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DUKE at GEORGIA TECH...Cutcliffe losing a bit of elevation with blowout losses last two in 2012, and Blue Devils 1-3 vs. spread away in 2012, but still 6-4 vs. line TY and 30-21-3 vs. spread since arriving at Duke in 2008. Duke has covered last two meetings after GT covered previous five. |
Slight to Duke, based on recent trends. |
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TEMPLE at ARMY...Owls have cooled with no wins or covers in last four TY, but they've owned Army lately with wins and covers last four years. Ellerson 3-3 vs. line at Michie TY after Army was 4-0 vs. spread at West Point LY. |
Temple, based on series trends. |
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KENT STATE at BOWLING GREEN...BGSU really rocking lately with six straight wins and covers after midweek success vs. Solich. Although the Golden Flashes 7-1 vs. line last eight TY. Kent State has won last two and covered last three meetings. |
Slight to Kent State, based on recent series trends. |
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VIRGINIA TECH at BOSTON COLLEGE...Beamer 3-7 vs. line TY, Spaziani 3-7 as well. Beamer 8-17 last 25 vs. spread since late 2010. Spaziani 6-12 vs. points at home since 2010. Beamer has covered 3 of last 4 vs. BC, however. |
Beamer, based on BC negatives. |
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MINNESOTA at NEBRASKA...Gophers 1-3 vs. line away TY but Minn was 7-3 vs. line away previous two years. Bo Pelini 4-1 vs. line at Lincoln TY after 2-5 mark at home in 2011. |
Slight to NU, based on recent trends. |
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ARKANSAS at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Hogs 1-8 vs. line for John L. (2-7 if you want to count Kentucky game). Dan Mullen 8-4 vs. line at Starkville since 2011. Hogs have won and covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series. |
Slight to MSU, based on recent trends. |
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SOUTH FLORIDA at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Road team has covered last three in series. Skip Holtz 2-0 as road dog TY, and 7-2 in role since arriving at USF in 2010, and 15-6 in role since 2007 at ECU & USF. Al Golden has covered last four at home TY. |
Slight to USF, based on series road and extended Skip road dog marks. |
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PURDUE at ILLINOIS...Illini no wins or covers last seven TY. |
Slight to Purdue, based on Illini woes. |
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IOWA STATE at KANSAS...Paul Rhoads 3-5 in chalk role since 2010 (1-1 TY) but a decent 10-7 vs. spread last 17 on board. |
Slight to ISU, based on team trends. |
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HOUSTON at MARSHALL...Cougs no covers last four TY and 0-3 vs. line as true visitor this season. Herd no covers last three at home TY after 5-1 spread mark previous six as host. UH 1-6 as dog since 2010. |
Slight to Marshall, based on team trends. |
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FLORIDA STATE at MARYLAND...FSU is 0-4 as road chalk this season. Jimbo was 4-1 as road chalk LY. |
Slight to Maryland, based on team trends. |
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BUFFALO at UMASS...Mass 3-7 vs. line Molnar debut. Bulls 0-3 as chalk TY, Quinn 3-6 as chalk since 2010, and UB hasn't been road chalk late 2009 at Kent State. |
UB, based on UMass woes. |
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NORTHWESTERN at MICHIGAN STATE...Cats have covered last four and 9 of 10 this season. Meanwhile, MSU 3-7 vs. line in 2012 and 0-6 vs. number at East Lansing. Note road team has covered last five in series. |
NU, based on team and series road trends. |
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NC STATE at CLEMSON...Not necessarily a vintage year for NCS, just 3-7 vs. line, and just 2-3 vs. spread after fifth game (O'Brien was 29-10 in role at NCS prior since 2007). Dabo has covered last seven TY. Revenge for Dabo after 37-13 loss at Raleigh LY. |
Slight to Clemson, based on recent trends. |
