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Tech Trends - Week 12

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Editor’s Note: Don’t miss out on Bruce Marshall’s college football selections all season long. Click to win!

NFL Trends

Thursday, Nov. 15
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at NORTH CAROLINA at VIRGINIA... "Home-in-Heel" trend still going strong (9-1 TY; UNC 0-4 away from Chapel Hill). UVa on uptick with two wins in a row, though Cavs just 2-7-1 vs. line last 10 at home. UVa, based on recent trends.
Friday, Nov. 16
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at HAWAII at AIR FORCE...Norm Chow no covers last seven this season. Force no great shakes at home lately (5-13 since 2010). Force, based on Chow numbers.
at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC...Shula Bowl! FAU on WKU-like 8-game spread win streak this season. FAU had won and covered five straight in series prior to 41-7 loss LY vs. Cristobal. FAU, based on recent trends.
Saturday, Nov. 17
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at DUKE at GEORGIA TECH...Cutcliffe losing a bit of elevation with blowout losses last two in 2012, and Blue Devils 1-3 vs. spread away in 2012, but still 6-4 vs. line TY and 30-21-3 vs. spread since arriving at Duke in 2008. Duke has covered last two meetings after GT covered previous five. Slight to Duke, based on recent trends.
at TEMPLE at ARMY...Owls have cooled with no wins or covers in last four TY, but they've owned Army lately with wins and covers last four years. Ellerson 3-3 vs. line at Michie TY after Army was 4-0 vs. spread at West Point LY. Temple, based on series trends.
at KENT STATE at BOWLING GREEN...BGSU really rocking lately with six straight wins and covers after midweek success vs. Solich. Although the Golden Flashes 7-1 vs. line last eight TY. Kent State has won last two and covered last three meetings. Slight to Kent State, based on recent series trends.
at VIRGINIA TECH at BOSTON COLLEGE...Beamer 3-7 vs. line TY, Spaziani 3-7 as well. Beamer 8-17 last 25 vs. spread since late 2010. Spaziani 6-12 vs. points at home since 2010. Beamer has covered 3 of last 4 vs. BC, however. Beamer, based on BC negatives.
at MINNESOTA at NEBRASKA...Gophers 1-3 vs. line away TY but Minn was 7-3 vs. line away previous two years. Bo Pelini 4-1 vs. line at Lincoln TY after 2-5 mark at home in 2011. Slight to NU, based on recent trends.
at ARKANSAS at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Hogs 1-8 vs. line for John L. (2-7 if you want to count Kentucky game). Dan Mullen 8-4 vs. line at Starkville since 2011. Hogs have won and covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series. Slight to MSU, based on recent trends.
at SOUTH FLORIDA at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Road team has covered last three in series. Skip Holtz 2-0 as road dog TY, and 7-2 in role since arriving at USF in 2010, and 15-6 in role since 2007 at ECU & USF. Al Golden has covered last four at home TY. Slight to USF, based on series road and extended Skip road dog marks.
at PURDUE at ILLINOIS...Illini no wins or covers last seven TY. Slight to Purdue, based on Illini woes.
at IOWA STATE at KANSAS...Paul Rhoads 3-5 in chalk role since 2010 (1-1 TY) but a decent 10-7 vs. spread last 17 on board. Slight to ISU, based on team trends.
at HOUSTON at MARSHALL...Cougs no covers last four TY and 0-3 vs. line as true visitor this season. Herd no covers last three at home TY after 5-1 spread mark previous six as host. UH 1-6 as dog since 2010. Slight to Marshall, based on team trends.
at FLORIDA STATE at MARYLAND...FSU is 0-4 as road chalk this season. Jimbo was 4-1 as road chalk LY. Slight to Maryland, based on team trends.
at BUFFALO at UMASS...Mass 3-7 vs. line Molnar debut. Bulls 0-3 as chalk TY, Quinn 3-6 as chalk since 2010, and UB hasn't been road chalk late 2009 at Kent State. UB, based on UMass woes.
at NORTHWESTERN at MICHIGAN STATE...Cats have covered last four and 9 of 10 this season. Meanwhile, MSU 3-7 vs. line in 2012 and 0-6 vs. number at East Lansing. Note road team has covered last five in series. NU, based on team and series road trends.
at NC STATE at CLEMSON...Not necessarily a vintage year for NCS, just 3-7 vs. line, and just 2-3 vs. spread after fifth game (O'Brien was 29-10 in role at NCS prior since 2007). Dabo has covered last seven TY. Revenge for Dabo after 37-13 loss at Raleigh LY. Slight to Clemson, based on recent trends.
