UFC Fight Night 120
November 9, 2017
After witnessing the greatest card in the history of mixed martial arts, it’s time to tape up the knuckles and dive right back in with UFC Fight Night 120 betting lines. This card is filled with lopsided fights, but the chances of the board going chalk is quite unlikely. So where’s the best value on a wide open card?
UFC Fight Night 120 goes off on Saturday night out of the Ted Constant Convocation Center in Norfolk, Virginia.
Check your local listings and get your bets in early on Saturday at BetOnline.ag.
Dustin Poirier -103 over Anthony Pettis -117
Poirier was last out putting on an absolute show against Eddie Alvarez at UFC 211 until the latter landed some obviously illegal knees. To be fair, Alvarez couldn’t have known what position his opponent was in from his vantage point but we’re not here to discuss that.
The point is that Poirier is a gunner and his time is coming. There’s no doubt that Pettis is a great fight for him, but with a record of just 2-4 SU in his last 6, I don’t know if Pettis has anything left to truly offer.
This is an absolute toss-up worthy of main eventing a Fight Night card. While Pettis is the favorite, Poirier has shown plenty with his striking ability to wear down a guy like Pettis, who always leaves himself open.
Diego Sanchez +280 over Matt Brown -340
This is the first of many hail mary’s on this card. Matt Brown has simply done nothing to warrant odds this steep. He’s 1-5 SU in his last 6 fights and there seems to be too much at stake for Brown as this bout is slated to be his retirement fight.
Diego Sanchez hasn’t been a reliable bet in years, but has endured a weird trend over the last seven fights where he’s gone 3-4 SU and flip-flopped wins and losses. His last time out was an ugly KO against Al Iaquinta.
The truth is that at this point in his career, it feels like Brown has one foot out of the octagon. He’s a matchup problem for the smaller Sanchez, but there’s just no confidence in the corner of Brown aside from the heavy price the oddsmakers have placed on his head. Brown will flame out as he chases Sanchez around the octagon as The Nightmare finds some new life and continues his flip-flopping streak at UFC Fight Night 120.
Junior Albini -330 over Andrew Arlovski +270
The glass jaw of Arlovski doesn’t stand a chance. At this point, the beloved former champion is just collecting fight checks. Albini is on route to becoming one of the next big things in the heavyweight division, which absolutely needs an injection of young blood. There are plenty of fliers to take at UFC Fight Night 120 betting, but this isn’t one of them. Albini hasn’t lost a fight in 10 efforts dating back to 2012. Just sit back and enjoy the show that Ablini puts on with the always entertaining Arlovski.
Nate Marquardt +230 over Cezar Ferreira -270
The reason that Cezar is favored so heavily here is simply because of the matchup. Marquardt is a knockout specialist, and his multi-talented, Brazilian opponents is like a poor man’s, MMA, Swiss-army knife. As grizzled and battered as Marquardt is, the one thing he hasn’t been susceptible to in the octagon is submissions. The loveable bruiser has just two submission losses on his 35-18-2 record, and both of those date all the way back to 2003 and 1999.
It’s also been over eight years since Cezar knocked anybody out. The take down defence of Marquardt, combined with his ferocious knockout power make him a fun play on Saturday night. I always love betting on Marquardt as a stand alone proposition. There’s just something about him that’s easy to root for.
Matthew Lopez +270 over Raphael Assunção -330
Assunção is the better fighter, but he’s been curiously vulnerable in his last three fights. That’s included a loss to Dillashaw, which should evict no shame, with two split decision wins over Aljamain Sterling and Marlon Morales. In short, he simply hasn’t been all that convincing as a threat for the bantamweight gold despite heavy hype and some prosperous wins. In other words, there are openings here that Lopez can take advantage of. There should be a chasm between the two in terms of talent, but Lopez is a noted grinder who can absolutely expose Assunção’s flaws with his knockout potential. Again, I woudn’t go buck wild here on a spending spree but Lopez’s odds are just easier to digest.
Joe Lauzon +100 over Clay Guida -120
There’s no other way to describe this fight other than a “pick of passion”. Lauzon and Guida have been fan favorites for a generation, but both are on the downside of their careers. Guida is getting the nod here from the oddsmakers in UFC Fight Night 120 betting simply because of he’s coming off a win over Erik Koch. It’s impossible to say who the better wrestler is, but my money is on Lauzon. If your money is on Guida that’s totally fine. This fight is just too close to call. Follow your own instincts on this one.
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