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NFL Tech Trends - Week 4

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College Football Trends
Thursday, Sept. 27 - NFL, 8:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens Brownies haven't beaten Ravens SU since 2007 (Billick's days; 8 straight up losses to John Harbaugh), but lately this has been a visitor series with road team covering last five. Series also "under" 5 of last 6, and Cleveland "under" 11-6-1 since LY. "Under" and slight to Browns, based on series road and "totals" trends.
Sunday, Sept. 30 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Belichick had a 15-game SU win streak over Buffalo snapped in the first meeting last season. Pats 11-5-1 last 17 vs. Bills. Belichick, based on series and team trends.
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions Lions 1-9 vs. line last 10 since mid 2011 and 3-12 last 15 on board since losing to 49ers in mid-Oct. 2011. Lions also "over" 25-13-2 last 40 since late 2009. Slight to "over," based on "totals" trends.
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons Falcs have won and covered all four meetings since 2010, including both vs. Cam LY. Falcs 10-4-1 vs. spread last 15 at Georgia Dome since early 2010. Falcons, based on series trends.
San Francisco 49ers at New York Jets Harbaugh 14-6-1 vs. line since taking over 49ers LY. Rexy has covered just 3 of last 11 on board since mid 2011. Jets also "over" 5-1 last 6 as host. 49ers and slight to "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs Chiefs have beaten Norv last two years at Arrowhead and are 5-1 vs. number since 2009 vs. Bolts. Norv 4-11 as road chalk first half of season since 2007. Chiefs, based on series trends.
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans Kubiak won and covered both meetings LY and is 17-5 vs. number since late in 2010 campaign. Texans also "under" 15-6 since LY. Texans and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams Pete Carroll has won and covered last three vs. Rams. Carroll 15-7 vs. points last 21 on board since late 2010. Seahawks, based on team and series trends.
Sunday, Sept. 30 - Games to start at 4:05 p.m. and 4:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Miami Dolphins at Arizona Cardinals Whisenhunt 10-2 SU last 12 and 10-3 vs. spread since mid 2011. Cards "under" 8-3-1 last 12 since mid 2011, Miami "under" 13-6 since 2011. "Under" and Cards, based on "totals" and team trends.
Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos Raiders had won and covered 4 straight in series prior to Tebow's win LY at Coliseum, 38-24. Last five "over" in series, Broncos "over" 29-13 since late '09. "Over," based on "totals" trends.
Cincinnati Bengals at Jacksonville Jaguars Cincy "over" 13-6-1 since 2011, and this matchup was "over" LY (30-20 Bengals win last Oct. 9 at JV). "Over," based on "totals" trends.
New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers Saints now 0-3 SU and vs. line in 2012, and "over" 14-8 last 22 since late 2010. Pack "over" 14-6 last 20 since late 2010 and 12-4 vs. line last 16 at Lambeau. "Over" and Pack, based on "totals" and team trends.
Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Schiano has covered first 3 as Bucs reverse form from late LY when dropping 9 of last 10 vs. line (and 10 in a row SU). But Bucs still just 1-12 last 13 SU. Shan 7-4 vs. line last 11 away, and "over" 8-2 last 10 since late LY. "Over" and Skins, based on "totals" and team trends.
Sunday, Sept. 30 - NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles Andy Reid has won and covered 7 of last 8 vs. Coughlin, although road teams won and covered both games LY. But Reid just 4-10 last 14 as chalk. And G-Men have covered their last 6 away from home. Giants, based on team trends.
Monday, Oct. 1 - ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Chicago Bears at Dallas Cowboys Dallas 4-18-1 in favorite role since 2010. Cowboys also just 5-12 last 16 vs. points at Jerry Jones Stadium since 2010. Cowboys also "under" 14-6 last 19 since late 2010. Bears and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

  
HEADLINES
Mejia: NFC Preseason Wrap
Mejia: AFC Preseason Wrap
Lawrence: Trends to Watch - September
Lawrence: 2014 NFC Season Preview
Marshall: Ravens rising up
Lawrence: 2014 AFC Season Preview
ASA: NFC North Notebook
ASA: NFC South Notebook
Marshall: Philadelphia Hype
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