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College Bowl Trends - Part II

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Bowl Trends - Part I
Tuesday, Jan. 1
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at PURDUE vs. OKLAHOMA STATE (Dallas Bowl)...Mike Gundy 4-3 SU, 3-3 vs. line in bowl games the past six years. Cowboys only 1-4 vs. line away from Stillwater this season after 11-2 spread mark on road the previous two seasons. Cowboys 0-2 as DD road chalk this campaign after 4-0 mark in role previous two years. Purdue 5-2 vs. line last seven away from Ross-Ade (including bowl win and cover last December). Slight to Purdue, based on recent trends.
at NORTHWESTERN vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE (Gator Bowl)...NU a spectacular 11-1 vs. spread this season and covers in last six entering this bowl. Pat Fitzgerald 0-4 SU but 3-1 vs. line in bowls, as Wildcats hellbent to end bowl SU win drought that extends to 1949 Rose Bowl vs. Cal! MSU 1-6 vs. points last 7 away from Starkville, and failed to cover Music City Bowl LY vs. Wake Forest. Dan Mullen 1-1 SU and vs. line in bowls the past two years. Northwestern, based on recent trends.
at MICHIGAN vs. SOUTH CAROLINA (Outback Bowl)...Michigan 0-4 vs. line as dog this season. Spurrier only 2-4 SU and vs. line in bowls at SC but Gamecocks are 11-4 vs. line last 15 since late 2011. Slight to South Carolina, based on team trends.
at NEBRASKA vs. GEORGIA (Capital One Bowl)...Mark Richt had won and covered four straight bowls prior to the last two seasons when losing as favorite both times. Bo Pelini has also lost and failed to cover last two bowls after winning first two with Huskers. Georgia 8-4 vs. line away frm home since 2011. Nebraska 1-5 vs. points away from Lincoln this season, 1-7 last eight in role. Georgia, based on team trends.
at WISCONSIN vs. STANFORD (Rose Bowl)...Third straight Rose Bowl for Badgers as Barry Alvarez makes one-game return on sidelines. Wiscy covered 6 of last 9 this season after having failed to cover previous six on board dating to late 2011. Bielema had covered three straight bowl games. Badgers were 3-0 as dog this season and are 6-1 in role since 2010. Stanford has covered bowls in each of the last three years, was 5-1 vs. line away from Palo Alto this season, now 18-3 against spread last 21 away from Farm. Stanford, based on team trends.
at NORTHERN ILLINOIS at FLORIDA STATE (Orange Bowl)...Jimbo is 2-0 SU and vs. line in bowls with FSU, and Noles have won last four bowls SU and are 7-0-1 vs. spread in last eight bowl games. But FSU was also 0-6 against number away from Tallahassee this season. NIU 9-3-1 vs. line TY and 25-15-1 vs. points since 2010. Huskies won and covered bowls (vs. Sun Belt and WAC foes) the past two seasons but had dropped previous three in postseason. NIU 6-2 as dog since 2010. NIU, based on FSU recent woes away from home.
Wednesday, Jan. 2
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at LOUISVILLE vs. FLORIDA (Sugar Bowl)... Charlie Strong 7-1 as dog since 2011 (1-0 this season) and 13-5 vs. line away from Papa John's since 2010 (although only 2-3 in role TY). Gators dropped 4 of last 5 vs. spread after blistering start this season, Muschamp only 12-13 against points since taking over at UF last season. Gators have won and covered four bowls in a row since 2008. Louisville, based on team trends.
Thursday, Jan. 3
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at KANSAS STATE vs. OREGON (Fiesta Bowl)...Bill Snyder no covers in bowls the past two years and Chip Kelly only 1-2 SU and vs. line in bowls since taking over at Oregon in 2009. Snyder 2-0 as dog this season and 12-4 in role since 2010, also 8-1 as road dog that span! Snyder 18-7 vs. spread since 2011. Ducks covered last four on road this season and are 9-1 vs.. spread away from Eugene since 2011. Slight to KSU, based on team trends.
Friday, Jan. 4
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at TEXAS A&M vs. OKLAHOMA (Cotton Bowl)...Teams renew their Big 12 rivalry that had become pretty exciting in recent years after Ags scored upset at Kyle Field in 2010. OU avenged loss with 41-25 win and cover a year ago. Ags covered 4 of last 5 this season and were 3-2 vs. spread last five away from Kyle Field, also 3-2 as road chalk in 20102 with Sumlin. Stoops has won and covered his last two bowls after l-6 vs. spread previous seven bowls. Sooners 4-2 vs. line away this season, and Stoops 1-2 as rare dog since 2007. Slight to A&M, based on extended indifferent OU/Stoops bowl form.
Saturday, Jan. 5
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at PITT vs. OLE MISS (BBVA Compass Bowl)...Hugh "Pointspread Cover" Freeze 9-3 vs. line this season with Rebs and 19-5 against spread since a year ago with Ark State & Ole Miss. Rebs have also covered their last four bowls dating to 2002. Pitt 1-6 vs. line last seven bowls, though those were all pre-Paul Chryst. Ole Miss, based on team and Hugh Freeze trends.
Sunday, Jan. 6
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at ARKANSAS STATE vs. KENT STATE ( Bowl)...Gus Malzahn coaches this game before he leaves for Auburn. Ark State won and covered last five; Red Wolves 17-7 vs. spread since a year ago and 10-3 vs. points away since 2011. Darrell Hazel also coaches this one for Kent State before leaving for Purdue. Golden Flashes 10-2-1 vs. number in 2012 and were 6-1-1 against points away from Dix Stadium, also 4-1-1 as dog. Arkanas State, based on team trends.
Monday, Jan. 7
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at ALABAMA vs. NOTRE DAME (BCS Championship)...Brian Kelly just 1-4 vs. line in previous bowl games with ND and Cincy (left CMU before '06 Motor City). Irish 2-0 as dog TY and 6-3 in role since 2010 for Kelly, also 5-1 vs. line away from South Bend this season. Bama covered only 1 of last 5 this season but was 4-2 vs. spread away from Tuscaloosa and Nick is 10-3 against points his last 13 away from Bryant-Denny Stadium. Tide only 6-7 vs. line this season but Saban is 4-1 SU and vs. line in bowls (including covers last three) with Bama. Slight to Bama, based on bowl trends.

Edwards: Friday's Tip Sheet
ASA: Big Ten Report - Week 9
SportsBoss: SBPI Rankings - Week 9
Williams: ACC Report - Week 9
Williams: Pac-12 Report - Week 9
Rogers: Bad Company - Week 9
Marshall: Tech Trends - Week 9
Miami manhandles Virginia Tech, 30-6
East Carolina wins, but UConn covers
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