At the Gate - Sunday
September 30, 2012
By Mike Dempsey
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Game On Dude tracked the early pace and had no trouble putting away the competition in the stretch to win the Awesome Again (G1) at Santa Anita Park, stamping himself as the likely favorite for the Breeders' Cup Classic (G1) on Nov. 3.
He won for the fourth time in six starts this year for trainer Bob Baffert, running his record over the Santa Anita Park racing surface to a perfect five for five.
This year's Breeders' Cup will be held at Santa Anita on Nov. 2-3.
The gelding was already the favorite for the Classic according to 2012 Breeders' Cup Classic Future Odds released by Bovada last week.
His odds of 7-2 are likely to go downward after his impressive performance yesterday.
On the east coast it was the Bill Mott trained Flat Out who turned the tables on his rivals to win the Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), getting by a very stubborn Stay Thirsty in the stretch to win by a head.
The six-year-old came into the race off a third place finish in the Whitney Handicap (G1) at Saratoga, which was his six consecutive loss.
His last win came when he won last year's running of the Jockey Club Gold Cup, which sent him to Churchill Downs as the betting favorite for the Breeders' Cup Classic where he checked in fifth.
He is currently listed at 30-1 by Bovada in the future wagering for the Classic, but expect that price to shrink.
Royal Delta was the 5-2 early favorite in the future wagering for the Breeders' Cup Ladies' Classic, and anyone that already placed a wager on her has to be happy after she rolled to a 9 ½ length win in the Beldame (G1) at Belmont Park.
She trounced It's Tricky, who is sitting second in the future wagering at 9-2, but after getting dusted by her main rival yesterday, the price may end up farther apart as we get closer to racing's championship day.
We have a couple of juvenile graded stakes on the card today at Belmont Park that likely will have Breeders' Cup implications.
The talented Kauai Katie is the 2-5 morning line favorite for the $200,000 Matron (G2), which she may use as a prep for a possible engagement against the boys in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Sprint.
The Rick Violette trained Carried Interest is the 5-2 morning line favorite for the $200,000 Futurity (G2). The colt makes his first start since an impressive maiden score over the Belmont Park main track on July 5.
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Here is today's opening from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:
BEL Race 1 Md Sp Wt (12:50 ET)
2 Ruthie Blue Eyes 6-1
1 Flashy Gal 5-2
5 Zadina 5-1
Analysis: Ruthie Blue Eyes showed good early speed in her debut, setting the early fractions and weakening to finish fourth at the Spa, sent off at 12-1 in a field of ten. The $250K purchase is sent out by the Kimmel barn that does not win often first out and hits at a solid 21% (with a +ROI) with second out maidens. This gal is bred to be a runner, out of the stakes winner Halo America ($1.4 million) who has dropped five winners including a pair of turf winners, with two of her foals stakes winners, top earner Marino Marini ($294K).
Flashy Gal was bumped coming out of the gate and rank going around the first turn, racing toward the back while under a hold, came with a five wide run and finished up well for third. The $250K Keeneland purchase figures to move forward with a race under her belt and is in good hands with the Chad Brown barn that is 28% winners (with a +ROI) with second out maidens. The stakes placed mare has dropped two other foals to race including Magnifi Cat ($125K) who has a win on turf.
WIN: 2 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,5,10
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,5,10 / 1,2,5,7,10
Today's Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:
BEL Race 9 The Futurity G2 (5:06 ET)
1 Carried Interest 5-2
5 Handsome Jack 7-2
3 Gulfport 12-1
7 Weekend Hideaway 5-1
Analysis: Carried Interest makes his first start since an impressive maiden score over the main track here on July 5. The colt dueled for the early lead and held on gamely to prevail by a half-length. The racing strip was playing to outside stalkers and closers that day. The runner up Palace Malice came back to graduate in his next outing on Aug. 4 at the Spa. The $190K Ocala purchase owns the top last out speed fig and is in good hands with the Violette barn.
Handsome Jack dueled for the early lead and could not match strides late with Bern Identity in a runner up finish in the Sanford (G2) at the Spa. Bern Identity came back to finish third in the Hopeful (G2) on Sept. 3. Brave Dave came out of the Sanford to win the Sapling (G3) at Monmouth Park on Sept. 2. Two back over the main track here our second choice ran a solid second in the Track Barron behind Shanghai Bobby, who won the Hopeful. The gelding has been working sharply since his last outing and Ward elects to take the blinkers off on this guy, who broke his maiden for just $20K.
Gulfport set the early fractions and weakened to finish third last out at the Spa in his second career start. He caught a racing strip that as playing to outside stalkers and closes that day. Only one runner has come out of that race to run back, sixth place finisher Flying Bird a next out grad on Sept. 26 at Delaware Park. This guy is bred to be a good one and was sold for $775K. He is out of the stakes winner Dream Supreme ($1 million) who has dropped three stakes winners, top earner Majestic Warrior ($239K). He was scratched out of a maiden race yesterday to take on tougher here and should be a decent price.
WIN: #1 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX: 1,5 / 1,3,5,7
TRI: 1,5 / 1,3,5,7 / 1,3,4,5,7
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
R3: #5 Years Will Roll 20-1
R4: #6 Self Made Man 8-1
R5: #9 Noosh's Tale 15-1
R6: #9 Sheila's Gold 15-1
R7: #3 Baby J 10-1
R7: #2 Doubled 20-1
R8: #11 Considerate 8-1
R9: #3 Gulfport 12-1
R10: #6 Sydney Road 8-1
R10: #7 Postpone 8-1
Good luck today!
HORSE RACING EXPERT
Mike covers the New York racing circuit (Aqueduct, Belmont Park, and Saratoga) year round as well as Keeneland, Churchill Downs, the Triple Crown, and the Breeders’ Cup.
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