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Bowl Trends - Part I
Editor's Note: Bruce Marshall's college football selections can be purchased weekly on Click to win!

Part II

Bowls scheduled between Saturday, Dec. 21 and Saturday, Dec. 28

Saturday, December 21
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
vs. COLORADO STATE vs. WASHINGTON STATE (New Mexico Bowl)...CSU 9-4 vs. line in 2013 and 12-4 last 16 on board since late 2012. Also 5-2 last 7 as dog for Jim McElwain. WSU 9-3 vs. line TY and 10-3 last 13 on board, though Mike Leach just 1-4 as chalk since last season. MW teams only 3-7 vs. line in bowls since 2011, but Pac-12 just 6-8 same span. Slight to CSU, based on team trends.
vs. SOUTHERN CAL vs. FRESNO STATE (Las Vegas Bowl)...When the smoke finally cleared, SC just 6-7 vs. line in 2013, and now 9-17 since 2012 vs. number. Trojans 2-4 vs. line away from Coliseum this season and 2-11 in role since 2012. FSU only 4-7-1 vs. line in 2013 but Bulldogs were 11-2 vs. line in 2012 for DeRuyter, including a humbling bowl loss in Hawaii. SC also humbled in its bowl last season. FSU no covers last 4 in bowls. Fresno State, based on team trends.
vs. BUFFALO vs. SAN DIEGO STATE (Famous Idaho Potato Bowl)...Aztecs no wins or covers last two years in bowls, Buffalo first bowl since 2008. Rocky Long 5-2-1 last 8 on board in 2013, but Buffalo 7-2 last 9 vs. line in 2013. Aztecs 1-6 vs. spread last 7 vs. non-conference foes. Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.
vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE at TULANE (New Orleans Bowl)...Third straight visit to this bowl for ULL, which has won and covered in its last two visits. Tulane gets to play on its home field and is bowling for the first time since 2002. Ragin’ Cajuns no covers their last five in 2013 and failed to cover all three vs. FBS non-Sun Belt foes this season. Meanwhile, Wave covered 7 of last 8 this season and was 5-1 vs. spread on its home field and has covered 9 of last 10 at Superdome. Wave moves to new stadium next season. Tulane, based on recent trends.

Monday, December 23
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
vs. OHIO vs. EAST CAROLINA (Beef O’Brady’s St. Petersburg Bowl)...Frank Solich 2-3 vs. line in bowls with Ohio, with wins and covers the past two seasons. ECU 0-2 SU and vs. line in two bowls for Ruffin McNeill. Ohio, however, lost 3 of last 4 SU and 4 of last 5 vs. line in 2013. Pirates 1-4 vs. line last 5 on road this season but did cover 3 of last 4. Solich only 1-3 as dog TY and 2-5 last 7 in role. Slight to Ohio, based on team trends.

Tuesday, December 24
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
vs. OREGON STATE vs. BOISE STATE (Hawaii Bowl)...Mike Riley has lost and failed to cover last two bowls with Beavs but is still 5-3 SU and vs. spread in bowls at OSU. Boise has won last four bowls SU and is 4-1 vs. line last five bowls. Broncos 1-2 in dog role this season after covering four straight getting points from 2008-12. Broncs only 3-5 vs. line last 8 away from home, however. OSU covered 5 of 6 away from Corvallis this season. Slight to Oregon State, based on team trends.

Thursday, December 26
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
vs. PITT vs. BOWLING GREEN (Little Caesar’s Bowl)...Panthers lose and fail to cover in bowls tthe last two years, also 1-6-1 vs. line last 8 in 2013. BGSU 10-3 vs. line in 2013, 17-5 last 22 on board, 13-3 last 16 as chalk, 6-1 vs. line away from home TY. Bowling Green, based on team trends.
vs. UTAH STATE vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS (Poinsettia Bowl)...NIU 2-4 SU and vs. line in bowls since 2006. But Huskies were 6-2 vs. spread away from home this season and 10-4 last 14 vs. line away from DeKalb but only 4-5 vs. line against non-MAC foes since LY. MAC teams 7-19 vs. line last 5 years in bowls. Utags 8-5 vs. line TY after 11-2 mark for Gary Andersen LY but only 1-3 as dog in 2013 after covering nine straight in role entering this season. Slight to NIU, based on team trends.

