Saturday's Late-Night Tips
December 20, 2013
By David Schwab
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This Saturday's college basketball schedule is filled with a number of intriguing matchups involving Top 25 teams, but at the top of the list is a showdown between two ranked teams when No. 20 Colorado squares off against No. 7 Oklahoma State in the inaugural MGM Grand Showcase to Benefit Coaches vs. Cancer Tournament. Saturday's double-header at the MGM Grand also features a matchup between Marquette and New Mexico on the undercard in what should be a great night of basketball. Another game of interest this Saturday pits BYU on the road against No. 13 Oregon.
MGM Grand Showcase
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. New Mexico Lobos (ESPNU, 9:00 p.m.)
The Golden Eagles have come out on top in all seven of the games they were expected to win and they were underdogs in all four of their losses for a very predictable 7-4 straight up start. They are 6-3 against the spread and the total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five games. Marquette is averaging 73.5 points a game while shooting 45.4 percent from the field. It has done a great job controlling the boards with 41.1 rebounds a game. Davante Gardner has led the way with 14.4 points and 6.7 rebounds a game.
New Mexico jumped out to a 7-1 SU start, but it comes into this matchup mired in a two-game losing streak. The Lobos were blown out 80-63 against then-No. 13 Kansas as 7 ½-point underdogs and they dropped a 67-61 decision to rival New Mexico State as nine-point home favorites. They are now just 2-5 ATS this season with the total staying UNDER in four of the seven games. New Mexico matches up well in this contest with 77.7 points and 41.4 rebounds a game and it also has a pair of prime time scorers in Cameron Bairstow and Kendall Williams, who have combined for 40.1 points a game.
This will be the first meeting between these two in recent memory, but the Golden Eagles come in with a 6-1 mark ATS in their last seven nonconference games, while the Lobos are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games outside the conference.
This game opened as a Pick 'em but the early money has made Marquette a short 1½-point favorite.
No. 20 Colorado Buffaloes vs. No. 7 Oklahoma State Cowboys (ESPN2, 11:30 p.m.)
The Buffaloes will take center stage at the MGM Grand riding a 10-game winning streak after falling to No. 12 Baylor in their season opener. They have been a profitable team to wager on with a 7-3 record ATS and the total has now gone OVER in six of their last eight games. A big reason for this early success has been the play of Spencer Dinwiddie, who leads the team in scoring with 15.5 points while shooting a solid 47.1 percent from the floor. He also leads the team in assists with four a game. Colorado, as a team, is averaging 77.3 points and 40.4 rebounds a game.
Oklahoma State is also sporting a 10-1 SU mark in its first 11 games. Its lone loss was a 73-68 setback to No. 15 Memphis on Dec. 1 as a six-point favorite. The Cowboys are 4-3 ATS with the total staying UNDER in four of the seven games. They have been able to run away from teams with an average of 87.2 points a game while shooting a solid 49.5 percent from the field. Oklahoma State is deep with scorers with five players scoring in double figures led by Marcus Smart’s 18 points a game.
These two teams are very familiar with one another since Colorado was in the Big 12 a couple years ago. Coming into this showdown the Cowboys are 3-1 both SU and ATS in the last four meetings. Take a closer look at the total line in this one given that it has gone OVER in six of the last eight games between the two.
Oklahoma State has been installed as a six-point favorite against Colorado. The Buffaloes have gone 1-1 both SU and ATS as underdogs this season.
BYU Cougars vs. No. 13 Oregon Ducks (Pac-12, 10:30 p.m.)
The Cougars have dropped two of their last three games to fall to 8-4 SU and just 3-6 ATS. Last Saturday they were hammered by Utah 81-64 as 2 ½-point road favorites and prior to that they lost to No. 22 Massachusetts 105-96 on Dec. 7 as 3 ½-point underdogs on the road. To turn things around on the road in this game, BYU will need a big night from Tyler Haws. He is averaging 22.3 points and 5.2 rebounds a game. Matt Carlino has also been a big part of the Cougars’ offense with 16.2 points and 5.1 assists.
Oregon will put its 10-game winning streak to start the season on the line this Saturday night as well as its highly profitable 8-0-1 record versus the number. The Ducks have also been a solid play on the total line with seven of eight games going OVER the closing line. This will be one of their toughest tests on the year although they have already beaten Georgetown and Ole Miss as underdogs. One of the biggest reasons for this early success is an offense that is averaging 89.3 points a game while shooting a lights-out 52.6 percent from the field. Joseph Young has led the way with 19.3 points a game while hitting 55.5 percent of his shots from the field and 47.7 percent from three-point range.
These two last met in 2011 with BYU coming away with a 79-65 victory as an 8 ½-point home favorite. The Cougars are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games on the road and Oregon has covered in eight of their last 11 home games.
Oddsmakers opened the Ducks as 6 ½-point home favorites over the Cougars.
11-5 L16 G-Plays, +2,886 TY
4-0 LN, 62% +2,133 G-Plays TY
6-1 L7 G-Plays, 5-0 Run, 15-5 L20
5-2 L7, 8-3 L11 Guarantees
4-1 Saturday, 10-2 L12 Guarantees
13-5 L18 Guaranteed Plays
14-6 L20 G-Plays, 17-6 L22 Totals
10-4 L14, 25-10 L35 Guarantees
23-11 L34 Totals, +3,262 Totals TY
8-3 L2 Saturdays, 10-4 L14 G-Plays