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NBA

Game 2 Props – Best Bets

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read
The 2018 NBA Finals continue Sunday with Game 2 between the Cavaliers and Warriors from Oracle Arena. If you’re hesitant to back the side or total for the second installment in this series, then we suggest you take a closer look at the available player props.

With a little bit of luck, our trio of NBA experts produced a 6-3 overall record for Game 1 and those winners produced just under four units of profit.

Game 1 Results

Chris David: 3-0 (+560)
Kevin Rogers: 2-1 (+70)
Tony Mejia: 1-2 (-260)

Based on a five-unit bankroll, their top props are listed for Game 2 below.

Odds & Props provided by [...]

Chris David

2 Units – Under Kevin Durant Total Points 30 (-115)

While Durant has the ability to double this number on any given night, I’m leaning to the low side in Game 2. It looks like he’s pressing at home and the numbers prove that. In nine home games this postseason, he’s averaging 26.1 points per game compared to 32.2 PPG on the road. Plus, his percentage from 3-point land (32%) in this year’s playoffs have been well below his season average (42%). Knowing KD will have to step up defensively on LeBron at times, that focus and effort should keep him below 30 in Game 2.

2 Units – Over Kevin Durant Total Assists 4.5 (-130)

Sticking with my first play, I’m going to try a quick double-up and ride the theory of Durant being more of a facilitator than scorer. Something tells me that the coaching staff of the Warriors will surely push that objective since it’s been somewhat of an X-Factor for the team. In Golden State’s five playoffs losses, Durant has a total of eight assists. In the 13 playoff wins, he has 67 assists for an average of 5.15 per game. If you expect Golden State to win Game 2, which I do, this number has a great shot to get eclipsed.

1 Unit – Over Draymond Green Total Made 3-Point Field Goals (+180)

This prop connected for me in Game 1 albeit in overtime and I’m riding it again in Game 2 with the positive return. His shot is far from pretty and I heard a joke on a radio show that said Green looks like he’s shooting with a backpack on his shoulders, which is true. What’s also true is that his shots are never contested and he should get at least five looks on Sunday. Hopefully we won't need an extra session this time to cash this prop again.

Kevin Rogers

2 Units – Under LeBron James Total Made Free Throws 7.5 (-120)

Conventional wisdom would say that James is a lock to make at least eight free throws considering he has the ball on every possession and cannot be stopped going to the rim. However, the numbers seem to taper off in the playoffs after James hits at least nine free throws. James knocked down 10 foul shots in the opening loss to Golden State, but has nailed more than seven free throws only once in the playoffs after hitting at least nine in his previous contest.

2 Units – Under Kevin Love Total Points + Rebounds + Assists 30 (-115)

Love put together a solid Game 1 by producing a double-double with 21 points and 13 rebounds. Since Love averages 1.6 assists per game in the playoffs, that stat is basically null in this prop. So we're asking for Love to finish with 29 combined points and rebounds with maybe one assist thrown in. Love's 30+ points/rebounds/assists effort in Game 1 was only the sixth time in 18 playoff games he reached that level. Look for him to finish below that mark in Game 2.

1 Units – Over Kevon Looney Total Rebounds 4.5 (-150)

Looney is averaging 4.8 rebounds per game in the playoffs putting him right on the brink of cashing this Over. In five of the last seven games, Looney has pulled down at least five rebounds and if he can stay out of foul trouble, he has an excellent chance to cash this prop.

Tony Mejia

2.5 Units - Over LeBron James Total Rebounds + Assists 19 (-115)

The Cavs are certain to try and make the King more of a passer in this one, which should suit him just fine since more teammates will remain engaged. Look for him to pick up a triple-double in this Game 2.

1.5 Units - Under Draymond Green Total Points + Rebounds + Assists 30 (-115)

He's a reluctant shooter these days given the slump he's in but remains a vital cog due to his defense and table-setting skills. Not to mention, there's always the chance he gets into foul trouble or is ejected.

1 Unit - Over Jeff Green Total Points + Rebounds 12.5 (-130)

His versatility will be essential in this contest, especially after showing he can at least bother childhood buddy Kevin Durant to make life difficult for him. Look for him to be productive enough to cash here.

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