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Suns vs Timberwolves Game 1 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
3 minute read

The 2024 NBA Playoffs begin with a jam packed 4-game slate this Saturday -- and the second matchup of the weekend we'll preview is Suns vs. Timberwolves Game 1, which is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

The T-Wolves are 2-point favorites on the spread in Saturday's contest, while the total is set at over/under 214 total points at DraftKings.

Here's everything you need to know about Suns vs T-Wolves -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for the NBA Playoffs on Saturday, April 20. For more basketball action, check out our NBA odds.

Suns vs Timberwolves Odds

PHO @ MIN Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
+2 -112 +1 -105 +1.5 -120 +6.5 -250 +1.5 -110 +0.5 -110 +1.5 -115 +2.5 -110  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
-2 -108 -1 -115 -1.5 -102 -6.5 +200 -1.5 -110 -0.5 -120 -1.5 -110 -2.5 -110  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
o214.5 -110 o109.5 -110 o109.5 -112 N/A o109.5 -112 o109.5 -115 o108.5 -122 o213.5 -108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
u214.5 -110 u109.5 -110 u109.5 -108 N/A u109.5 -108 u109.5 -115 u108.5 -106 u213.5 -112  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
+106 N/A +108 +115 +105 N/A +108 +118  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
-124 N/A -132 -140 -125 N/A -137 -138  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
+2 -112 -2 -115 N/A N/A N/A N/A +1.5 -127 +2.5 -110  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
-2 -108 +2 -105 N/A N/A N/A N/A -1.5 -103 -2.5 -110  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
o214.5 -110 o104.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A o103.5 -121 o213.5 -108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
u214.5 -110 u104.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A u103.5 -110 u213.5 -112  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
+106 N/A +102 N/A N/A N/A even +118  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
-124 N/A -124 N/A N/A N/A -127 -138  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
+2 -112 +0.5 -105 +0.5 -112 +0.5 -110 +0.5 -105 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -110 +2.5 -110  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
-2 -108 -0.5 -115 -0.5 -108 -0.5 -110 -0.5 -115 -0.5 -115 -0.5 -115 -2.5 -110  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
o214.5 -110 o55 -110 o54.5 -118 N/A o54.5 -112 o54.5 -120 o54.5 -112 o213.5 -108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
u214.5 -110 u55 -110 u54.5 -108 N/A u54.5 -108 u54.5 -110 u54.5 -117 u213.5 -112  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
+106 N/A +108 +105 +105 N/A even +118  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
-124 N/A -132 -130 -125 N/A -127 -138  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
+2 -112 +0.5 -120 +0.5 -108 N/A +0.5 -110 +0.5 -110 +1.5 -132 +2.5 -110  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
-2 -108 -0.5 -110 -0.5 -112 N/A -0.5 -110 -0.5 -115 -1.5 +102 -2.5 -110  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
o214.5 -110 o55 -110 o54.5 -125 N/A o54.5 -118 o55.5 -105 o54.5 -115 o213.5 -108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
u214.5 -110 u55 -120 u54.5 -102 N/A u54.5 -102 u55.5 -120 u54.5 -115 u213.5 -112  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
+106 N/A +102 N/A +102 N/A +105 +118  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
-124 N/A -124 N/A -122 N/A -132 -138  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
+2 -112 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -110 N/A +0.5 -118 +0.5 -120 +1.5 -136 +2.5 -110  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
-2 -108 -0.5 -115 -0.5 -110 N/A -0.5 -102 -0.5 -105 -1.5 +104 -2.5 -110  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
o214.5 -110 o52.5 -115 o51.5 -113 N/A o52.5 -115 o51.5 -120 o51.5 -124 o213.5 -108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
u214.5 -110 u52.5 -115 u51.5 -113 N/A u52.5 -105 u51.5 -110 u51.5 -107 u213.5 -112  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
+106 N/A -100 N/A -110 N/A +102 +118  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
-124 N/A -122 N/A -110 N/A -130 -138  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
+2 -112 +0.5 -130 +0.5 -118 N/A -0.5 -110 -0.5 even +1.5 -148 +2.5 -110  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
-2 -108 -0.5 even -0.5 -104 N/A +0.5 -110 +0.5 -125 -1.5 +112 -2.5 -110  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
o214.5 -110 o52 -115 o51.5 -108 N/A o51.5 -105 o52.5 -110 o51.5 -124 o213.5 -108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
u214.5 -110 u52 -115 u51.5 -118 N/A u51.5 -115 u52.5 -120 u51.5 -107 u213.5 -112  
Final
Phoenix Suns 577 Suns
+106 N/A -105 N/A -120 N/A -107 +118  
Minnesota Timberwolves 578 Timberwolves
-124 N/A -115 N/A even N/A -120 -138  

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Suns vs Timberwolves Picks & Prediction

The Timberwolves earned the three-seed in the West with a record of 56-26 this season – and nearly earned the one-seed, as they finished just one game behind Denver and Oklahoma City in a three-horse race to the finish line in the closing days of the regular season. 

However, despite their overwhelming success throughout the season, the oddsmakers at FanDuel still see the T-Wolves as short underdogs (+110) in the first round of the playoffs against the sixth-seeded Suns (-130) – despite Minnesota being tagged as a 2-point favorite in Game 1 on Saturday.

In my opinion though, the series price for this matchup is incredibly disrespectful to what the T-Wolves have accomplished this season – especially with Karl-Anthony Towns returning to Minnesota’s lineup recently.

The T-Wolves rank third in the NBA in net rating, only behind Boston and OKC, sporting the best defensive rating in the entire league behind Defensive Player of the Year frontrunner, Rudy Gobert – and they have bona fide superstar capable of going toe-to-toe in a slugfest with anybody in Anthony Edwards.

There’s no denying the fact that Phoenix can score with the league’s top contenders. The Suns finished the season ranked top-10 in both offensive rating and points per game – which is pretty impressive, considering they went significant chunks of the season without Bradley Beal and Devin Booker.

Push comes to shove though, the dominance of Minnesota’s defense far outweighs the prowess of Phoenix’s offense. And despite ranking 16th in offensive rating on the season, the T-Wolves shouldn’t have too much trouble generating points against the Suns’ 13th-ranked defense, especially at home, where Minnesota is 30-11 this season as opposed to 26-15 on the road.

The Suns have proven capable of beating anybody on any given night, and I expect them to win a few games in this series – but I worry about the overall chemistry of their lineup in an extended series scenario against a very good Minnesota team. Phoenix’s big-3 hasn’t played many games together, and ultimately, I believe the T-Wolves’ size and physicality will be too much for the Suns to overcome against a well-rested Minnesota squad in Game 1.

Pick: T-Wolves -2 (-110)

Click this link for the latest betting trends and market movements leading up to the NBA Finals!

Suns vs Timberwolves Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Saturday, April 20
Matchup: Pacific vs Northwest
Venue: Target Center
Location: Minneapolis, MN
Time-TV: ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET

Suns vs Timberwolves Betting Stats

3) Minnesota Timberwolves
(3rd Place, Northwest)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +1900
  • Odds to Win Conference: +1000
  • SU: 56-26
  • ATS: 41-41
  • O/U: 41-40-1
  • PPG: 113.0
  • OPPG: 106.5

6) Phoenix Suns
(2nd Place, Pacific)

  • Odds To Win Finals: +1900
  • Odds to Win Conference: +850
  • SU: 49-33
  • ATS: 36-46
  • O/U: 36-45-1
  • PPG: 116.2
  • OPPG: 113.2

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
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