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Tech Trends - Week 3
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NFL Trends - Week 2

Thursday, Sept. 13
Matchup Skinny Edge
BOSTON COLLEGE at WAKE FOREST...Road team has won outright last four meetings in series. Last eight "under" in series.
"Under" and BC, based on team, series, and "totals" trends.
Friday, Sept. 14
Matchup Skinny Edge
GEORGIA STATE at MEMPHIS...GSU 20-7 as road dog since 2012 (though just 1-2 since LY). Tigers just 8-10 as Liberty Bowl chalk since 2015, though have covered 6 of last 8 laying DD.
Slight to GSU, based on team trends.
Saturday, Sept. 15
Matchup Skinny Edge
UTEP at TENNESSEE...Miners now on 2-11-1 spread skid since last season. Vols, however, almost as bad since LY (2-11 vs. line). UT 0-6 vs. points last 6 hosting non-SEC BCS foes.
Slight to UTEP, based on extended UT woes.
BALL STATE at INDIANA... After 5-0 mark as road dog in 2016 debut year, Neu fell off to 1-5 in role in 2017. Though Cards have remarkably covered last 5 and 8 of last 9 visiting Big Ten foes!
Ball State, based on team trends.
TEMPLE at MARYLAND...Still no sign of Durkin, though Terps only 5-7 vs. spread at College Park since 2016. Texas win was at FedEx Field. Temple might be starting slow again for Collins as LY when dropping first four vs. line before rallying to cover 7 of last 9. Owls 11-3 vs. line last 14 away, though a good portion of that was under Matt Rhule (5-2 LY for Collins).
Slight to Temple, based on team trends.
UMASS at FIU...UMass 8-2 as road dog past two seasons before running into BC in opener. Butch 0-3 as home chalk LY.
Slight to UMass, based on team trends.
MIAMI-FLA at TOLEDO... Richt is 6-3 as visiting chalk since arriving in 2016 but Canes now on 3-8 spread downturn. Candle just 2-3 as dog with Rockets but extended Toledo dog trends are good (12-6 during Campbell years of 2012-15).
Slight to Toledo, based on team trends.
HAWAII at ARMY...New and improved Bows 3-0 SU TY. Monken only 10-13 vs. spread at Michie since arriving at West Point in 2014.
Hawaii, based on recent trends.
KENT STATE at PENN STATE...James Franklin cooling off a bit vs. line, only 3-4 last seven on board after 16-2 spread run. Only 2-4 vs. spread last six hosting non-Big Ten foes at Beaver Stadium. Golden Flashes only 7-11 as DD dog past three seasons but did cover opener at Lovie.
Slight to Penn State, based on team trends.
UCF at NORTH CAROLINA...Fedora just 1-6 vs. spread as Chapel Hill dog since 2014, UCF 5-1 as visiting chalk since 2016.
UCF, based on team trends.
OLD DOMINION at CHARLOTTE... Monarchs now on 4-11-1 spread skid and 1-5 last six as chalk after covering 8-0-1 previous nine laying points.
Slight to Charlotte, based on team trends.
FLORIDA STATE at SYRACUSE...Noles just 1-3-2 vs. spread as visitor LY. FSU 4-9-2 last 15 on board (0-2 for Taggart). Cuse however just 4-9 vs. line at Carrier Dome since Dino arrived in 2016.
Slight to Syracuse, based on team trends.
OKLAHOMA at IOWA STATE...Revenge for OU after home loss to ISU last October. Road chalk also the one role that didn’t work as well for Sooners LY (1-2). Matt Campbell 11-7-1 as dog since taking over Cyclones in 2016.
Iowa State, based on team trends.
TROY at NEBRASKA...Scott Frost only 7-8-1 last 16 on board. Huskers no covers last 7 at Lincoln. Troy 8-1 as visiting dog for Neal Brown since 2015.
Troy, based on team trends.
RUTGERS at KANSAS...KU 2-6 vs. points last 8 at Lawrence, and Beaty now 13-23-1 vs. spread since taking over KU in 2015.
Rutgers, based on Kansas woes.
EAST CAROLINA at VIRGINIA TECH...ECU only 7-18-1 vs. line for Montgomery since 2016. Hokies destroyed Pirates LY 64-17. Fuente 7-4 as Blacksburg chalk since arriving in 2016.
Virginia Tech, based on ECU woes.
GEORGIA TECH at PITT...Paul Johnson has covered 4 of 5 vs. Pitt since Panthers joined ACC in 2013. Narduzzi 6-16 vs. spread at Heinz Field since arriving in 2015.
Georgia Tech, based on team trends.
VANDERBILT at NOTRE DAME...Derek Mason was 17-11 as dog entering last season before slipping to 2-6 in role. Dores 10-2 vs. spread last 12 in reg season vs. non-SEC BCS foes. ND 5-8 as South Bend chalk since 2015.
