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NIT Adjusted Ratings

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NCAA Tournament Power Ratings

No question the NIT gets less attention – rightfully so – however, for bettors it offers equal opportunity to earn profits if you follow a few guidelines. With that in mind let’s examine the NIT Field below.

Slightly different from the NCAA version this time we sorted by ADJUSTED RATINGS RANK, which is where each team ranked in the entire country based on their statistical performance to date:

SportsBoss Power Index - NIT Tournament
Team Seed Conference Adjusted Ratings Rank
Utah 5 Pac-12 28
Illinois 2 Big 10 41
West Virginia 5 Big 12 44
Saint Mary's 4 WCC 48
Minnesota 1 Big 10 49
St. John's 1 Big East 50
Arkansas 3 SEC 52
Georgetown 4 Big East 60
Clemson 3 ACC 61
San Francisco 4 WCC 66
Louisiana Tech 3 CUSA 67
Florida State 1 ACC 69
California 2 Pac-12 72
Green Bay 4 Horizon 73
Southern Methodist 1 AAC 78
LSU 5 SEC 82
Missouri 2 SEC 91
Southern Mississippi 3 CUSA 92
Georgia 2 SEC 94
Indiana State 6 MVC 105
Toledo 6 MAC 114
Iona 6 MAAC 133
Vermont 7 AM East 148
Boston University 7 Patriot 154
UC Irvine 8 Big West 162
Georgia State 6 Sun Belt 168
Davidson 7 SOCON 171
Belmont 5 OVC 188
Robert Morris 8 NEC 206
Utah Valley 7 WAC 218
Florida Gulf Coast 8 Atlantic Sun 288
High Point 8 Big South 291


One CRITICAL aspect of wagering on the NIT is judging emotional levels of teams involved. Teams that had NCAA Tournament hopes before the season, or just as the season winded down may not be as motivated especially compared to mid-major type schools that feel like this is their chance to make a name for their program. Another interesting aspect of the NIT is the seeding, where more well-known teams seem to get the benefit of the doubt as a higher seed despite performing worse in the SBPI (SportsBoss Power Index).

Remember, it’s OK to PASS on a given game, or even a night. Forcing selections because you are an action junkie will NOT help your account, and will put you behind the 8 ball in profiting. I typically prefer to pass on the opening round of NIT action for the most part – watching the teams’ play, understanding who is committed to earning a trip to MSG in early April versus forcing early plays when motivation between two schools may not be equal.

Also, take into account home court advantage – at some schools it will NOT be the same as we see during the regular season (Illinois for example), while others may have a greater impact such as San Francisco hosting LSU in its opening matchup.

My recommendation is unless you can isolate situations where you not only have the statistical edge but also the definite emotional edge passing on the early round of all tournaments outside the NCAA.

  
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