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MIAMI-FLORIDA at NORTH CAROLINA...Canes covered LY vs. Heels after dropping spread decision previous 3 years. Al Golden teams 16-9 as dog since 2007. |
Slight to Miami, based on Al Golden dog trends. |
at  |
PURDUE at PENN STATE...Teams last met in 2008. Shades 1-7 vs. line last 8 on board. Shades also just 4-9 vs. number last 13 at Happy Valley and 5-11 last 16 as home chalk. Danny Hope on 6-10-1 spread slide, however. |
Slight to Purdue, based on team trends. |
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INDIANA at WISCONSIN...Why are these two playing at Madison again after Badgers' 83-20 win at Camp Randall LY? Bielema on 11-1 spread run since mid 2010 (only non-cover vs. UNLV!). Physical Badgers also 6-1 vs. line last 7 at home. Hoosiers only 1-4-1 vs. line last 6 meetings and 1-6 vs. points last 7 away from home. |
Wisconsin, based on team trends. |
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NAVY at RUTGERS...Mids 7-2 vs. line last nine away from Annapolis, 52-29 vs. spread away from home since 2000. If Niumatalolo a dog note his 9-2 spread mark last 11 in role. Rutgers has covered first five TY, however. |
Slight to Navy, based on team trends. |
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FLORIDA STATE at DUKE...Teams haven't met since '07. FSU just 9-18 laying 7 or more since 2005 (4-4 for Jimbo). Cutcliffe on 8-3 spread run as dog. |
Duke, based on team trends. |
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TOLEDO at BOWLING GREEN...Nearby rivals! BG has covered 3 of last four meetings but is just 10-20 vs. spread at Doyt-Perry Stadium since 2005. Toledo 6-3 vs. line as visitor since LY. |
Toledo, based on team trends. |
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CLEMSON at MARYLAND...Interestingly, last 5 and 9 of last 10 in series all "under." Dabo 8-3 vs. line last 11 away from Death Valley and has won and covered last 3 TY. Edsall yet to translate his UConn spread success to College Park. |
Clemson, based on team trends. |
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VIRGINIA TECH at WAKE FOREST...Beamer on spread slide with 5 straight Ls. Worst Beamer spread skid since late '06-early '07. Teams don't meet every year but Beamer has dominated Grobe in four meetings since '04, winning and covering all. But note Grobe's 12-5 mark last 17 as home dog. |
Wake, based on Grobe marks. |
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GEORGIA TECH at VIRGINIA...Ugh! Cavs were 5-0-1 vs. line between 2003-08 against GT before losing and failing to cover last two. Cavs no covers last 4 TY, Paul Johnson 4-1 vs. line TY. |
GT, based on recent trends. |
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SOUTH CAROLINA at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Spurrier only 12-14 last 26 on board. MSU no covers last 3 as home dog and no covers last 5 TY since opener. |
SC, based on team trends. |
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BUFFALO at TEMPLE...Temple has won last two big and covered last three vs. Buffalo. Bulls beat Ohio last week but still only 5-12 vs. spread last 17 on board. Owls 16-9 vs. line at Linc since 2007, 4-2 last 6 laying DD. |
Temple, based on team trends. |
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UNLV at WYOMING...Rebs have lost 12 straight away, 1-11 vs. spread in those, no closer than 23 in any. But Rebs have covered 4 of last 5 vs. Wyo. |
Wyo, based on UNLV road woes. |
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IOWA STATE at MISSOURI...Road team has covered last four in series. Teams mostly around .500 in other categories. |
Slight to ISU, based on recent series road trends. |
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EASTERN MICHIGAN at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...Rugged EMU has covered four of its last five on road. Dan Enos' CMU 3-11 vs. line last 14 on board. |
EMU, based on team trends. |
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MIAMI-OHIO at KENT STATE...Battle of the first-year MAC coaches. Miami-O 1-3 vs. line last 4 TY (but beat Army last week), though Kent State just 1-5 vs. spread itself in 2011 and 4-12 vs. number last 16 on board. |
Miami-O, based on extended team trends. |
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WESTERN MICHIGAN at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...NIU had covered 8 of 9 in series vs. WMU prior to narrow non-cover at Waldo LY. Broncos now on 7-game cover streak, nation's second best behind Stanford. |
WMU, based on recent trends. |
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UTAH at PITT...Utes on 2-8-1 spread slide since late 2010. |
Pitt, based on recent trends. |
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BYU at OREGON STATE...Beavs now starting to roll, with covers in their last two games. Although OSU just 3-6 vs. line last 9 at Corvallis. |
Slight to BYU, based on recent OSU woes. |
at  |
ARIZONA STATE at OREGON...Ducks have won six straight in series and covered five of those, the lone non-cover by narrow margin LY. Ducks 13-4 last 17 vs. points at home. |
Slight to Oregon, based on team trends. |
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BAYLOR at TEXAS A&M...Aggies have won and covered 4 of last 5 meetings. Bears only 3-6 vs. line last 9 away from Waco (0-1 TY), and Art Briles just 2-7 last nine as dog. A&M 12-5 vs. spread last 11 at Kyle Field (though 1-2 TY). |
A&M, based on team and series trends. |
at  |
