5-5 straight up. It is one game in back of Toronto and one game ahead of Montreal in the race for the division title. The Tiger-Cats are 5-5 against the spread as well, but they have covered in their last five games. The total has gone OVER in four of those contests.
Calgary is in the thick of the West Division race with an overall record of 8-2 SU and it is a profitable 7-3 ATS this year. The total has gone OVER in six its 10 games and in all four games at home this season. The Stampeders are the second-highest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 32 points a game.
The Tiger-Cats are just 2-8 SU in the last 10 meetings and 4-6 ATS. This will be the first meeting this season, but Calgary won both games last season SU with a split ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five games between the two.
Saturday, Sept. 14
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Edmonton Eskimos
Point-spread: Edmonton -4 ½
Total: 53 ½
The Blue Bombers stunning 25-13 victory over Saskatchewan last Sunday as an 8 ½-point home underdog snapped a seven-game losing streak, but they are still buried in the basement of the East Division at 2-8 SU. They are slightly better ATS at 4-6 and the total has stayed UNDER in four of five road games this year. Winnipeg’s 21.7 points a game is the lowest scoring average in the league.
Edmonton’s woes continued with a losing streak that has now reached eight games. It is safe to say that at 1-9 SU the Eskimos are out of Grey Cup Playoff contention. They are also 4-6 ATS with the total going OVER in four of five home games this year. They have covered in three of their last four games.
The Eskimos have a slight 6-4 SU edge in the last 10 meetings between these two bottom feeders, but the Blue Bombers have the edge ATS at 6-4. They have covered in six of the last eight meetings with series tied 4-4 SU. The total has gone OVER in the last two games after staying UNDER in the previous three meetings.
Toronto Argonauts vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -8
Toronto’s early lead in the East has been whittled down to just one game with a 1-3 SU record in its last four games. It is now 6-4 SU (5-5 ATS) with the total going OVER in six of the 10 games. The recent downturn can be heavily attributed to the loss of Ricky Ray at quarterback and he remains out of the lineup with a shoulder injury.
The Roughriders will quickly need to figure out what went wrong in last week’s loss now that Calgary is tied with them for the lead in the West at 8-2 SU. Saskatchewan is 6-4 ATS and the total has gone OVER in four of its first six home games this season. It remains the highest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 32.5 points a game.
The Argonauts lost to the Roughriders 39-28 earlier this season as two-point favorites at home. The total went well over the 55-point closing line in that contest. Saskatchewan holds a 7-3 SU lead in the last 10 games of this series, but its edge ATS stands at 5-4-1. The total has gone OVER in the last two meetings, but it did stay UNDER in five-straight games before then.
Sunday, Sept. 15
Montreal Alouettes vs. British Columbia Lions
Point-spread: BC- 9
Total: 52 ½
It has been a roller-coaster ride for Montreal this season, but through it all the defending East champs are just two games back in this year’s division title race at 4-6 SU (5-5 ATS). The total has stayed UNDER in three of its last five games, but the team has scored an average of 29.7 points in its last three contests.
BC is suddenly in need of win after losing two of its last three games to fall two games back in the West at 6-4 SU. It has now failed to cover in four of its last five games and is now 4-6 ATS on the year. The total has gone OVER in its last three games and in six of its 10 games overall.
The Alouettes outlasted the Lions 39-38 in Week 9 as 10-point underdogs at home in a game that went OVER the 47 ½-point line. Montreal has a 6-4 SU edge in the last 10 games of this series, but it have failed to cover in seven of those games. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings.
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