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South Point releases Win Totals
For the first time ever in Nevada sports book history, regular season win totals have been posted on all 128 Division I college football teams. And to make the unprecedented move even more astounding is that it's only May with the first kickoff not occurring until Aug. 27.
 
The architect of the early numbers is veteran bookmaker Chris Andrews who took over as South Point sports book director in February. He's been hammering away at all the info he can gather on every school since taking over.
 
"I start compiling everything for all the teams right after the Super Bowl," said Andrews, a Pittsburgh native who has ran Nevada books for 37 years. "I track down what I can get for every school with the local papers and school web sites, and for a few teams the info is pretty hard to come by."
 
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Two weeks ago the South Point was the first in Nevada to post spreads for the first week of college football action and also offered 40 'Games of the Year' numbers for the marquee matchups.
 
On Thursday he unleashed win totals on every school and offered some insight to key components in his oddsmaking process.   
 
"When I do my ratings for each team, I always lean heavily on the offensive line with returning starters," he said. "I'm a big believer that stability in the offensive line is key for teams performing well early in the schedule. I don't have a math model, but I certainly have a methodology to produce the team ratings and win totals I'm comfortable with."
 
He's taking a dime on the Power-5 conference teams and a nickel on the other schools.
 
Last year at this time Andrews was posting his team ratings and win totals as the owner and publisher of AgainstTheNumber.com, which a few sports books outside of Nevada copied and posted for action.
 
This year, he's now got the additional pressure of not just making solid numbers but also trying to make money for the South Point in his debut for owner Michael Gaughan, but he's very confident.
 
One of the pitfalls of posting numbers so early is the unknown variables that happen with so much time before the first kickoff.
 
"We haven't even posted the numbers yet and I'm already doing adjustments from the news of Art Briles being fired this morning," Andrews said. "I had Baylor set at 9.5 wins, but I'm in kind of a wait and see mode with what happens to the rest of the staff, who I'm sure had some kind of knowledge of what was going on there. Who is coming in and who is going? If there is a major overhaul to the remaining staff, we'll make some big adjustments, and not just with Baylor, but with all the teams they play. Right now we've taken everything to do with Baylor (Game of the Year lines, week 1 lines and win totals) off the board."
 
Andrews said one his most difficult win totals to make was Ohio State, who he set at 9.5 UN -125.
 
"Ohio State was a tough number to make just because they had to replace so much talent, but between their schedule and Urban Meyer, they should be fine this year. If Nick Saban isn't the best rest recruiter in the nation then it's definitely Urban. I like Oklahoma to win against them, but they'll get better as the season goes along. They'll be a much better team in November than September."
 
Andrews made Oklahoma -7 as one of his 40 'Games of the Year' for the Buckeyes Sept. 17 game at Norman.
 
Last week the Golden Nugget posted totals on 24 teams with Ohio State set at 8.5 wins setting up a nice middle opportunity for bettors hoping for Ohio State to win nine games. For nine wins to happen, three losses have to come somewhere. Oklahoma looks like one, maybe a road loss at either Wisconsin or Michigan State, and then maybe a revenge minded Michigan at Columbus Nov. 26.
 
"I think Michigan is going to be real good," Andrews said.
 
Two teams posted with the highest win total were Clemson and Boise State set at 10.5
 
"See if you can find me two losses on that Boise State schedule," he said.
 
Here's a look at all the win totals for every school from Air Force and Appalachian State to Wisconsin and Wyoming:
 