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RUTGERS at CINCINNATI...Gers 7-3 vs. line away since LY (3-1 TY). Butch Jones only 9-10 vs. number as host since 2010. |
Slight to Rutgers, based on team trends. |
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INDIANA at PENN STATE...IU 5-1 vs. line last six TY, O'Brien is 7-2 last 9 vs. spread in 2012. Hoosiers have covered 4 of last 5 meetings. |
Slight to IU, based on series trends. |
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TENNESSEE at VANDERBILT...James Franklin 10-2 vs. line at home since LY (3-2 in 2012). Derek Dooley 2-7 vs. line last 9 TY and 5-13 last 18 on board. Vols 2-5 vs. line as true visitor since LY. Vols have covered last three as series visitor. |
Vandy, based on recent trends. |
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MIAMI-OHIO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...CMU just 6-24 vs. spread last 29 on board for Dan The Man Enos. Chips also just 2-9 last 11 as Mt. Pleasant chalk. |
Miami-O, based on CMU woes. |
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MEMPHIS at UAB...UAB 3-8 as chalk since 2010 (1-1 TY). Road team 5-0-2 vs. points last seven meetings. |
Memphis, based on team trends. |
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EASTERN MICHIGAN at WESTERN MICHIGAN...EMU only 1-4 vs. line away TY after 8-5 spread mark for Ron English on road previous two seasons. Cubit 7-3 vs. spread at Waldo Stadium since LY (3-2 TY). |
WMU, based on team trends. |
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OKLAHOMA at WEST VIRGINIA...WVU has faded with no wins or covers last four TY, and Holgorsen just 1-6 against number last seven at Morgantown. |
Stoops, based on recent WVU woes. |
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SOUTHERN CAL at UCLA...SC is 12-1 SU last 13 meetings and has won five in a row vs. Bruins. Lane Kiffin,0-5 vs. number away TY. Bruins have covered 3 of last 4 vs. SC at Rose Bowl, and 36-18 against line at home since early 2004. |
UCLA, based on recent trends. |
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COLORADO STATE at BOISE STATE...Rams 0-4 vs. line as true visitor TY and 2-8 against spread last 10 in role. But Boise not covering these big numbers as easily on blue carpet as it used to, just 2-3 as home chalk TY and 2-10 last 12 as blue carpet chalk. |
Boise, based on CSU woes. |
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TEXAS STATE at NAVY...Mids 1-3 as chalk TY and just 4-8 in role since LY. Franchione, however, just 2-2 vs. line away TY. |
Slight to TSU, based on Navy chalk marks. |
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KANSAS STATE at BAYLOR...Bill Snyder 8-2 vs. line TY and 17-6 since 2011 vs. spread, also 8-2 vs. points away since LY and 12-5 since 2010. |
KSU, based on Bill Snyder trends. |
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NEVADA at NEW MEXICO...Pack no covers last six TY. Ault just 4-10 as road chalk since late 2009. |
New Mexico, based on recent trends. |
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WAKE FOREST at NOTRE DAME...Brian Kelly 1-4 vs. line at home TY and 5-10-3 vs. spread as host since 2010. Grobe 9-6 as dog since LY. |
Wake, based on recent trends. |
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STANFORD at OREGON...Ducks have blown the bark off the Tree past two seasons by near-identical scores (52-31 and 53-30). Ducks now on 5-game cover streak TY but still note 3-7-1 spread mark, victimized by many backdoors, last 11 at Eugene. David Shaw 3-0 as dog since LY and Tree 14-3 vs. line away since 2010. |
Slight to Stanford, based on extended team trends. |
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CAL at OREGON STATE...Prior to LY, Riley owned Cal, winning and covering previous four games. Tedford no covers last four TY and 3-8 vs spread in 2012. Beavers 6-2 vs. line in 2012 and 3-1 vs. points at Corvallis. |
OSU, based on series and recent trends. |
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SMU at RICE...June Jones no covers vs. Rice last four and SMU 0-6 vs. spread last six in series. June Jones a rather amazing 0-10 vs. line against Rice since 2000 (including Hawaii vs. Rice WAC days early in last decade). Owls 11-4-1 vs. points as host since 2010. |
