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Tour Championship
East Lake Golf Club
Par 70 – 7,385 yards

We've reached the last stop for the PGA Tour players in the 2016-17 season as the Top 30 players for the year in terms of FedEx Cup points have made it to the Tour Championship. With no cut again this week, these 30 players have the full four days to try and claim this prestigious tournament.

The top five guys in the standings entering the week control their own destiny – Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, Marc Leishman, and Jon Rahm – while everyone else needs to win this Tour Championship tournament and hope the rest of the leaderboard pans out in their favor.

The good news in that regard for the rest of the field is the fact that the last seven winners of this final Tour event have ultimately won the FedEx Cup playoffs, and only twice in the 10-year history of these golf playoffs has the winner of this tournament not gone on to claim the FedEx Cup trophy (2008,2009).

Finally, East Lake Golf Club is a course that hasn't suited one particular style of player over the years. We've had bombers like Rory McIlroy (2016) and Henrik Stenson (2013) win here, tremendous putters like Jordan Spieth (2015) and Brandt Snedeker (2012) win here, as well as some others like Billy Horschel (2014) and Bill Haas (2011) that many wouldn't expect.

What is known here is that you've got to be extremely accurate off the tee, and with your approaches to a lesser extent as the rough is very penile at this track. There will be some long approach shots for these guys coming into greens, so stats like Strokes Gained: Approach and Driving Accuracy are things you may want to weigh a little heavier in your own analysis.

That being said, let's get right to the golfers to strongly consider putting on your card this week.

Odds per -

Golfers to Watch

Jordan Spieth (5/1) – Taking the favorite here may be considered a “cop out” to some, but Spieth's got a little bit of everything going for him here. He's the only guy in the field who's ever won here before, he currently leads the FedEx Cup standings, and he's got finishes of 2nd, 2nd, and T7 in the three previous playoff events the last month. That's some strong current form I don't think you want to mess around with and a +500 price is still decent enough in a 30-man field.

Spieth may not have the distance off the tee that others in the field do, but he's one of the best long iron players in the game, and his putting is second to none. Spieth can spray it a bit off the tee at times, but if he keeps that in check like he has over the past few weeks, there is no reason to think that he won't be in contention late Sunday afternoon. A second FedEx Cup championship in three years would cement his status as the best young golfer, possibly the best golfer, in the game today.

Paul Casey (18/1) – Casey has been a Top 20 machine all year long, and his T33 finish last week at the BMW was his worst finish since a T41 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in mid-March. That's a phenomenal run of tremendous golf and not being able to get over the hump and actually win a tournament has to be tough. But maybe the Englishman has been saving it all for the final event of the year, and this is a course he's had tremendous success at in the past.

Casey has only played the Tour Championship twice (2015, 2016) and he's got finishes of T5 and 4th on his resume. With 2017 being arguably his most consistent season of his career, taking a shot with him to improve on those great finishes this week isn't a bad idea. He's ranks out solid in many of the key stats that should be significant this week (driving accuracy, approach game, putting), and while he's yet to claim a Major in his career, you know a Tour Championship and FedEx Cup win (he's currently 10th) would feel nearly as sweet.

Charley Hoffman (40/1) – Hoffman had a clip of him going for it at on the Par-5 16th hole at the WGC-Bridgestone back in early August go viral after he told his caddie “ I'm trying to win a golf tournament, I'm tired of finishing in 2nd”. That kind of go-for-broke attitude can often serve guys well in a no-cut event, and Hoffman is stroking the ball as good as ever at the moment.

Hoffman's T27 finish last week at the BMW won't suggest he's in top form on the surface, but he led the field by a wide margin in Strokes Gained: Approach (7.8), he just couldn't putt. In fact, he was last in Strokes Gained: Putting a week ago of the 30 guys who made it to East Lake, and with putting being such a high variance thing, I don't expect that to hold true again this week.

Yet, striking the ball well tee-to-green, and especially on approaches is something that bettors can typically rely on from week to week, and he is 10th in this field in terms of driving accuracy. If Hoffman can get it going with the flatstick this week, the rest of the field better watch out, because you know Hoffman won't be playing for 2nd.

Tour Championship -
Jordan Spieth 5/1
Dustin Johnson 6/1
Rickie Fowler 8/1
Jason Day 10/1
Justin Thomas 10/1
Jon Rahm 11/1
Justin Rose 12/1
Brooks Koepka 18/1
Marc Leishman 18/1
Paul Casey 18/1
Hideki Matsuyama 20/1
Matt Kuchar 22/1
Kevin Chappell 30/1
Sergio Garcia 30/1
Patrick Reed 33/1
Patrick Cantlay 35/1
Webb Simpson 40/1
Charley Hoffman 40/1
Gary Woodland 50/1
Tony Finau 55/1
Daniel Berger 60/1
Pat Perez 65/1
Jason Dufner 80/1
Xander Schauffele 80/1
Kevin Kisner 100/1
Russell Henley 100/1
Adam Hadwin 125/1
Brian Harman 125/1
Jhonattan Vegas 125/1
Kyle Stanley 125/1

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