LSU at TENNESSEE...Derek Dooley 7-3 vs. line last nine reg.-season games. Les Miles 0-3-1 vs. line against Vols since arriving at LSU in 2005, although Tigers have covered their last four away from home. |
Slight to UT, based on team and series trends. |
at  |
COLORADO at WASHINGTON...The "Former Teams Coached By Rick Neuheisel" Bowl. Buffs no covers last 8 as true visitor). Huskies on 8-1 spread uptick (8-0 against number vs. FBS foes) since late 2010. |
UW, based on team trends. |
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MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN STATE...MSU has won last three meetings and is 3-0-1 vs. spread last four vs. Wolverines. Mich. was 3-12 vs. spread away from home the past three Rodriguez years, but Wolves 3-1 vs. line for Hoke. Tend to downplay Rich-Rod Mich. spread marks. |
Slight to MSU, based on series and team trends. |
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OHIO STATE at ILLINOIS...Tended to really downplay the old Tressel OSU marks as they do not apply this year with Luke Fickell, now 3-3 vs. line. Among other things, Tressel had covered his last four games as a dog prior to this season. Ron Zook only 10-16 as Illini home chalk since arriving in 2005 (5-5 since last year in role). Buckeyes "under" 6-2 since late LY, Illini "under" 5-2 last 7 since late 2010. |
"Under," based on "totals" trends. |
at  |
FLORIDA at AUBURN...Gators 6-3 vs. spread last 9 away from Swamp. |
Slight to Florida, based on recent trends. |
at  |
LOUISVILLE vs. CINCINNATI (at Paul Brown Stadium)...Bearcats have won and covered last three meetings. Cincy 4-1 vs. line TY and a ferocious 3-0 vs. spread as host (though all of those at Nippert). But Charlie Strong 7-1 vs. line away since arriving at UL in 2010. |
Slight to Cincy, based on series trends. |
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BALL STATE at OHIO...Solich 16-9 vs. line last 25 as host. Cards actually 10-5 vs. line away since 2009, post-Brady Hoke. |
Slight to Solich, based on team trends. |
at  |
UTEP at TULANE...Wave only 4-15 vs. spread last 19 at Superdome. But Bob Toledo has owned Mike Price lately, covering last four meetings. Miners on 4-game cover streak in 2011. |
Slight to Tulane, based on series trends. |
at  |
ALABAMA at OLE MISS...Rebs have covered last two meetings after Bama had covered previous six. But Houston Nutt just 3-8 vs. line last 11 at Oxford. Nicky on 27-12 spread uptick. |
Bama, based on recent trends. |
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OKLAHOMA at KANSAS...OU 11-7 vs. spread last 18 on board and has covered 4 of last 5 away from Norman. |
OU, based on team trends. |
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NEW MEXICO at NEVADA...Wolf Pack 22-7 as Reno chalk since Chris Ault returned to sidelines in 2004. Lobos 2-5 vs. line last 7 on road. |
Nevada, based on team trends. |
at  |
UCF at SMU...O'Leary was on 22-6 spread run until failing to cover last three. June Jones has covered last three in 2011 but only 6-10 vs. spread last 16 in Dallas. |
Slight to UCF, based on team trends. |
at  |
BOISE STATE at COLORADO STATE...Broncos now 11-1 vs. line last 12 away from blue carpet after Fresno demolition. CSU 1-4 vs. line TY, 7-16 last 23 on board, 5-10 last 15 as dog. |
Boise, based on team trends. |
at  |
STANFORD at WASHINGTON STATE...Tree on nation's-best 8-game cover streak since late 2010. Although they didn't cover LY vs. Cougs. Wazzu on 10-3 spread uptick since mid 2010. |
Slight to Stanford, based on team trends. |
at  |
GEORGIA at VANDERBILT...Dores had dropped 10 straight vs. line at home vs. SEC foes prior to Ole Miss win. Dawgs have won and covered big the last two years (77-10 total) after Dores covered previous three. UGa 2-0 SU and vs. line as visitor TY. |
Slight to Georgia, based on team trends. |
at  |
OKLAHOMA STATE at TEXAS...Note that road team has covered last four in series, including OSU at Texas LY. OSU on 13-4 spread uptick since LY. |
OSU, based on team and series trends. |
at  |
KANSAS STATE at TEXAS TECH..."Bill Snyder II" now 11-5 as dog since 2009. Tuberville only 1-3 as home chalk vs. FBS foes since arriving at Lubbock LY. |
KSU, based on team trends. |
at  |
SOUTH FLORIDA at UCONN...Skip just 2-8 last 10 as road chalk at USF & ECU. UConn 1-5 first 6 vs. line for Pasqualoni but 12-2 as home dog since 2005. |
Slight to UConn, based on team trends. |
at  |
EAST CAROLINA at MEMPHIS...Memphis 1-6 vs. spread last 7 at Liberty Bowl vs. FBS foes. ECU nine straight covers in series! |
ECU, based on series and team trends. |
at  |
RICE at MARSHALL...Herd only 1-3 as chalk for Doc, though Rice on 1-7 spread slide last 8 as visitor. |
Slight to Marshall, based on Rice road woes. |
at  |
NORTHWESTERN at IOWA...Cats have won and covered last three meetings. Pat Fitzgerald 22-13 vs. line last 34 as dog since late 2006. |
NU, based on team trends. |
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IDAHO at NEW MEXICO STATE..Idaho has won last 3 SU vs. Ags and is 7-2 vs. line last 9 in series. Vandals also 11-5 last 16 vs. spread away from Kibbie Dome. DeWayne Walker 2-12 vs. line at home since arriving at NMSU in 2009. |
Idaho, based on team and series trends. |
at  |
UAB at TULSA...Tulsa 6-2 last 8 as chalk. UAB has covered last two on road TY. |
Tulsa, based on team trends. |
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UTAH STATE at FRESNO STATE...Pat Hill now a stunning 6-23 vs. spread last 29 on board at Dog House. USU has covered 5 of last 6 in series and Utags 19-8 vs. line away since 2007. |
USU, based on team and series trends. |