March Madness Odds Final Four: Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends For Each Game

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

10 minute read

March Madness odds for the Final Four are on the board, as the nation's greatest three-weekend sports betting party continues. With the Final Four field set, action is already starting to roll in.

Defending national champion and No. 1 seed UConn was the first team to punch its ticket to the national semifinals. The Huskies meet No. 4 seed Alabama, while No. 1 seed Purdue faces Cinderella No. 11 seed N.C. State.

Here's everything you need to know about the 2024 March Madness odds Final Four market: action, movement and betting trends on every game. Check back regularly for updates, as bookmakers provide their insights on March Madness Final Four odds. You can use our Caesar's Sportsbook promo code to get potential bonus bets. And if you're a college hoops bettor in North Carolina, registration is now available, as all the top North Carolina sportsbooks are live.

March Madness Odds for Final Four Games

No. 4 Alabama vs No. 1 UConn Odds

• Opening point spread: UConn -11
• Opening moneyline: UConn -800/Alabama +550
• Opening total: Over/Under 161.5 points scored
• Time: 8:49 p.m. ET Saturday (TBS/TNT)

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Less than an hour before tipoff, UConn is down to -10.5 in TwinSpires Sportsbook's March Madness odds Final Four market. The Huskies opened -11 last weekend and spent time during the week at -11.5.

UConn is taking 57% of spread tickets, but 65% of spread money is on Alabama.

"Sharp play on 'Bama +11. And for the first time all tourney, we'll need UConn to cover," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.

The total climbed from 161 to 162, with tickets and money in the 2/1 range on the Over.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SATURDAY: UConn is laying 11.5 points on BetMGM's Final Four odds board, about eight hours ahead of tip time. That matches the opening number, and the Huskies made a couple trips to -12.5 early in the week.

Since Wednesday afternoon, Connecticut has been either -11.5 flat or -11.5 (-115). Spread tickets and money are just shy of 2/1 on the Huskies.

Not surprisingly, the public betting masses are taking big 'dog Alabama (+525) on BetMGM's moneyline. Ticket count is 8/1 and money almost 4/1 on the Tide.

BetMGM opened the total at 161.5 and made several trips to 160.5 throughout the week. It's at 160.5 now, though tickets are 2/1 and money 3/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Caesars Sports opened on the lower end of the March Madness odds Final Four market. UConn hit the board Saturday night at -10.5 and went to 11 within 90 minutes.

The Huskies hit -11.5 Sunday and -12 Monday, then backed up to -11.5 Tuesday. UConn has been at -11.5 (-105) since Thursday afternoon. Connecticut is landing 59% of spread bets and more notable 75% of spread money.

"We took a few bets of note from the sharper crowd at the UConn -10.5 opener," Caesars lead college basketball trader Rich Zanco said. "The betting public is still gravitating toward UConn, too. This could go to -12/-12.5 on Saturday.

"Based on recency bias, the public is probably gonna force us off 11.5. UConn is dismantling every team. We're gonna need Alabama to stay within the number. And if the Tide could pull off the outright win, it'd be fantastic. We're really good to Alabama in the futures market."

Over the course of the week, the total bounced around between the 161.5 opener, 161 and 160.5. It's currently at 160.5, with 57% of tickets on the Over/54% of money on the Under.

"There were a couple bets from the sharper crowd on the Under. But the betting public figures to come in on the Over, especially on parlays, betting UConn to the Over," Zanco said.

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Station Sports opened UConn as 11-point chalk in the March Madness Final Four odds market. At midweek, the Huskies are up to -12.

"The Huskies have covered in 10 straight NCAA Tournament games, winning by an average of 28 points per game. They don't take their foot off the gas," Station Sports' Chuck Esposito said. "On the spread, it's almost 3/1 straight bets in favor of UConn. It's just hard to bet against them."

The total nudged from 161 to 160.5 at Station books.

"Ticket count favors the Over, but money favors the Under," Esposito said.

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET SUNDAY: This matchup has already had almost a day to marinate in the Final Four odds market. UConn opened -11 late Saturday night at The SuperBook and within a few minutes dipped to -10.5.

This morning, though, the line rebounded to -11, then to -11.5, where it remains tonight.

"Money is pretty even so far, but more tickets on UConn via straight bets and parlays," SuperBook senior risk supervisor Casey Degnon said.

The total hasn't moved off the 161.5 opener.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Connecticut (35-3 SU/26-12 ATS) found itself in a pretty good battle with Illinois on Saturday. For 20 minutes. Then the Huskies went on a 25-0 run to open the second half, turning a 28-23 edge into a massive 53-23 bulge.

In fact, that run actually began late in the first half. The game was tied at 23 before the Huskies finished the first half on a 5-0 uptick.

After the 30-0 spree, it was all academic, as UConn rumbled to a 77-52 victory laying 8.5 points. Across the 2023 and '24 NCAA Tournaments, Connecticut is on a ridiculous 10-0 SU and ATS spree, with every win by double digits.

No. 4 seed Alabama (25-11 SU/20-15-1 ATS) hopes to find a way to solve the UConn puzzle. The Crimson Tide rode a wave of 3-pointers – 16 in all, 10 in the second half – to beat No. 6 seed Clemson 89-82 as 3.5-point favorites.

'Bama is 4-0 SU and ATS in this NCAA Tournament.

