Wednesday's Tip Sheet
November 28, 2017
By Kevin Rogers
Game of the Night: Warriors at Lakers – 10:35 PM EST
It’s rare to see the Warriors (15-6 SU, 9-12 ATS) lose at home, but that was the case on Monday when Sacramento tripped up Golden State as 13-point underdogs, 110-106. Granted, Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant each sat out for the defending champions, but it was third home loss in 10 games at Oracle Arena this season. Golden State embarks on a six-game road trip, as the Warriors face the Lakers at Staples Center twice over the next three weeks.
Los Angeles (8-12 SU, 9-11 ATS) suffered its second straight loss on Monday as the Lakers fell to the Clippers, 120-115 as 4 ½-point underdogs. The Lakers had five players in double-figures, while shooting 48% from the floor. The one player who didn’t score at least 10 points and struggled from the field was rookie Lonzo Ball, who knocked down only 1-of-7 shots and put up just three points. The Lakers moved to 5-1 to the OVER in their past six games, while allowing at least 109 points in five of those contests.
Curry is expected to suit up on Wednesday, while Durant is listed as probable after missing the past three games with a sprained ankle. The Lakers shocked the Warriors as 11 ½-point home underdogs in their first matchup last season before Golden State won each of the final three meetings by double-digits. Seven of the past eight matchups between these division rivals have finished UNDER the total, as Los Angeles was limited to 94 points or less in the final two games last season against Golden State.
The Grizzlies (7-12 SU, 6-13 ATS) were a playoff team last season before getting ousted in the opening round by the Spurs. Memphis went through roster changes in the offseason and an injury to point guard Mike Conley early on this season which resulted in an eight-game losing streak. Following Sunday’s home loss to Brooklyn, the Grizzlies pulled the plug on head coach David Fizdale after a shade over 100 regular season games on the sidelines.
During this eight-game skid, Memphis has not covered once, while being limited to 94 points or less in five straight contests. The Spurs (13-7 SU, 10-10 ATS) are going in the opposite direction by winning four of their past five games, while coming off a 115-108 triumph over Dallas on Monday in point guard Tony Parker’s regular season debut. In five meetings last season at the AT&T Center (including playoffs), the Spurs compiled a 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS mark against the Grizzlies, as Memphis busted the 100-point mark only once.
The Thunder (8-11 SU, 8-11 ATS) had high expectations this season following the offseason acquisitions of Paul George and Carmelo Anthony. However, Oklahoma City sits in last place of the Northwest division nearly 20 games into the season, while trying to improve on a dreadful 2-8 SU/ATS record on the highway. The Thunder has dropped six straight road contests as OKC travels to Orlando, but the good news is Billy Donovan’s team has won in both its away opportunities against Eastern Conference foes in blowouts over Chicago and Milwaukee.
The early season magic for Orlando (8-13 SU, 9-11-1 ATS) has disappeared, as Frank Vogel’s squad failed to win a contest on its recent four-game road trip. In fact, the Magic is winless in its previous nine games, while last picking up a victory on November 10 at Phoenix. The Magic has dropped three straight home meetings with the Thunder, including a pair of overtime thrillers the last two seasons.
Big Easy Does It
A pair of Western Conference teams looking to make the move towards the postseason meet in New Orleans as the Pelicans host the Timberwolves. The Pelicans (11-9 SU, 12-8 ATS) had their three-game winning streak halted at Golden State on Saturday, 110-95 as 10 ½-point underdogs, while finishing UNDER the total for the third straight contest. New Orleans has played well recently at Smoothie King Center by winning four of the past home games, including recent triumphs over San Antonio and Oklahoma City.
The Wolves (12-9 SU, 8-11-2 ATS) head to New Orleans with no rest following Tuesday’s loss to Washington as Minnesota is 1-2 SU/ATS on the second end of a back-to-back. Minnesota held off New Orleans in their first matchup earlier this month, 104-98 as two-point underdogs, avenging a three-game sweep by the Pelicans last season. The Wolves have struggled in the road underdog role this season by posting a 2-4 SU/ATS in this situation.
Both the Heat and Knicks are coming off double-digit losses in their last game as the two old Eastern Conference rivals hook up at Madison Square Garden. Miami (10-10 SU, 7-11-2 ATS) saw its three-game winning streak come to an abrupt halt in a 108-97 setback at Cleveland on Tuesday as the Heat allowed 75 first half points. The Heat has seen plenty of success recently when they travel to Manhattan by winning six consecutive visits to the Garden, while the Knicks haven’t scored more than 91 points in any of those defeats.
The Knicks (10-10 SU, 12-8 ATS) trailed the Blazers by 26 points heading into the fourth quarter of Monday’s 103-91 setback to Portland. New York suffered its first home ATS loss in the last nine tries, while falling to 9-3 in its past 12 games at the Garden. The Knicks are trending in the wrong direction by dropping three straight games, as their last skid of this length came during the 0-3 start to begin the season.
-- The Wizards held off the 76ers in the season opener, 120-115, but Philadelphia cashed as 6 ½-point underdogs. Philadelphia had its six-game ATS winning streak end in Monday’s blowout loss to Cleveland, but the 76ers have covered in five of the past six meetings with the Wizards since February 2016.
-- Phoenix’s best rest situation this season has been with zero days off. The Suns own a 3-2 SU/ATS record on the second of a back-to-back following Tuesday’s contest at Chicago as Phoenix heads to Detroit. The Pistons have posted a solid 7-2 record at their new home at Little Caesars Arena, while capturing four of the previous five matchups with the Suns.
-- Charlotte and Toronto split the four-game series last season as the two Eastern Conference foes meet at the Air Canada Center. The Hornets haven’t had much luck on the highway this season by winning just once in nine tries away from Spectrum Center, while the Raptors have won six of seven at home.
-- Earlier this month, the Rockets ripped the Pacers in Indianapolis, 118-95 as 3 ½-point road favorites to beat Indiana for the first time in four tries. The two teams hook up again, this time at Toyota Center as the Rockets shoot for their sixth consecutive victory. Indiana has fared better of late by going 6-1 SU/ATS in the last seven games following a 6-8 start.
-- The Nets and Mavericks have combined for 12 victories this season, but both these teams have been on fire from an ATS standpoint of late. Brooklyn has covered six straight games, while Dallas is riding a 5-2 ATS run. Dallas has swept Brooklyn in each of the past two seasons, but the Nets own a 4-1 ATS mark in its past five trips to American Airlines Center.
You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at firstname.lastname@example.org
Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.
10-4 L4 Days, 14-4 Totals, +1,367 TY
9-3 L12 G-Plays, 11-5 L16 Picks
8-1 L9, 12-3 L15 Guarantees
24-9 L33 Guaranteed Plays
23-12 L35, +1,368 This Year
3-0 L3 Picks, 6-3 L9 G-Plays
5-2 L7 Picks, 59% +880 TY
6-1 L7 G-Plays, 7-3 L10 Picks
4-1 L5 Picks, 7-2 This Month
18-9 L27 Picks, 5-2 L7 Totals
26-16 L42 Picks, +2,074 TY
19-9 Pick Run, 8-4 L12 Totals
5-2 L7 Picks, 6-2 L8 Totals
17-8 Last 25 NBA Selections
5-2 Last 7 NBA Guarantees
10-4 L14 Guaranteed Plays
5-2 L7, 8-3 L11 Selections
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 20%
off Daily Pick packages, SAVE 10%
off a Live Odds Pro subscription, and receive access to up to 1,000
Member Plays each month!