Vandy, based on team trends.
OHIO at VIRGINIA...Bronco Mendenhall 4-2 as chalk since LY. Solich 6-2 as visiting dog since 2015.
Ohio, based on team trends.
SMU at MICHIGAN...Tough start for Sonny Dykes at SMU, 0-3 and outscored 139-45 in process. Ponies 1-5-1 vs. spread last 7 away from Dallas. Harbaugh just 5-9 vs. spread last 13 on board.
Slight to Michigan, based on team trends.
SOUTHERN MISS at APP STATE...USM has covered 5 of its last 6 as a reg-season dog. App was only 3-9 vs. spread at Boone entering last season before covering 4 of 6 at Kidd Brewer Stadium.
Slight to Southern Miss, based on team trends.
BOISE STATE at OKLAHOMA STATE...Broncos 14-5 vs. spread as visitor since 2015, and covered all three as dog away from blue carpet LY. Gundy just 3-5-1 last 9 vs. spread at Stillwater.
Boise State, based on team trends.
BYU at WISCONSIN...Sitake now 6-1 as road dog with Cougs since taking over in 2016. Cougs have also covered 5 of last 7 since late LY. Wiscy was 10-5-1 as DD chalk past two seasons before narrow non-covers first two TY. Chryst still 21-10-1 vs. points last 32 on board.
BYU, based on recent trends.
WEST VIRGINIA at NC STATE...Pack was 2-0 as home dog LY though only 5-9 last 14 on board. Also no covers 5 of last 6 in reg season vs. non-ACC. Holgorsen now 6-3 last 9 as chalk.
Slight to West Virginia, based on team trends.
MIAMI-OHIO at MINNESOTA... Miami now on 4-10 spread slide since LY, and no covers last six non-MAC. Fleck just 6-7-1 vs. spread with Gophers but has covered 4 of 5 outside Big Ten. Fleck 2-0 SU, 1-1 vs. line vs. Chuck Martin while with WMU.
Slight to Minnesota, based on team trends.
LSU at AUBURN...Orgeron now 4-0 as dog since LY and 15-8 vs. spread since taking over LSU midway 2016. Home team has won and covered last four in this series. Malzahn just 4-11-1 as Jordan-Hare chalk since 2015.
LSU, based on team trends.
USF vs. ILLINOIS (at Soldier Field, Chicago)...Lovie now on 5-12 spread skid since late 2016. Lovie just 7-12 as dog since taking over Illini in 2016, and 2-6 last eight vs. line against non-Big Ten.
south Florida, based on Lovie woes.
CENTRAL MICHIGAN at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Bonamego now 8-3 as visiting dog since 2015, and Chips 6-2 vs. spread last 8 as visitor. CMU has also had NIU’s number lately, winning and covering last four meetings. Huskies on 2-8-1 spread skid since early 2017.
Central Michigan, based on series and team trends.
GEORGIA SOUTHERN at CLEMSON...Eagles just 3-5-1 as road dog since 2016. Dabo 5-3-1 as double-digit chalk LY and 6-2 last 8 vs. spread reg season vs. non-ACC.
Clemson, based on team trends.
NEW MEXICO at NEW MEXICO STATE...Ags have covered last 3 and now 3-0-1 last 4 vs. line in series. Though NMSU now no covers last six in reg season play.
Slight to New Mexico, based on recent team trends.
TULANE at UAB...Willie Fritz now on 11-4 spread uptick. Blazers 5-0-1 vs. line at home LY, though have covered just 1 of last 5 on line.
Tulane, based on team trends.
DUKE at BAYLOR...Rhule 2-5 vs. line at Waco since taking over at Baylor LY. Cutcliffe 25-12-1 as chalk since 2012.
Duke, based on team trends.
COLORADO STATE at FLORIDA...Rams 1-9 vs. line last ten on board. Gators 7-5 vs. line as Swamp chalk since 2016.
Florida, based on CSU negatives.
HOUSTON at TEXAS TECH...UH just 2-9 last 11 vs. spread away from home. Tech 5-0-1 vs. line last five hosting non-Big 12.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.
UTSA at KANSAS STATE...UTSA just 1-9 vs. spread last ten on board. Bill Snyder 5-2 vs. spread last 7 vs. non-Big 12 at home.
Kansas State, based on team trends.
NORTH TEXAS at ARKANSAS...UNT 7-4 last 11 vs. line vs FBS. Hogs just 4-9-1 last 13 on board vs. BCS schools.
North Texas, based on team trends.
SAN JOSE STATE at OREGON...SJSU just 2-5 as road dog for Brennan LY and has failed to cover last five on road vs. non-MW. Ducks 5-2 vs. points since LY as Eugene chalk, 4-3-1 last eight laying DD.
Oregon, based on team trends.