Friday, December 27
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
vs. MARSHALL vs. MARYLAND (Military Bowl)... Herd 1-8-1 vs. line as favorite away from home since Doc Holliday arrived in 2010. Marshall only 2-5 vs. line away from Huntington this season. Terps 4-2 vs. spread away from College Park in 2013, have also covered last 5 and 6 of last 7 vs. non-ACC foes. Terps 4-1 last five as dog since late LY. Maryland, based on team trends.
vs. SYRACUSE vs. MINNESOTA (Texas Bowl)...Gophers return to Texas Bowl after LY’s cover vs. Texas Tech. Big Ten teams have recorded winning spread marks in bowls three of past four season. Cuse 7-4-1 vs. line TY and 11-4-1 last 16 on board since late 2012, though just 3-4-1 as dog TY. Gophers 9-3 vs. spread in 2013 (covering last six), and these teams did meet early last season in Minneapolis when Gophers won and covered by 17-10 score. Gophers 7-2 vs. line outside of Big Ten since 2012. Slight to Minnesota, based on team trends.
vs. WASHINGTON vs. BYU (Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl)...BYU 2-1 as dog TY but is 11-1 last 12 as dog since midway in the 2012 season. Bronco Mendenhall has won and covered last four bowls (two of those as a dog) and is 6-2 vs. line in bowls since arriving at BYU in 2005. Huskies only 2-3 vs. line away from home this season and were just 2-5 vs. points last seven in 2012. Pac-12 has not had a winning spread bowl record the past four seasons. BYU, based on team trends.

Saturday, December 28
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
vs. RUTGERS vs. NOTRE DAME (Yankee Pinstripe Bowl)...’Gers faded late in 2013, covering just 1 of last 6 en route to 4-8 spread mark, now 4-11 last 15 on board since late 2012. But Scarlet Knights were 2-1 as dog TY and are 10-5 in that role since 2011 (3-1 last 4 as DD dog). ‘Gers also 5-2 vs. line last seven bowls. Irish only 5-7 vs. line in 2013 and 2-5 as chalk, also no covers last two years in bowls. Also just 4-8 last 12 as DD chalk. 14-plus bowl dogs only 1-2 LY and 1-6 since 2010, however, reversing earlier strong showings vs. number. Rutgers, based on team trends.
vs. CINCINNATI vs. NORTH CAROLINA (Belk Bowl)...Heels covered 6 of last 7 this season. Fedora 5-2 as chalk in 2013. Cincy just 3-3 vs. spread away from home in 2013. Tuberville 5-3 vs. line in bowls. Bearcats 2-4 vs. spread last six bowls, but Cincy is 5-1 as dog since LY (2-1 in 2013). Bearcats won and covered this bowl in miraculous fashion vs. Duke last December. Slight to North Carolina, based on recent trends.
vs. MIAMI-FLA. vs. LOUISVILLE (Russell Athletic Bowl)...Canes did not exactly close with a rush, dropping 6 of last 7 vs. number this season. Which was a turnaround for Al Golden, whose teams had offered good spread value prior (18-6-1 previous 25). Golden teams still 9-4-1 as dog at Miami and 18-8-1 in role since 2008 at Temple & with Canes. L’ville needed OT to get cover in last game of reg.-season slate vs. Cincy, had dropped 6 of 7 vs. number prior. Charlie Strong only 11-18 as chalk since 2011 campaign. Miami, based on extended Al Golden/Charlie Strong trends.
vs. MICHIGAN vs. KANSAS STATE (Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl)...Bill Snyder no covers in bowls the past three seasons, in fact K-State has now failed to cover its last seven bowl games dating to 2001. Both teams 7-5 vs. line in 2013, though Wolverines covered their last three, and Brady Hoke was 3-1 as dog this season. KSU 3-5 vs. line last eight vs. non-conference foes. Slight to Michigan, based on team trends.

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