CFL Betting Notes - Week 17
October 10, 2017
By David Schwab
Week 16 Betting Recap
Road underdogs were the big winners this past weekend in the CFL. Hamilton got things started on Friday night with a stunning 30-13 victory against Winnipeg as a 12-point road underdog. Saturday’s action got underway with Saskatchewan pulling off a 27-24 road victory against Toronto as a slight one-point underdog and the day ended with Ottawa getting past British Columbia 30-25 as a four-point underdog on the road.
Canada celebrated its Thanksgiving holiday on Monday with Edmonton rolling over Montreal 42-24 as a 7 ½-point road favorite to snap its recent straight-up six-game losing streak.
Friday, Oct. 13
Calgary Stampeders (12-1-1 SU, 9-4-1 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-10 SU, 6-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -10
The Stampeders are coming off a well-deserved bye week. They ran their current SU winning streak to 10 games after dismantling Montreal 59-11 in Week 15 as heavy 17-point favorites at home. They have gone a highly profitable 8-1-1 against the spread during this run with the total staying UNDER five of the last seven contests. Calgary is averaging 33.1 points per game while holding opponents to just 17.3 PPG.
Hamilton’s stunning upset against Winnipeg was led by Jeramiah Masoli throwing the ball and Brandon Banks catching it. Masoli completed an impressive 81.8 percent of his 33 passing attempts for 338 yards and two touchdowns. Banks came down with six receptions for 104 yards and a score. The Tiger-Cats ended the game with 484 yards of total offense.
-- Calgary won the first meeting this season 60-1 as a 13-point home favorite to extend its winning streak ATS to four games. The total went OVER 55 points after staying UNDER in the previous nine meetings.
Ottawa RedBlacks (6-9-1 SU, 11-5 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-6 SU, 8-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -3
Ottawa’s win last week combined with Toronto’s loss has the RedBlacks in the thick of the East Division title race. They have now covered in six of their last eight games with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in seven of those contests. Ottawa got a huge effort from Trevor Harris in Saturday’s victory with 380 yards passing and three passing touchdowns. He is now third in the CFL in passing yards (4,104) and second in touchdown throws (26).
The Roughriders helped their postseason chances with a pair of road wins against Ottawa and Toronto in their last two games. They beat the RedBlacks 18-17 two weeks ago as 2 ½-point road favorites. In the win against the Argonauts, Brandon Bridge took the majority of the snaps at quarterback in place of Kevin Glenn and completed 20-of-28 attempts for 292 yards and two scores.
-- With the previous victory against Ottawa in Week 15, the Roughriders are 5-2 SU in the last seven meetings. Ottawa still holds the slight 4-3 edge ATS and the total has gone OVER in five of the seven games.
Saturday, Oct. 14
British Columbia Lions (6-8 SU, 5-8-1 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-4 SU, 10-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -6
BC is last in the West Division at 6-8, but still very much alive for a crossover spot in the playoffs given current the records in the East Division standings. The Lions have not played with any kind of consistency since early Augusts with just one SU victory in their last seven games while going a costly 1-5-1 ATS. Jonathon Jennings did turn in one of his more productive outings last week with 375 yards passing and three touchdown throws.
Last week’s loss to Hamilton could have come at a steep cost with quarterback Matt Nichols leaving that game with an injury to his throwing hand. His status for this Saturday remains up in the air. Backup Dominique Davis connected on nine of his 14 passing attempts for 84 yards in relief. Nichols is fourth in the CFL in passing and he leads the league in touchdown passes with 27.
-- BC won the first meeting this season 45-42 as a four-point home favorite. The home team has won four of the last six meetings SU, but the Blue Bombers have covered ATS in the last six games in this West Division tilt. The total has gone OVER in the last five games.
Toronto Argonauts (7-8 SU, 6-9 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (8-6 SU, 5-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -7
Toronto’s recent three-game winning streak both SU and ATS came to an end with the loss to Saskatchewan last week, but veteran quarterback Ricky Ray continued to put up some big numbers with 341 yards passing and two scoring strikes in the losing effort. James Wilder led an effective running game with 72 yards rushing on 13 carries as part of the top two playmakers for an Argonauts’ offense that is averaging 25.7 points per game.
The Eskimos may have resurrected their season with Monday’s win and they actually remain in position to still lock up the No. 2 seed in the West if they can finish the year on a strong note and get some help closing the gap with Winnipeg. Mike Reilly continues to lead the CFL in passing yards with 4,546 and he added 286 yards to that total against Montreal. He left the game in the fourth quarter will a lower body injury, but remains listed as probable for Saturday.
-- Toronto took the series opener 34-26 on Sept. 26 as a four-point home underdog, but Edmonton still has a 5-2 edge ATS in the last seven meetings. The total has gone OVER in the last four meetings.
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