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ACC Report - Week 9

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Editor's Note: Joe Williams has hit 61% of his college football selections through eight weeks. Don't miss out on Week 9 Winners!

Big Ten · ACC · Pac-12
Last weekend was the game of the year, and only one Atlantic Coast Contender decided to show up. The Florida State Seminoles cemented their place in the national championship discussion for the remainder of the season, thumping Clemson in Death Valley by a 51-14 score. And, to be honest, it wasn't even that close. The Tigers scored with the second-team offense in the closing minutes, making those who had the 'over' pretty pleased.

As a result of their resounding win, the Seminoles found themselves ranked No. 2 in the first installment of the BCS standings behind defending national champion Alabama. It's uncertain if that can or will last, but FSU certainly looked like a title contender last weekend. Will they be able to keep that same kind of focus with a visit from North Carolina State this weekend? They have another huge game coming up against the ACC's only other unbeaten team, the rival Miami Hurricanes, next weekend. It will be interesting to see how the Seminoles handle their success.
2013 ACC STANDINGS
Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
Boston College 3-3 1-2 4-2 2-4
Clemson 6-1 4-1 3-4 4-3
Duke 5-2 1-2 5-2 3-4
Florida State 6-0 4-0 5-1 6-0
Georgia Tech 4-3 3-2 4-3 4-3
Maryland 5-2 1-2 4-3 4-3
Miami (Fla.) 6-0 2-0 4-2 3-3
North Carolina 1-5 0-3 2-4 1-5
North Carolina State 3-3 0-3 3-3 1-5
Pittsburgh 4-2 2-2 2-4 3-3
Syracuse 3-4 1-2 4-3 4-3
Virginia 2-5 0-3 3-4 5-2
Virginia Tech 6-1 3-0 3-3-1 1-5-1
Wake Forest 4-3 2-2 3-4 1-6


Wake Forest at Miami, Fl. (ESPNU - 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Hurricanes snuck out of Chapel Hill last Thursday with a narrow win at North Carolina, keeping their record unblemished. It will be interesting to see how the 'Canes respond at home against another inferior conference opponent, especially with a huge game against rival Florida State looming next weekend in Tallahassee. This might be viewed as a 'trap' game, but Wake Forest is just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 games, and 1-4 ATS in their past five road contests. The Demon Deacons are also 2-8 ATS in their past 10 games against a team with a winning record. Miami is 5-0 ATS in their past five against a team with a winning record, and 8-1 ATS in their past nine home games. Plus, the Canes are an impressive 14-3 ATS in their past 17 ACC games. Miami leads the all-time series 7-3, and they have won six straight meetings.

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Georgia Tech at Virginia (12:30 p.m. ET)
This is a very interesting game that bettors need to pay attention to closely. The Yellow Jackets are installed as a 10-point favorite, and the early indications are the public is piling on Georgia Tech at a 2-to-1 clip. That might be because Georgia Tech is 8-2 ATS in their past 10 conference games, including a 56-0 dusting of Syracuse last weekend at Bobby Dodd Stadium. The Yellow Jackets are 5-2 ATS in their past seven against a team with a losing record, and 9-4 ATS in their past 13 overall. Meanwhile, UVA comes in just 7-20 ATS in their past 27 against teams with a winning record, and 3-9 ATS in their past 12 ACC games. The Cavs are also just 2-10-1 ATS in their past 13 at Scott Stadium. However, keep in mind that UVA is 6-1 ATS in their past seven home games against Georgia Tech, the favorite has covered eight of the past 11 meetings in this series, and the home team is an impressive 12-3 ATS in the past 15 meetings. Which trends do you like more? With conflicting information, I like to think this game screams stay away from the line. The total sits at 47, and the over is 5-2 in GT's past seven road games. The over is also 5-1 in UVA's past six, and 4-0 in their past four home games. The over is also 4-1 in Virginia's past five against a team with a winning mark.

Pittsburgh at Navy (CBSSN, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Panthers look for their fifth win of the season on the road in Annapolis, while the Midshipmen look to keep their heads above water, pun totally intended. The Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their past seven, while the Middies are 4-9 ATS in their past 13 home games. There are no really good trends here, other than Navy being 2-0 ATS at home, while Pittsburgh is 0-2 ATS on the road. The total is listed at 51 1/2, and the 'under' has come through in each of the past three for Pittsburgh after the over was 3-0 in their first three contests. The under has cashed in four of the past five for the Midshipmen.

