Power 5 Top Wagers - Week 11
November 6, 2018
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By Kyle Markus
NCAA Football - Week 11 Power 5 Best Bets
The college football season is coming to a close, which means any upset loss can mean the end of the road for a team in the hunt for the College Football Playoff. The stakes can’t get much higher than these final couple of weeks, including the Week 11 slate of action which includes plenty of pivotal matchups.
There are a segment of games that stick out as the best choices against the spread. Here is the breakdown of which ways to go with your wagers in NCAA football betting.
Odds Analysis - per BookMaker.eu
The Louisville Cardinals were big underdogs last week against the Clemson Tigers and showed why, as they were utterly dominated in a blowout loss. The foe this week isn’t as talented but Louisville is still a 20.5-point underdog against the Syracuse Orange. The wheels have come off for Louisville, which is going to be on the wrong end of another blowout. Syracuse is the choice to cover this large spread.
The Northwestern Wildcats are on the road this week in a matchup against the Iowa Hawkeyes. Northwestern has hung tough with most teams on its schedule, including last week against Notre Dame. The 10-point spread is too high as Northwestern should not be this big of an underdog. Iowa doesn’t have enough firepower to cover this spread.
The Oregon Ducks have been unpredictable this season, with some clutch wins and some puzzling losses, Oregon is on the road this week against Utah. This one should be a really close game, and the 3.5-point underdog Ducks get just enough points to make them the right choice as the cover.
The Georgia Bulldogs are 14.5-point favorites at home against the Auburn Tigers. Auburn has some top-end talent but its offense is a question mark. Georgia is more well-rounded and playing at home. It’s not easy covering this big of a spread against a good team but the Bulldogs are gearing up for another national championship push and should cruise to the win. Take Georgia to cover the spread.
The LSU Tigers were shut out by Alabama last time out, and with their national championship hopes likely shot, will nonetheless try to bounce back on the road against Arkansas. LSU has much more talent, but a spread of 13.5 points seems high. The Tigers will struggle to pull away and the Razorbacks are the choice to cover this spread.
The Ohio State Buckeyes have been stumbling of late and have a crucial game this week on the road against Michigan State. The Spartans are 3.5-point home underdogs and would love to pull the upset. However, look for Ohio State to get back on track with an easier-than-expected victory to cover the spread against Michigan State.
Free NCAA Football ATS Picks
The best pick of the week is not a team that is involved in the national championship chase but has been playing well of late. The Arizona State Sun Devils have won back-to-back games over USC and Utah as touchdown underdogs. Arizona State is a sizable favorite on Saturday as it welcomes UCLA to Tempe. The Bruins have been bad this season and are the 12.5-point road underdogs.
Arizona State will continue to be better than the oddsmakers project, covering this spread easily in a blowout of UCLA. The Sun Devils suddenly have a path to the Pac-12 South title and an easy win will make that likelihood greater. Arizona State is at home and rolling, which makes the Sun Devils the right call to cover this spread in Week 11 of the college football season.
NCAA Football Pick: Arizona State Sun Devils to cover 12.5-spread as favorites against UCLA Bruins
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