Conference Breakdown

2016 Win Totals - South Point Las Vegas
School Win Total Money
Air Force 8 Over -110 Under -110
Akron 5 Over -110 Under -110
Alabama 10 Over +100 Under -120
Appalachian State 8.5 Over -110 Under -110
Arizona 6 Over -110 Under -110
Arizona State 5 Over -120 Under +100
Arkansas 7.5 Over -120 Under +100
Arkansas State 7.5 Over +100 Under -120
Army 4.5 Over -110 Under -110
Auburn 6.5 Over -110 Under -110
Ball State 4.5 Over -110 Under -110
Baylor 9.5 Over +100 Under -120
Boise State 10.5 Over -110 Under -110
Boston College 6.5 Over -110 Under -110
Bowling Green 7 Over -110 Under -110
Buffalo 5.5 Over -110 Under -110
BYU 8 Over +105 Under -125
California 4 Over -120 Under +100
Central Florida 5 Over -110 Under -110
Central Michigan 7 Over -120 Under +100
Charlotte 2.5 Over -120 Under +100
Cincinnati 6.5 Over -130 Under +110
Clemson 10.5 Over -110 Under -110
Colorado 4.5 Over -110 Under -110
Colorado State 5.5 Over -110 Under -110
Connecticut 5 Over +100 Under -120
Duke 5.5 Over -110 Under -110
East Carolina 5.5 Over +105 Under-125
Eastern Michigan 3 Over -110 Under -110
Fla International 6.5 Over -110 Under -110
Florida 7.5 Over -125 Under +105
Florida Atlantic 4.5 Over -110 Under -110
Florida State 9.5 Over +100 Under -120
Fresno State 3.5 Over -125 Under +105
Georgia 8.5 Over -110 Under -110
Georgia Southern 8 Over -110 Under -110
Georgia State 4.5 Over +105 Under-125
Georgia Tech 6.5 Over +100 Under -120
Hawaii 2.5 Over -120 Under +100
Houston 9.5 Over -135 Under +115
Idaho 3.5 Over -125 Under +105
Illinois 4.5 Over -110 Under -110
Indiana 4.5 Over -110 Under -110
Iowa 8.5 Over -110 Under -110
Iowa State 3.5 Over +100 Under -120
Kansas 1.5 Over -110 Under -110
Kansas State 5.5 Over -120 Under +100
Kent State 4.5 Over -120 Under +100
Kentucky 5 Over -110 Under -110
Louisiana Tech 7.5 Over -110 Under -110
Louisville 9 Over +110 Under -130
LSU 10 Over +100 Under -120
Marshall 8.5 Over -125 Under +105
Maryland 4.5 Over +110 Under -130
Massachusetts 2.5 Over -110 Under -110
Memphis 6.5 Over -110 Under -110
Miami Fl. 6.5 Over -125 Under +105
Miami Ohio 3.5 Over +100 Under -120
Michigan 10 Over -110 Under -110
Michigan State 7.5 Over -130 Under +110
Middle Tenn State 7.5 Over -110 Under -110
Minnesota 6 Over -110 Under -110
Mississippi 8.5 Over +100 Under -120
Mississippi State 6.5 Over -120 Under +100
Missouri 5.5 Over -110 Under -110
Navy 6.5 Over -110 Under -110
NC State 6 Over -110 Under -110
Nebraska 8.5 Over -110 Under -110
Nevada 6.5 Over -120 Under +100
New Mexico 7 Over -120 Under +100
New Mexico State 3 Over -110 Under -110
North Carolina 8.5 Over -125 Under +105
North Texas 2 Over -110 Under -110
Northern Illinois 8.5 Over -120 Under +100
Northwestern 6.5 Over -120 Under +100
Notre Dame 9.5 Over +110 Under-130
Ohio 7.5 Over +100 Under -120
Ohio State 9.5 Over +105 Under -125
Oklahoma 10 Over -110 Under -110
Oklahoma State 8.5 Over -110 Under -110
Old Dominion 5 Over +100 Under -120
Oregon 8 Over -110 Under -110
Oregon State 3.5 Over -110 Under -110
Penn State 6.5 Over -110 Under -110
Pittsburgh 7 Over +100 Under -120
Purdue 4.5 Over -110 Under -110
Rice 6 Over +100 Under -120
Rutgers 4.5 Over -125 Under +105
San Diego State 8.5 Over -130 Under +110
San Jose State 5 Over -110 Under -110
SMU 3.5 Over -120 Under +100
South Alabama 3 Over -110 Under -110
South Carolina 5 Over -110 Under -110
South Florida 8.5 Over -110 Under -110
Southern Miss 8 Over -110 Under -110
Stanford 8.5 Over +100 Under -120
Syracuse 4 Over -110 Under -110
TCU 8 Over -125 Under -105
Temple 8.5 Over -120 Under +100
Tennessee 9.5 Over +105 Under -125
Texas 6.5 Over -110 Under -110
Texas A&M 6 Over -120 Under +100
Texas San Antonio 4 Over -110 Under -110
Texas State 3 Over -110 Under -110
Texas Tech 7 Over -110 Under -110
Toledo 6.5 Over -110 Under -110
Troy 6 Over -110 Under -110
Tulane 3.5 Over -110 Under -110
Tulsa 6.5 Over -120 Under +100
UCLA 8.5 Over +100 Under -120
UL-Lafayette 6.5 Over -110 Under -110
UL-Monroe 3.5 Over -110 Under -110
UNLV 5.5 Over -110 Under -110
USC 7.5 Over +100 Under -120
Utah 7.2 Over +100 Under -120
Utah State 6.5 Over -130 Under +110
UTEP 5 Over -110 Under -110
Vanderbilt 5 Over -110 Under -110
Virginia 4.5 Over -130 Under +110
Virginia Tech 6.5 Over -130 Under +110
Wake Forest 5.5 Over +110 Under -130
Washington 9 Over -110 Under -110
Washington State 7.5 Over -110 Under -110
West Virginia 6.5 Over -130 Under +110
Western Kentucky 8.5 Over +110 Under -130
Western Michigan 8.5 Over +100 Under -120
Wisconsin 7 Over -110 Under -110
Wyoming 3.5 Over -110 Under -110


Odds Subject to Change - updated 5.26.16

  
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