Games to Watch
January 21, 2013
By David Schwab
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For the second week in a row the top of rankings will be scrambled in light of losses by No. 1 Louisville and No. 2 Indiana. When you add in a few other upsets over the course of last week’s games, all the major polls will be in for another face lift when they are released on Monday afternoon.
Turning to this week’s games, the following is a brief look at one of the top matchups on each day’s slate along with a few facts and figures to help handicap the games.
Monday, Jan. 21
Georgetown Hoyas vs. No. 20 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
The Hoyas are coming off a 61-58 loss to South Florida this past Saturday as four-point road favorites to fall to 12-4 straight-up on the year and 5-7 against the spread. They are now under .500 in conference play at 2-3 and the total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five games, Georgetown is ranked in the bottom third of Division I in scoring with an average of 64.1 points a game and it is shooting 45.8 percent from the field.
Notre Dame snapped a rare two-game losing streak with Saturday’s 69-66 victory over Rutgers but it came nowhere close to covering as an 11 ½-point home favorite. It is now 15-3 SU this season and 12-2 SU at home. The Irish are 3-4 ATS in their last seven games and 8-7 ATS overall. The total has stayed UNDER in their last four games. Despite the sketchy play over the last three games, Notre Dame is still one of the top shooting teams in the country with a field goal percentage of 50.6 percent. It is 3-1 both SU and ATS in its last three games against the Hoyas.
No. 4 Kansas Jayhawks vs. No. 16 Kansas State Wildcats
Make it 15 wins in a row for Kansas with this past Saturday’s 64-59 victory over Texas as an eight-point road favorite. It is now 16-1 straight-up on the year but just 7-9 against the spread. The Jayhawks have failed to cover in four of their last five games and the total has stayed UNDER in their last three. They are averaging 76 points a game while shooting a healthy 48.4 percent from the field but they have failed to post more than 70 points in four of their last five outings.
Kansas State’s current winning streak reached eight games after it knocked-off Oklahoma 69-60 as a seven-point home favorite this past Saturday. The win raised its overall record to 15-2 SU and 6-6-1 ATS. The Wildcats are a perfect 9-0 SU (4-2 ATS) at home and the total has gone OVER in their last four games with a posted line. Rodney McGruder is the only player scoring in double figures with an average of 15.5 points a game. He is shooting 44.3 percent from the floor and the team as a whole is shooting 43.1 percent.
No. 3 Duke Blue Devils vs. Miami Hurricanes
Duke could very well find itself back in the top spot in the nation after hammering Georgia Tech 73-57 last Thursday as a 14 ½-point home favorite. It is now 16-1 SU and 3-1 SU in ACC play. The Blue Devils are 10-7 ATS this season and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last eight games. They remain one of the top scoring teams in the country with an average of 78.7 points a game. Mason Plumlee leads the way with an average of 17.4 points and Seth Curry is a close second with 16.9 points a game.
The Hurricanes moved to the top of the standings in the ACC at 4-0 SU with last Wednesday’s 60-59 squeaker over Boston College. They could not cover as six-point favorites on the road after covering in their previous four games. Overall, Miami is 13-3 SU and a profitable 10-3 ATS. It has covered in all five of its home games with a posted line and the total has stayed UNDER in eight of its last nine games overall. The team is averaging 67.3 points a game while giving-up 58.4 points a game to its opponents.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. No. 5 Michigan Wolverines
The Boilermakers have won their last three games to move back over .500 on the year at 10-8 SU. They are 7-10 ATS this season but have covered in four of their last six games. Purdue is 2-2 both SU and ATS on the road this season and the total has gone OVER in four of its last five games. This team has really struggled at times shooting the ball and is hitting just 42.3 percent of its shots from the field. Terone Johnson is Purdue’s leading scorer with 13.3 points a game.
Michigan moved to 4-1 SU in Big Ten play with an 83-75 victory over Minnesota last Thursday as a 2 ½-point road underdog. It is now 17-1 SU and 10-6 ATS with the total going OVER in six of its last eight games. The Wolverines are a perfect 10-0 SU at home and 5-4 ATS. They come into this matchup ranked 10th in the nation in scoring with an average of 79.3 points a game. They are the fourth-best shooting team in the country; hitting 51 percent of the shots from the field.
Loyola (MD) Greyhounds vs. Manhattan Jaspers
The MAAC will take center-stage on Friday night in a very light schedule with the Greyhounds looking to keep pace in the conference title race. They are 5-2 SU in the MAAC with a road game against Fairfield on Monday before Friday night’s tilt against the Jaspers. Loyola is 13-6 SU and 7-6 ATS. It is 2-4 SU (2-2 ATS) on the road this season and the total has gone OVER in four of its last six games. The Greyhounds are averaging 65.3 points a game with Dylon Cormier leading the way with 17.4 points a game.
Manhattan has lost four of its last five games to fall to 5-13 SU on the year and 3-5 SU in conference play. It is 8-8 ATS overall and 3-2 ATS at home with the total staying UNDER in four of its last six games overall. The Jaspers are ranked near the bottom of Division I in scoring with an average of just 58.4 points a game while shooting 40.6 percent from the floor.
11-5 L16 G-Plays, +2,886 TY
4-0 LN, 62% +2,133 G-Plays TY
6-1 L7 G-Plays, 5-0 Run, 15-5 L20
5-2 L7, 8-3 L11 Guarantees
4-1 Saturday, 10-2 L12 Guarantees
13-5 L18 Guaranteed Plays
14-6 L20 G-Plays, 17-6 L22 Totals
10-4 L14, 25-10 L35 Guarantees
23-11 L34 Totals, +3,262 Totals TY
8-3 L2 Saturdays, 10-4 L14 G-Plays