EASTERN MICHIGAN at BUFFALO...Eagles now on 21-6-1 spread run, also 14-2 vs. spread last 15 away from Ypsilanti. Lance Liepold’s Bulls not far behind, however, now 11-2-2 last 15 on board.
Slight to EMU, based on team trends.
OREGON STATE at NEVADA... Beavs now on 1-6-1 skid as road dog, and 4-9-1 overall vs. spread since LY. OSU no covers last six as non-Pac 12 visitor. Pack on 6-3 spread uptick for Jay Norvell.
Nevada, based on team trends.
ALABAMA at OLE MISS...Saban rolled 66-3 LY, but Rebs have played Bama as tough as anyone in recent years, covering previous three and winning two of those outright. Matt Luke now on 5-1 SU and spread uptick since late LY. Saban only 1-3 as visiting chalk LY.
Ole Miss, based on team and extended series trends.
ARKANSAS STATE at TULSA...Red Wolves just 1-6 last 7 as non-Belt visitor. Tulsa just 2-5 vs. spread last seven as host.
Slight to Tulsa, based on team trends.
TEXAS STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA...Tex State now on 6-11 spread side since late 2016 Jags 3-10-1 last 14 as Mobile chalk, though that was all with Joey Jones.
Slight to South Alabama, based on team trends.
MTSU at GEORGIA...Blue Raiders just 5-9 vs. line last 14 as dog. Losing lately vs. SEC but all of that vs. Vandy (no covers last four vs. Dores). Kirby Smart is 5-2 last 7 laying DD vs. BCS foes. Dawgs on 13-5 spread run.
Georgia, based on team trends.
MARSHALL at SOUTH CAROLINA...Gamecocks 3-3 vs. line the last six years in game following Georgia. If Muschamp laying DD , however, he’s only 1-3 in that role with SC. Herd has covered last six as road dog.
Marshall, based on team trends.
MISSOURI at PURDUE...Purdue rolled 35-3 LY. But Barry Odom 4-1 vs. line as visitor LY and covered 8 of last 10 on board. Odom 2-0 as road dog LY after 0-5 in 2016. Brohm, however, covered all four vs. non-Big Ten LY.
Purdue, based on team trends.
AKRON at NORTHWESTERN...Pat Fitz on 8-2 spread surge. Bowden just 7-12 as DD dog since 2014.
Northwestern, based on team trends.
ULL at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Note that under Mullen, MSU only 3-7 as DD chalk the past two seasons (3-3 LY). But Bulldogs are 6-1 vs. spread last seven outside of SEC. ULL failed to cover all three away LY vs. non-Belt.
Miss State, based on team trends.
ULM at TEXAS A&M...ULM 4-1 vs. line as non-Belt visitor under Matt Viator. Ags were 2-8 as DD chalk in 2015-16 before recovering to 3-1 in role since LY (1-0 Jimbo).
Slight to ULM, based on team trends.
WESTERN KENTUCKY at LOUISVILLE...Petrino on 5-13 spread skid, and he’s just 8-12 as home chalk since 2014. But WKU just 2-6 vs. line away from home for Sanford since LY.
Slight to Western Kentucky, based on recent ‘Ville negatives.
USC at TEXAS...Trojans on 4-13 spread skid since late 2016, 2-7 last 9 vs. spread away from Coliseum. SC also no covers last six vs. non-Pac 12. If Tom Herman a dog note 10-1 mark in role since 2015.
Texas, based on team trends.
OHIO STATE vs. TCU (at Jerry Jones AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Tx)...Buckeyes 7-1 vs. line last 8 vs non-Big Ten away from Big Horseshoe. Patterson only 3-4 as dog since 2016 but was 7-2 getting points the previous three years.
Slight to Ohio State, based on team trends.
WASHINGTON at UTAH...Utes have covered last three years in this series. Petersen just 2-6 vs. number last eight away from Seattle. Utes 12-4 as dog for Whittingham since 2014.
Utah, based on team and series trends.
FRESNO STATE at UCLA...Tedford 6-1-2 vs. line away since LY. FSU on 13-3-2 spread run since late 2016. Bruins 0-4 as home dog since 2014, and 9-17-2 vs. line last 28 overall. Also 2-7-1 last ten vs. spread non Pac 12.
Fresno State, based on team trends.
ARIZONA STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Sun Devils only 2-6-1 vs. spread last nine vs. non-Pac 12 away from Tempe. Rocky had won 3 in a row SU vs. Pac 12 before Stanford loss.
Slight to SDSU, based on team trends.

· 2019 GOY Odds
· 2019 Win Totals & Props
· G-Tech wraps up a spring of change
· Big 12 players poised for breakouts
· Big 12 deals with coaching turnover
· Western Illinois to face Gophers in 2022
· QB Mertz creating 'buzz' at Wisconsin
· NCAA tweaks overturning of targeting call
· Iowa looking for line to open more holes
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