The SuperBook just opened Connecticut a hefty 11-point chalk, with a total of 161.5.

"I think the spread will write good two-way action. But once you factor in parlays, I imagine we'll be rooting for the Tide to shock the Huskies come Saturday night. UConn will be the more popular parlay leg, both spread and moneyline," SuperBook senior risk adviser Casey Degnon said.

Check back later this evening for updates on this matchup in the March Madness odds Final Four market.

No. 11 N.C. State vs No. 1 Purdue Odds

• Opening point spread: Purdue -9.5
• Opening moneyline: Purdue -420/N.C. State +350
• Opening total: Over/Under 146.5 points scored
• Time: 6:09 p.m. ET Saturday (TBS/TNT)

UPDATE 5:45 P.M. ET. As game time approaches, Purdue is -9.5 (105) at BetMGM Nevada. The Boilermakers have been -9.5 at various juice all week.

"The public is on N.C. State. It's 2/1 tickets and 1.5/1 money on the spread. On the moneyline, tickets are over 10/1 and money is 30/1 on N.C. State," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said of action in the sportsbook's Las Vegas market.

"We need Purdue for both the game and the futures book. Purdue just winning would be fine."

The total has been stable at 146.5, though at various juice. It's currently 146.5 (Over -115).

"Tickets virtually dead even, but almost 3/1 money on the Under," Shelton said.

That's in contrast to what BetMGM is seeing nationally: 60% of tickets/63% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 12:45 P.M. ET SATURDAY: With a few hours to go until tipoff, Purdue is at -9.5 (even) in Caesars Sports' March Madness odds Final Four market. On Sunday night, the Boilermakers opened -9.5, and they've been at some iteration of -9.5 all week.

Spread ticket count and dollars are both running 2/1 on N.C. State. Furthermore, moneyline customers at BetMGM are pounding the trendy underdog Wolfpack, with tickets and money beyond 9/1.

"Bettors love N.C. State. BetMGM will be screaming 'Boiler up,' as Purdue winning is the best outcome for us," trader Seamus Magee said.

The total bounced between 146.5 and 145.5 throughout the week and is now 145.5 (Over -115). The Over is seeing 60% of tickets/58% of money.

UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Caesars Sports has been at Purdue -8.5 pretty much all week, coming off the -9 opener within a few minutes Sunday night. Upstart underdog N.C. State is getting 52% of spread bets, but 69% of spread money is on Purdue.

"Some of the sharper bettors continue to go against the Wolfpack, as they have all tournament," Caesars lead college basketball trader Rich Zanco said. "Ideally, Purdue to win and N.C. State to cover would be perfect. You'd think it would come to an end for the Wolfpack at some point. We're gonna need them out."

That's because championship liability has built up during N.C. State's surprising 9-0 SU run (7-2 ATS) through the ACC and NCAA tournaments.

"We've got a pretty good amount of futures liability on the Wolfpack. They've been the flavor of the month," Zanco said, adding that the recent opening of legal/regulated sports betting in North Carolina helped bolster N.C. State wagering.

Caesars opened the total at 147 and fell back to 146.5/146 within 20 minutes Sunday night. On Thursday, the total nudged up to 146.5. The Over is drawing 65% of tickets and money.

"We took a pretty sharp bet on Under 147," Zanco said.

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Purdue literally made its first move of the week at Station Sports, which operates a stable of popular sportsbooks in Las Vegas. The Boilermakers just dipped to -9, finally moving off Sunday's -9.5 opener.

"Early action on this game has clearly been on N.C. State. But we've only seen a fraction of the handle that we're going to see. The key component is that we're still days away from this game," Station Sports' Chuck Esposito said. "Spread tickets are 2/1 in favor of N.C. State on straight bets. The betting public loves a Cinderella.

"But it's two way action as far as the moneyline goes."

Purdue is -429 and N.C. State +345 on the moneyline. Station's total is stable at 146.5.

"It's fairly two-way on the total. Money favors the Under a little bit. Purdue is 3-1 to the Under in this tournament," Esposito said.

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Purdue (33-4 SU/21-15-1 ATS) is on the board in the March Madness odds Final Four market. The Boilermakers battled with No. 2 seed Tennessee throughout and got away with a 72-66 victory laying 3.5 points today.

Like UConn and Alabama, Purdue is 4-0 SU and ATS in this year's NCAA Tourney. That comes a year after entering the Tourney as a No. 1 seed and losing to No. 16 seed Fairleigh Dickinson.

While Purdue was expected to be here, N.C. State (26-14 SU/20-19-1 ATS) was most certainly not. But the Wolfpack's amazing run continued in the Elite Eight, as they beat No. 4 seed Duke 76-64 catching 7.5 points.

Just three weeks ago, North Carolina State was +100000 (1000/1) in odds to win March Madness. Since then, the Wolfpack are 9-0 SU/7-2 ATS.

The SuperBook opened Purdue -9.5 on its March Madness Final Four odds board.

"I think this game will write good two-way action on the spread," SuperBook senior risk supervisor Casey Degnon said. "Purdue will be tied to a lot of parlays. But I think the N.C. State moneyline will see a lot of public action, as well.

"There's some early Wolfpack love, but nothing significant yet. I could see us end up rooting for a Purdue win/N.C. State cover."

Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson