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Opening Round Angles

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Editor's Note: Don't miss out on March Madness winners from Marc Lawrence this postseason. Click to win!

The 2012 NCAA Tournament has arrived and with it once final chance to pad our bankrolls for the season. To make that shining moment happen, let's take a look at how teams in this event have fared most recently in the past. Note all results are since 1991 unless noted otherwise.

NCAA TOURNEY - MOST RECENT TRENDS

  • #1 Seeds are 84-0 SU (48-35-1 ATS) vs. #16 Seeds
  • #2 Seeds are 80-4 SU (35-45-4 ATS) vs. #15 Seeds
  • Only TWICE since 1988 has a #12 Seed failed to beat a #5 Seed (5-7 SU & 8-4 ATS L3Y)
  • Favorites of 7 > pts who are 3-0 SU & ATS in their last 3 games are 14-28-1 ATS vs a foe off a SU win
  • Favorites of 20 > pts are 2-8 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win
  • Favorites of > 7 pts who scored 100 > pts in last Conference Tourney game are 11-2 ATS
  • Dogs of 4 > pts playing off a SU Conference Tourney win as a dog of 6 > pts are 7-27-1 ATS last 12 years
  • Dogs of 18 > pts off a DD ATS win are 5-1 ATS
  • Dogs off a SU tourney win in which they allowed 80 > pts are 2-11 ATS

    Because it's my belief that success in handicapping this tournament is tantamount to breaking the action down into rounds, let's take a look at some of the more relevant Most Recent Trend results that have occurred in ROUND ONE games of late:

    FIRST ROUND NOTES

  • #1 Seeds off BB SU wins who are favorites of < 25 pts are 12-2 ATS
  • #2 Seeds are 9-24-4 ATS vs foes off a SU win
  • #3 Seeds off a SU favorite loss are 32-1 SU & 24-8-1 ATS (10-2 L7Y)
  • #4 Seeds are 27-13 ATS as favorites of < 9 pts (11-4 L7Y)
  • #7 Seeds are 1-7 ATS vs. foes off BB SU losses
  • #9 Seeds are 0-4 ATS as favorites of > 2 pts

    Conference Tournament Champs in this round

    ACC: 3-0-1 ATS
    Atlantic 10: 1-4 ATS
    Big 10: 4-6 ATS
    Big 12: 3-8 ATS
    Big East: 5-1 ATS
    Big West: 1-5 ATS
    Colonial: 12-6 ATS
    C-USA: 1-4 ATS
    Horizon: 6-1 ATS
    MAC: 6-2 ATS
    Missouri Valley: 2-5 ATS
    Mountain West: 3-11 ATS
    Pac-12: 4-2 ATS
    Sun Belt: 3-2 ATS
    SEC: 1-3 ATS
    WAC: 2-5 ATS
    West Coast: 3-1 ATS

    Best Team SU records in this round

    Purdue: 13-0
    North Carolina: 10-0
    Kansas: 5-0
    Wisconsin: 5-0
    Kentucky: 18-1
    Duke: 14-1
    Cincinnati 10-1

    Advertisement
    Worst Team SU records in this round


    Clemson: 0-5
    New Mexico St: 0-4
    Creighton: 1-5

    Best Team ATS records in this round

    VCU: 4-0
    Xavier: 6-1-2
    NC State: 5-1
    New Mexico: 5-1
    West Virginia: 5-1
    Purdue: 4-1

    Worst Team ATS records in this round

    Clemson: 0-5
    Temple: 0-4
    Creighton: 1-5
    Notre Dame: 1-4

    Best Conference ATS records in this round

    Big 10: 6-1
    Pac 12: 8-2
    Horizon: 9-3
    MAC: 9-3
    Colonial: 8-4
    Missouri Valley: 14-7

    Worst Conference ATS records in this round

    CUSA: 1-5
    Big West: 1-4
    Ivy: 3-11
    Big 12: 2-7

    If this is not enough to get your blood flowing then you may be seriously in need of a cardiologist. I'll be back next week with a look at Sweet 16 and Elite 8 Round action.

    Now, let the games begin!

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