Rice, based on series and team trends. |
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EAST CAROLINA at TULANE...Wave 4-1-1 vs. line last six TY, ECU only 2-3 vs. spread away form Greenville and 7-11 in role since Ruffin McNeill arrived in 2010. |
Tulane, based on recent trends. |
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UCF at TULSA...O'Leary is 9-3 vs. spread away since 2010 IF excluding 2011 (1-5 mark). If O'Leary getting points note 16-8 dog mark since 2007 (1-0 TY). |
UCF, especially if dog, based on team trends. |
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IOWA at MICHIGAN...Wolverines only 2-5 vs. line last six at Big House but Kirk Ferentz no covers last four TY and 2-8 vs. line overall. Hawkeyes now 2-10 last 12 on board since late LY and 7-16 since beginning of 2011 season. |
Michigan, based on Iowa woes. |
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WASHINGTON at COLORADO...Embree 2-8 vs. line TY and 6-17 vs. spread since arriving at CU in 2011. Buffs also 0-4 vs. line at Boulder TY and 1-7 last 8 vs. points as host. |
UW, based on CU woes. |
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BYU at SAN JOSE STATE...SJSU 8-2 vs. line TY, 11-2 since late LY, 16-5 last 20 on board. Spartans also 5-0 last 5 and 8-1 last 9 as dog. |
SJSU, based on team trends. |
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WYOMING at UNLV...Rebs 5-1 vs. line at home TY, 13-4 vs. spread as host since Bobby Hauck arrived in 2010. Home team has covered last 4 and 6 of last 7 in series. |
UNLV, based on team and series home trends. |
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UTSA at IDAHO...Vandals no wins or covers last eight TY in nation's worst spread slump. Idaho also 0-4 vs. spread at Kibbie Dome TY and 5-14 vs. points last 19 as host. |
UTSA, based on Idaho woes. |
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ARIZONA at UTAH...Utes have now covered their last four at Salt Lake City this season. Home team 7-1 vs. line last 8 Utah games in 2012. |
Utah, based on recent trends. |
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SYRACUSE at MISSOURI...Cuse 4-6 vs. line TY and 7-15 vs. points for Marrone since 2011. Orange 2-7 as road dog since 2012. |
Slight to Mizzou, based on Syracuse road woes. |
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TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA STATE...Gundy has won and covered last 3, 4 of last 5, and has covered 6 of 7 vs. Tech since taking over for Les Miles in 2005. Gundy 8-3 vs. line at Stillwater since LY. |
OSU, based on team and series trends. |
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UTAH STATE at LA TECH...Great game in the final-ever WAC football showdown! USU has covered last five TY and is 8-1 against spread in 2012. Utags 3-0 as road dog TY, 9-1 in role since 2010, and 22-5 since 2007! |
Slight to USU, based on team trends. |
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OHIO STATE at WISCONSIN...Badgers only 2-4 vs. line at home TY although Bielema 5-1 last six vs. points in 2012. Buckeyes 5-2 as dog since LY (1-0 TY) and OSU has covered 4 of last 5 meetings. |
Slight to OSU, based on team and extended series trends. |
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OLE MISS at LSU...Hugh "Pointspread Cover" Freeze 17-5 vs. line since LY (7-3 at Ole Miss). Freeze teams are also 8-2 vs. points on road and 5-2 as dog. Rebs 8-3 vs. line last 11 meetings and road team has covered last four in series. |
Ole Miss, based on team and series trends. |
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UTEP at SOUTHERN MISS...USM 0-10 SU and only 2-8 vs. line for Ellis Johnson TY. Price only 2-4 vs. line last six TY so the edge for Miners is small. |
Slight to UTEP, based on USM woes. |
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WASHINGTON STATE at ARIZONA STATE...Cougs have covered 4 of last 5 meetings. ASU no covers last three TY after quick 5-0-1 spread break from gate. |
Slight to ASU, based on recent trends. |
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