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NBA

Game 3 Props – Best Bets

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read
The 2018 NBA Finals continue Thursday with Game 3 between the Warriors and Cavaliers from Quicken Loans Arena. If you’re hesitant to back the side or total for the third installment in this series, then we suggest you take a closer look at the available player props.

With a little bit of luck, our trio of NBA experts produced a 6-3 overall record for Game 1 and those winners produced just under four units of profit.

In Game 2, the group went 5-5 overall but cashed their larger investments for a profit just below four units.

Through two games, the overall numbers stand at 11-7 (+720).

Game 1 Results
Game 2 Results

Chris David: 5-1 (+860)
Kevin Rogers: 3-3 (-150)
Tony Mejia: 3-3 (+10)

Based on a five-unit bankroll, their top props are listed for Game 3 below.

Odds & Props provided by [...]

Chris David

2 Units – Over Kevin Durant Total Points, Rebounds, Assists 42.5 (-115)

After backing the ‘under’ in KD’s points in Game 2, I’m sort of flip-flopping on Wednesday and expecting a complete all-around effort from the All-Star. He’s been so much better offensively on the road in this year’s playoffs, averaging 31 points per game. Plus, his distribution skills (71 assists) in Golden State’s postseason victories have proven to be a key factor. Knowing he’s the third-best rebounder on the floor behind Kevin Love and Draymond Green only give me more confidence that if he has an 'off' night from the field, the boards will help this wager connect in Game 3.

2 Units – Under Kyle Korver Total Points 8.5 (-115)

I’m a little surprised Korver is even listed in Game 3 props and I would guess that you won’t see him in the Game 4 opportunities come Friday. Although he’s been much better at Quicken Loans Arena in the playoffs, this matchup against the Warriors just isn’t good for the 37-year-old shooter. Golden State has given every other player on Cleveland free rein to chuck from distance except Korver, who has just four attempts in two games. With reports that Rodney Hood (about time) will get more minutes in Game 3, that means J.R. Smith or Korver will lose time and I’m going with the latter.

1 Unit – Over LeBron James Total Made Free Throws 8.5 (+120)

Most books are holding 7 ½ on this number but they’ll make you pay for the ‘over’ with the added juice. I’m looking for the positive return and sticking with the tendencies that we’ve seen in home playoff games for James. In nine postseason games at home, he’s earned an eye-opening 110 trips to the free throw line. He’s converted 84 for a respectable 76 percent. In the first two games at Oracle Arena, he went to the stripe 20 times and made 17 plus he probably deserved many more attempts. I would expect at least a dozen attempts in Game 3 and you hope he hits his average and buries at least nine.

Kevin Rogers

2 Units - Under Draymond Green Total Points, Rebounds, Assists 29 (-115)

Green is the top boxscore stuffer on the Warriors but the forward hasn't scored more than 13 points in any of the last nine games. For the purposes of this prop with points, rebounds, and assists, Green has combined for at least 30 once in the last four games, coming back in Game 1 against Cleveland. Green is more than capable of grabbing double-digit rebounds (6 of the last 7 games), but his point totals have been so erratic in the playoffs, it's tough to see this 'over' cashing.

2 Units - Over LeBron James Total Three-Pointers 2.5 (+105)

The offense will obviously be centered around James in this desperate spot for Cleveland. James has knocked down 5-of-11 three-pointers through the first two games and has hit 13 of his last 26 attempts from downtown dating back to Game 6 against Boston.

1 Unit - Under Klay Thompson Total Points 19 (-115)

Thompson has performed well through the first two games of this series by scoring 20 and 24 points. However, the shooting guard has gotten into foul trouble in each of those games, while picking up at least three fouls in five of the past six games. Thompson's knee wasn't an issue in Game 2 as hit 8-of-13 shots from the floor, but the Warriors share the ball so much that he can still have a solid game and finish 'under' this prop.

Tony Mejia

2 Units - Over LeBron James Total Points, Rebounds, Assists 57.5 (-120)

This is one of those games where James will instruct Tyronn Lue not to take him out unless there's an early window to get him a break, so count on him playing the entire second half unless the game is decided by the time we reach the final few minutes. He's -400 to record a triple-double and should notch that feat after coming up just short in each of the first two games and should score at least 35 points. Expect a huge night.

1.5 Units - Under Klay Thompson Points 19 (-115)

After an impressive performance despite a high ankle sprain, the Warriors shooting guard isn't likely to be as efficient on the road and could lose minutes with Andre Iguodala expected to return to the mix after missing his first two games. Cleveland squandered an opportunity in not making him put the ball on the floor more in Game 2, allowing him to get into a rhythm. Don't look for the Cavs to make that same mistake on Wednesday night.

1.5 Units - Over Kevin Durant Total Points, Rebounds, Assists 42.5 (-115)

After struggling in Game 1 and allowing Stephen Curry the freedom to dominate on Sunday thanks to better shot selection, this figures to be a game where he's more aggressive on the road while also remaining wary of standing around and watching in rebounding situations, something he was guilty of when he fell just short of cashing this prop in the series opener. Count on a big night from KD.

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