Boston College at North Carolina (3:30 p.m. ET)
The Tar Heels are still stinging after its latest defeat at home against unbeaten Miami. UNC nearly had a much-needed signature win on a national stage, but instead slipped to 1-5 on the season. For those thinking Boston College might be a pushover, and the type of team for the Tar Heels to play to get back on track, think again. QB Chase Rettig, RB Andre Williams and WR Alex Amidon are a three-headed monster on offense. In fact, Williams leads the conference in rushing with 838 yards, and Amidon has posted 10 career 100-yard receiving games. BC is a very disciplined team, too, committing a conference-low 22 penalties with just six turnovers. BC is 0-3 all-time in Chapel Hill, however, so if they keep the Heels down, it will be a first for them. BC is 4-1 ATS in their past five conference games, but 7-20 ATS in their past 27 against a team with a losing record, and 1-7 ATS in their past eight on the road. UNC is 9-3 ATS in their past 12 at home, including last week against Miami. The under could be the best play here, as the under is 20-7-1 in BC's past 28 ACC games, and 36-14-1 in their past 51 road games. The under is 5-1 in UNC's past six, and 4-1 in their past five ACC games.

Duke at Virginia Tech (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The Blue Devils are back in the state of Virginia for a second straight week, looking for similar results to the ones they found in Charlottesville last weekend. Duke spotted UVA a 22-0 lead last week, only to storm back with 35 unanswered points for a 35-22 win. Virginia Tech is a lot better of a team, though, and falling behind early would be fatal. And the Hokies are rested, coming off a bye. The Blue Devils are 31st in the nation in offense, and QB Brandon Connette, while only a part-time player, has managed 19 touchdown passes, third-most in the ACC behind only Florida State's Jameis Winston and Clemson's Tajh Boyd. Duke can certainly score, but their defense has been a little flaky. In the last meeting Oct. 13, Clemson won 41-20. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings, and Duke is just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 road games. The Blue Devils are also 1-6 ATS in their past seven road games against a team with a winning record, while the Hokies are 6-0 ATS in their past six home games agaisnt a team with a winning road record.

Clemson at Maryland (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Clemson was absolutely buried at home, and now they must pick themselves up off the mat and get back on track. A sluggish start wouldn't be shocking in this one given their embarrassing loss to FSU at home last week. While Clemson is 6-1 ATS in their past seven road games, they are just 1-5 ATS in their past six against a team with a winning record. Maryland is 4-1 ATS in their past five home games, but just 4-13 ATS in their past 17 ACC games. The under might be the best play. The under is 13-4 in Clemson's past 17, and 9-2 in their past 11 road games against a team with a winning home record. The under is also 6-1 in the past seven meetings in this series, and 5-2 in the past seven meetings

North Carolina State at Florida State (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Will history repeat itself? The Seminoles looked to be hitting on all cylinders last season before a trip to Raleigh sent them tumbling. The 'Noles fell 17-16 at Carter-Finley Stadium, and have a little payback to do. FSU crushed Clemson last week, and face Miami next week, so could there be a little bit of a lull? Or is this a different FSU team? NC State is coming off a bye, but they also were pounded by a terrible Syracuse team, 24-10, in their last outing. NC State is 1-7-1 ATS in their past nine road games, and 1-5-1 ATS in their past seven road games against a team with a winning home record. FSU is 4-0 ATS in their past four home games and 6-1 ATS in their past seven overall. The only thing to worry about here is a hangover/look-ahead situation.

Byes
Syracuse

  
HEADLINES
Nelson: Week 1 Clashes
ASA: Top Big Ten QB's
Lawrence: 2014 Pac-12 Preview
Edwards: Pressing Mississippi State
Blankenship: Fade Alert - Ohio State
Edwards: Top 20 QB Changes
FSU QB Winston can't escape past
Auburn-Clemson to meet in '16 and '17
Stanford's Montgomery rehabbing shoulder
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