at RUTGERS at CINCINNATI...Gers 7-3 vs. line away since LY (3-1 TY). Butch Jones only 9-10 vs. number as host since 2010. Slight to Rutgers, based on team trends.
at INDIANA at PENN STATE...IU 5-1 vs. line last six TY, O'Brien is 7-2 last 9 vs. spread in 2012. Hoosiers have covered 4 of last 5 meetings. Slight to IU, based on series trends.
at TENNESSEE at VANDERBILT...James Franklin 10-2 vs. line at home since LY (3-2 in 2012). Derek Dooley 2-7 vs. line last 9 TY and 5-13 last 18 on board. Vols 2-5 vs. line as true visitor since LY. Vols have covered last three as series visitor. Vandy, based on recent trends.
at MIAMI-OHIO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...CMU just 6-24 vs. spread last 29 on board for Dan The Man Enos. Chips also just 2-9 last 11 as Mt. Pleasant chalk. Miami-O, based on CMU woes.
at MEMPHIS at UAB...UAB 3-8 as chalk since 2010 (1-1 TY). Road team 5-0-2 vs. points last seven meetings. Memphis, based on team trends.
at EASTERN MICHIGAN at WESTERN MICHIGAN...EMU only 1-4 vs. line away TY after 8-5 spread mark for Ron English on road previous two seasons. Cubit 7-3 vs. spread at Waldo Stadium since LY (3-2 TY). WMU, based on team trends.
at OKLAHOMA at WEST VIRGINIA...WVU has faded with no wins or covers last four TY, and Holgorsen just 1-6 against number last seven at Morgantown. Stoops, based on recent WVU woes.
at SOUTHERN CAL at UCLA...SC is 12-1 SU last 13 meetings and has won five in a row vs. Bruins. Lane Kiffin,0-5 vs. number away TY. Bruins have covered 3 of last 4 vs. SC at Rose Bowl, and 36-18 against line at home since early 2004. UCLA, based on recent trends.
at COLORADO STATE at BOISE STATE...Rams 0-4 vs. line as true visitor TY and 2-8 against spread last 10 in role. But Boise not covering these big numbers as easily on blue carpet as it used to, just 2-3 as home chalk TY and 2-10 last 12 as blue carpet chalk. Boise, based on CSU woes.
at TEXAS STATE at NAVY...Mids 1-3 as chalk TY and just 4-8 in role since LY. Franchione, however, just 2-2 vs. line away TY. Slight to TSU, based on Navy chalk marks.
at KANSAS STATE at BAYLOR...Bill Snyder 8-2 vs. line TY and 17-6 since 2011 vs. spread, also 8-2 vs. points away since LY and 12-5 since 2010. KSU, based on Bill Snyder trends.
at NEVADA at NEW MEXICO...Pack no covers last six TY. Ault just 4-10 as road chalk since late 2009. New Mexico, based on recent trends.
at WAKE FOREST at NOTRE DAME...Brian Kelly 1-4 vs. line at home TY and 5-10-3 vs. spread as host since 2010. Grobe 9-6 as dog since LY. Wake, based on recent trends.
at STANFORD at OREGON...Ducks have blown the bark off the Tree past two seasons by near-identical scores (52-31 and 53-30). Ducks now on 5-game cover streak TY but still note 3-7-1 spread mark, victimized by many backdoors, last 11 at Eugene. David Shaw 3-0 as dog since LY and Tree 14-3 vs. line away since 2010. Slight to Stanford, based on extended team trends.
at CAL at OREGON STATE...Prior to LY, Riley owned Cal, winning and covering previous four games. Tedford no covers last four TY and 3-8 vs spread in 2012. Beavers 6-2 vs. line in 2012 and 3-1 vs. points at Corvallis. OSU, based on series and recent trends.
at SMU at RICE...June Jones no covers vs. Rice last four and SMU 0-6 vs. spread last six in series. June Jones a rather amazing 0-10 vs. line against Rice since 2000 (including Hawaii vs. Rice WAC days early in last decade). Owls 11-4-1 vs. points as host since 2010. Rice, based on series and team trends.
at EAST CAROLINA at TULANE...Wave 4-1-1 vs. line last six TY, ECU only 2-3 vs. spread away form Greenville and 7-11 in role since Ruffin McNeill arrived in 2010. Tulane, based on recent trends.
at UCF at TULSA...O'Leary is 9-3 vs. spread away since 2010 IF excluding 2011 (1-5 mark). If O'Leary getting points note 16-8 dog mark since 2007 (1-0 TY). UCF, especially if dog, based on team trends.
at IOWA at MICHIGAN...Wolverines only 2-5 vs. line last six at Big House but Kirk Ferentz no covers last four TY and 2-8 vs. line overall. Hawkeyes now 2-10 last 12 on board since late LY and 7-16 since beginning of 2011 season. Michigan, based on Iowa woes.
at WASHINGTON at COLORADO...Embree 2-8 vs. line TY and 6-17 vs. spread since arriving at CU in 2011. Buffs also 0-4 vs. line at Boulder TY and 1-7 last 8 vs. points as host. UW, based on CU woes.
at BYU at SAN JOSE STATE...SJSU 8-2 vs. line TY, 11-2 since late LY, 16-5 last 20 on board. Spartans also 5-0 last 5 and 8-1 last 9 as dog. SJSU, based on team trends.
at WYOMING at UNLV...Rebs 5-1 vs. line at home TY, 13-4 vs. spread as host since Bobby Hauck arrived in 2010. Home team has covered last 4 and 6 of last 7 in series. UNLV, based on team and series home trends.
at UTSA at IDAHO...Vandals no wins or covers last eight TY in nation's worst spread slump. Idaho also 0-4 vs. spread at Kibbie Dome TY and 5-14 vs. points last 19 as host. UTSA, based on Idaho woes.
at ARIZONA at UTAH...Utes have now covered their last four at Salt Lake City this season. Home team 7-1 vs. line last 8 Utah games in 2012. Utah, based on recent trends.
at SYRACUSE at MISSOURI...Cuse 4-6 vs. line TY and 7-15 vs. points for Marrone since 2011. Orange 2-7 as road dog since 2012. Slight to Mizzou, based on Syracuse road woes.
at TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA STATE...Gundy has won and covered last 3, 4 of last 5, and has covered 6 of 7 vs. Tech since taking over for Les Miles in 2005. Gundy 8-3 vs. line at Stillwater since LY. OSU, based on team and series trends.
at UTAH STATE at LA TECH...Great game in the final-ever WAC football showdown! USU has covered last five TY and is 8-1 against spread in 2012. Utags 3-0 as road dog TY, 9-1 in role since 2010, and 22-5 since 2007! Slight to USU, based on team trends.
at OHIO STATE at WISCONSIN...Badgers only 2-4 vs. line at home TY although Bielema 5-1 last six vs. points in 2012. Buckeyes 5-2 as dog since LY (1-0 TY) and OSU has covered 4 of last 5 meetings. Slight to OSU, based on team and extended series trends.
at OLE MISS at LSU...Hugh "Pointspread Cover" Freeze 17-5 vs. line since LY (7-3 at Ole Miss). Freeze teams are also 8-2 vs. points on road and 5-2 as dog. Rebs 8-3 vs. line last 11 meetings and road team has covered last four in series. Ole Miss, based on team and series trends.
at UTEP at SOUTHERN MISS...USM 0-10 SU and only 2-8 vs. line for Ellis Johnson TY. Price only 2-4 vs. line last six TY so the edge for Miners is small. Slight to UTEP, based on USM woes.
at WASHINGTON STATE at ARIZONA STATE...Cougs have covered 4 of last 5 meetings. ASU no covers last three TY after quick 5-0-1 spread break from gate. Slight to ASU, based on recent trends.
Saturday, Nov. 17 - Added Games
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at ARKANSAS STATE at TROY...Ugh! After ULM win, Gus Malzahn has won and covered last three in impressive fashion TY as Ark State improved to 165-6 vs. spread in reg. -season games since LY and has covered five straight Belt road games. Troy only 3-11 vs. spread last 14 as host and has dropped last two vs. line to the Red Wolves Ark State, based on team trends.
at NORTH TEXAS at UL-MONROE...ULM now no covers last three TY after Ark State loss. Mean Green no covers last three on road TY. Slight to ULM, based on team trends.
at MIDDLE TENNESSEE at SOUTH ALABAMA...Road team 9-1 vs. line in USA games TY! Jags 0-4 vs. li3n in Mobile! MTSU 4-1 vs. points on road TY. MTSU, based on team trends.
at WESTERN KENTUCKY at UL-LAFAYETTE...WKU 1-3 vs. line last four after 15-game spread win streak prior. But Tops still have ten straight road covers! WKU, based on team trends.

  
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Edwards: College Playoff Props
Big 12 coaches discuss state of football
Tressel among 3 finalists to lead Akron
Atlanta eyeing title game, Super Bowl
Leagues, unions have common ground
Minot State names Hughes as head coach
UNM's Gongbay suspended, facing charges
Marshall leads Auburn 1st team to rout
Alabama defense dominates spring
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